Odds Overview
Inter Milan to win at 1.22 look clear favourites against the draw at 6.60 and Monza to win at 13.00. In the main goals total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. On the handicap, Inter Milan (-1.5) at 1.68 are priced lower than Monza (+1.5) at 2.20.
Why Inter Milan Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: an Inter Milan win is priced at 1.22, the draw is 6.60, and a Monza success is offered at 13.00.
• Inter Milan have shown complete reliability at home: the team have not been outscored in goals in their last 10 Serie A home matches.
• Monza have been outscored by their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Inter Milan
Inter Milan have confidently controlled the flow of home games from the opening minutes: they have not trailed at half-time at home in 17 consecutive league matches. In addition, in their last 10 Serie A home matches, Inter Milan have never been beaten by their opponents for shots on target.
Before the new season, the Milan club strengthened their defensive line: John Stones' transfer was officially announced on 30 July 2026.
Key numbers:
Inter Milan had more than 12 shot attempts in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches
In 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Inter Milan received no more than two yellow cards
In 10 of their last 10 Serie A home games, the total number of fouls in matches involving Inter Milan did not exceed 25
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Josep Martinez — Leonardo Bovio — Yann Bisseck — Alessandro Bastoni — Carlos Augusto — John Stones — Nicolo Barella — Hakan Calhanoglu — Andy Diouf — Ange-Yoan Bonny — Pio Esposito
Form and Line-up Monza
Away from home, Monza play cautiously in attack: in their last 10 Serie A away matches, the team had fewer than 12.5 shot attempts and no more than four shots on target.
The team start the season with a new head coach, Ivan Juric, who was presented on 31 July 2026. In their first official match under him, Monza beat Avellino 3:0 in the Coppa Italia on 14 August.
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Monza and their opponents committed at least 25 fouls
In 9 of the last 10 Serie A matches involving Monza, no more than 10 corners were recorded
In 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches, Monza were not beaten by their opponents on yellow cards
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Demba Thiam — Eddy Kouadio — Filippo Delli Carri — Andrea Carboni — Samuele Birindelli — Manga Foe Ondoa — Ricardo Mangas — Omari Forson — Mathis Mout — Gustavo Varela — Patrick Cutrone
Team Chances
Inter Milan to win: average odds 1.22, no-margin estimate — 1.28 and probability 78.2%. Draw: 6.60, no-margin estimate 6.92, probability 14.5%. Monza to win: 13.00, no-margin estimate 13.63, probability 7.3%.
OUTCOME | AVERAGE ODDS | AVERAGE NO-MARGIN ODDS | NO-MARGIN PROBABILITY |
Inter Milan to win | 1.22 | 1.28 | 78.2% |
Draw | 6.60 | 6.92 | 14.5% |
Monza to win | 13.00 | 13.63 | 7.3% |
Goals Total Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is priced lower than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.50 has the edge over Over 3.5 goals at 2.50.
LINE | UNDER | OVER |
2.5 | 2.25 | 1.63 |
3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap Prediction
Inter Milan (-1.5) are available at 1.68, while Monza (+1.5) are 2.20. On the 1 line, Inter Milan (-1) at 1.30 are noticeably lower than Monza (+1) at 3.25. With a handicap (0), Inter Milan are 1.04 and Monza are 8.00.
HOSTS | HANDICAP | VISITORS |
1.68 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 2.20 |
1.30 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 3.25 |
1.04 | 0 | 8.00 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.55 is priced lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.35: a scenario in which at least one team fail to score is more likely.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE | ODDS |
Yes | 2.35 |
No | 1.55 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.05 and 12 at 1.12 look significantly more likely than X2 at 4.40.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.05 | 1.12 | 4.40 |
Team Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goals totals: Inter Milan — 2.5 goals, Monza — 0.5 goals.
Inter Milan Team Goals Total
Inter Milan: Over 2 team goals at 1.58 is priced lower than Under 2 team goals at 2.30; on the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 team goals at 1.70 is preferred to Over 2.5 team goals at 2.10; on the 3 line, Under 3 team goals at 1.35 is noticeably lower than Over 3 team goals at 2.90.
UNDER | TEAM GOALS TOTAL | OVER |
2.30 | 2 | 1.58 |
1.70 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
1.35 | 3 | 2.90 |
Monza Team Goals Total
Monza: Under 0.5 team goals at 1.60 is priced lower than Over 0.5 team goals at 2.30; Under 1 team goal at 1.13 is significantly lower than Over 1 team goal at 4.70; on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 team goals at 1.07 is preferred to Over 1.5 team goals at 6.30.
UNDER | TEAM GOALS TOTAL | OVER |
1.60 | 0.5 | 2.30 |
1.13 | 1 | 4.70 |
1.07 | 1.5 | 6.30 |
