Odds overview
Austria are favourites to win at 2.18, while a Republic of Ireland win is available at 3.50 and a draw at 3.30. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.20. On the handicap line of 0, Austria Draw No Bet at 1.55 is shorter than Republic of Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Why Austria are favourites
Bookmakers favour Austria: an Austrian win is offered at 2.18, a Republic of Ireland win at 3.50 and a draw at 3.30.
- In nine of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches, Austria have allowed their opponents no more than 11.5 shots, including blocked attempts.
- The Republic of Ireland rarely test the goalkeeper — they registered fewer than 3.5 shots on target in eight of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches. With such a limited attack, taking points against an organised Austria side will be extremely difficult.
- Austria won their last two matches by the same 3:1 scoreline, against Israel and Kosovo. Ralf Rangnick's team are in good form and delivering consistent results.
Form and Line-up Republic of Ireland
The Republic of Ireland have had a mixed start to the UEFA Nations League: after losing 0:1 to Kosovo, with Vedat Muriqi scoring in the 83rd minute, they unexpectedly thrashed Israel 3:0 away from home. The Irish had scored three times against Israel by the 25th minute. After two rounds, the Republic of Ireland sit third in Group B.
- Under 3.5 goals were scored in nine of the Republic of Ireland's last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
- The Republic of Ireland registered fewer than 3.5 shots on target in eight of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
- In eight of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches, the Republic of Ireland had fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked attempts.
Probable line-up (3-5-1-1): Caoimhín Kelleher, James Abankwah, Dara O'Shea, Jake O'Brien, Liam Kitching, Jayson Molumby, Conor Coventry, Jack Moylan, Ryan Manning, Adam Idah, Troy Parrott.
Unavailable: Nathan Collins (injury).
Form and Line-up Austria
Austria have made a strong start to the tournament: they first beat Israel 3:1, scoring twice after the 90th minute, before Ralf Rangnick's side defeated Kosovo 3:1. Edon Zhegrova scored Kosovo's goal from a penalty late on. Austria lead Group B comfortably with six points.
- Austria's opponents registered fewer than 4.5 shots on target in all ten of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
- Austria were not beaten on offsides in any of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
- Austria's opponents took fewer than 4.5 corners in nine of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Christian Zawieschitzky, Nikolas Veratschnig, David Affengruber, Kevin Danso, Maximilian Wöber, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Patrick Wimmer, Paul Wanner, Romano Schmid, Junior Adamu.
Unavailable: Dejan Ljubicic, Florian Grillitsch, Konrad Laimer and Michael Svoboda (all injured); Michael Gregoritsch (doubtful).
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Austria a 43.8% chance of winning: their average odds are 2.18, compared with fair odds of 2.28. The draw has a 28.9% chance, with average odds of 3.30 and fair odds of 3.46; a Republic of Ireland win has a 27.3% chance, with corresponding odds of 3.50 and 3.67.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland win | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.46 | 28.9% |
| Austria win | 2.18 | 2.28 | 43.8% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.65, compared with 2.20 for Over 2.5 goals. On the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is shorter at 1.67, while Under 2 goals is 2.15. On the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 4.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 2 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.20 | 4.15 |
Handicap betting
On the -1.5 line, Austria (-1.5) at 4.15 are shorter than the Republic of Ireland (-1.5) at 7.40. Odds are close to the minimum on the +1 line: Austria (+1) are 1.07 and the Republic of Ireland (+1) are 1.28; on the +1.5 line, Austria (+1.5) are 1.05 and the Republic of Ireland (+1.5) are 1.17. At a handicap of 0, Austria Draw No Bet is shorter at 1.55 than Republic of Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.45. On the -1 line, Austria (-1) are offered at 3.35, compared with 6.40 for the Republic of Ireland (-1).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.40 | -1 | 3.35 |
| 1.28 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 2.45 | 0 | 1.55 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – No at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 1.95: the market gives a slightly higher chance to at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
33/100
|
3/10
|
| William Hill |
7/10
|
33/100
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
67/100
|
33/100
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal total lines for this match: Republic of Ireland — 1 goal; Austria — 1 goal.
Republic of Ireland team total goals
Republic of Ireland team total goals: Over 0.5 goals at 1.50 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.50. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.63 compared with 2.20 for Over 1 goal, while on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.63 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Austria team total goals
Austria team total goals: Over 0.5 goals at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.40. On the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is available at 1.62 compared with 2.20 for Under 1 goal, while on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Allard Lindhout (Netherlands)
Matches — 6 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 7;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 5 out of 6.
