Odds overview
Kosovo are slight favourites at 2.30 to win, compared with 3.15 for Israel and 3.40 for the draw. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is marginally favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. In the main handicap market, Kosovo (0) at 1.65 are favoured over Israel (0) at 2.20.
Why Kosovo are favourites
Bookmakers favour Kosovo: an away win is offered at 2.30, an Israel win at 3.15 and a draw at 3.40.
- Israel have serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in the current UEFA Nations League campaign.
- Kosovo have shown they can get results against opponents of a similar level, as their win over Ireland confirmed.
Form and Line-up Israel
Israel made a poor start to their September UEFA Nations League fixtures, suffering consecutive defeats to Austria (1:3) and Ireland (0:3). They also struggled to threaten the opposition goal, registering fewer than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Israel's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Israel's opponents registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Israel's last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
Probable Israel line-up (4-4-2): Daniel Peretz, Guy Mizrahi, Raz Shlomo, Nikita Stoinov, Roy Revivo, Anan Khalaili, Gabi Kanichowsky, Eliel Peretz, Manor Solomon, Dor Turgeman, Oscar Gloukh
Form and Line-up Kosovo
Kosovo had mixed results in September: an away defeat to Austria (1:3) was followed by a home win over Ireland. Away from home, they are tenacious without the ball, committing more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Kosovo registered at least four shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- The two teams combined for no more than 25.5 attempted shots in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
Probable Kosovo line-up (3-4-3): Arijanet Muric, Lumbardh Dellova, Ilir Krasniqi, Ron Raci, Mergim Vojvoda, Leon Avdullahu, Veldin Hodza, Dion Gallapeni, Ermal Krasniqi, Vedat Muriqi, Baton Zabërgja
Teams' chances
Kosovo's win has a margin-free probability of 41.6%, with average odds of 2.30 and fair odds of 2.41. The corresponding figures for an Israel win are 30.3%, 3.15 and 3.30; for a draw, they are 28.1%, 3.40 and 3.56.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel to win | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Kosovo to win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.85 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.33 is a clearer favourite over Over 3.5 at 3.05.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Israel (-1.5) at 5.50 have longer odds than Kosovo (-1.5) at 4.30. At a +1.5 handicap, the odds are close: Israel (+1.5) are 1.16 and Kosovo (+1.5) are 1.10. Kosovo (-1) at 3.55 are favoured over Israel (-1) at 4.80; at +1, Kosovo (+1) at 1.13 have shorter odds than Israel (+1) at 1.25. At a zero handicap, Kosovo (0) at 1.65 have considerably shorter odds than Israel (0) at 2.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | -1.5 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.80 | -1 | 3.55 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 2.20 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.73 is considered more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.05, which means at least one team would fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
57/100
|
33/100
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
33/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Israel — 1 goal; Kosovo — 1.5 goals.
Israel team total goals
For Israel's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.90. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.70 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.07, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.45 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.65.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.07 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Kosovo team total goals
For Kosovo's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.22 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.80; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.45 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.65. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.63 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.20; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.23 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.70.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.63 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Radu Petrescu (Romania)
Matches — 6 (International matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 6.
Assaf Tzur
Idan Nachmias
Nikita Stoinov
Raz Shlomo
Ethane Azoulay
Anan Khalaili
Liel Abada
Manor Solomon
Tai Baribo
Daniel Peretz
Elazar Dasa
Ilay Feingold
Omri Gandelman
Oscar Gloukh
Sayed Abu Farhi
Yarden Shua
Amir Saipi
Ilir Krasniqi
Mergim Vojvoda
Milot Avdyli
Dion Kacuri
Ermal Krasniqi
Muharrem Jashari
Valmir Matoshi
Albion Rrahmani
Fisnik Asllani
Arijanet Muric
Visar Bekaj
Ron Raçi
Dion Gallapeni
Edon Zhegrova
Milot Rashica
Veldin Hodža
Meriton Korenica
