Odds overview
Kosovo are slight favourites: a Kosovo win is available at 2.30, compared with 3.15 for Israel and 3.40 for the draw. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. In the main handicap market, Kosovo (0) at 1.65 look more likely than Israel (0) at 2.20.
Why Kosovo are favourites
Bookmakers favour Kosovo: an away win is available at 2.30, an Israel win at 3.15 and a draw at 3.40.
- Israel have serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in the current UEFA Nations League campaign.
- Kosovo have shown they can get results against teams of a similar level, as their win over Ireland demonstrated.
Form and Line-up: Israel
Israel made a poor start to their September UEFA Nations League fixtures, suffering consecutive defeats to Austria (1:3) and Ireland (0:3). They also struggled to threaten the opposition goal: in each of their last 10 matches in the competition, Israel had fewer than 4.5 shots on target.
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Israel's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Israel's opponents had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Israel's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Daniel Peretz, Guy Mizrahi, Raz Shlomo, Nikita Stoinov, Roy Revivo, Anan Khalaili, Gabi Kanichowsky, Eliel Peretz, Manor Solomon, Dor Turgeman, Oscar Gloukh
Form and Line-up: Kosovo
Kosovo had mixed results in their September fixtures: an away defeat to Austria (1:3) was followed by a home win over Ireland. Away from home, they are tenacious without the ball, committing more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Kosovo had at least four shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- The two teams combined for no more than 25.5 shot attempts in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Arijanet Muric, Lumbardh Dellova, Ilir Krasniqi, Ron Raci, Mergim Vojvoda, Leon Avdullahu, Veldin Hodza, Dion Gallapeni, Ermal Krasniqi, Vedat Muriqi, Baton Zabërgja
The teams' chances
A Kosovo win has a fair probability of 41.6%, with average odds of 2.30 and fair odds of 2.41. For an Israel win, the figures are 30.3%, 3.15 and 3.30; for a draw, they are 28.1%, 3.40 and 3.56.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel win | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Kosovo win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 is favoured more clearly over Over 3.5 goals at 3.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Israel (-1.5) at 5.50 has longer odds than Kosovo (-1.5) at 4.30. At the +1.5 handicap, the odds are close: Israel (+1.5) are at 1.16 and Kosovo (+1.5) at 1.10. Kosovo (-1) at 3.55 are favoured over Israel (-1) at 4.80; at the +1 line, Kosovo (+1) at 1.13 have shorter odds than Israel (+1) at 1.25. For the zero handicap, Kosovo (0) at 1.65 have considerably shorter odds than Israel (0) at 2.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | -1.5 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.80 | -1 | 3.55 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 2.20 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.73 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.05, which means at least one team would fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
| William Hill |
57/100
|
33/100
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
33/100
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Israel — 1 goal; Kosovo — 1.5 goals.
Israel team goals
For Israel team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.35 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.90. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.70 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.07, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.45 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.65.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.07 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Kosovo team goals
For Kosovo team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.22 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.80; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.45 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.65. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.63 has shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 2.20, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.23 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.70.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.63 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.70 |
