Odds overview
Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: a Brighton win is available at 1.30, compared with 5.70 for a draw and around 9.00 for a Jablonec win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.50. In the handicap markets, Brighton & Hove Albion (-1) at 1.40 are shorter than Jablonec (+1) at 2.70; Brighton & Hove Albion (-1.5) at 1.78 are shorter than Jablonec (+1.5) at 2.02; and on the zero-handicap line, Brighton & Hove Albion (0) at 1.08 are much shorter than Jablonec (0) at 6.10.
Why Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites
A Brighton & Hove Albion win is offered at 1.30, a draw at 5.70 and a Jablonec win at 9.00.
• Brighton & Hove Albion come into the match on an impressive run of emphatic wins: last week, the English side thrashed Kauno Zalgiris 4:0 in the UEFA Conference League and scored five against Crystal Palace (5:0) in the Premier League.
• Jablonec have had serious problems defensively, conceding three goals in each of their last two matches — against Freiburg (2:3) in the UEFA Conference League and Viktoria Plzeň (2:3) in the league.
Form and Line-up Jablonec
After the first round of UEFA Conference League matches, Jablonec sit 24th in the table with no points and a goal difference of 2:3. Their attack has been lively, though: the green-and-whites had nine shots on target against Viktoria Plzeň and cut a 0:3 deficit to 2:3. The hosts' expected 4-2-3-1 formation features two deep-lying defensive midfielders to limit the visitors' chances to get forward easily.
- Jablonec took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- Jablonec had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- Jablonec received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
Probable Jablonec line-up (4-2-3-1): Jan Hanus, Martin Cedidla, Dusan Pavlovic, Eduard Sobol, Nemanja Tekijaški, Vakhtang Chanturishvili, Sebastian Nebyla, Richard Sedláček, Filip Zorvan, Garang Kuol, Antonín Růsek
Absentees: Kevin-Prince Milla, Jan Suchan, Lamine Yavo (injured)
Form and Line-up Brighton & Hove Albion
The visitors have been solid defensively under Fabian Hürzeler: Brighton & Hove Albion have kept clean sheets in four consecutive matches across all competitions. They have also scored 14 goals in that spell, including three against London side Arsenal. At the start of the UEFA Conference League league phase, the Seagulls thrashed Kauno Zalgiris (4:0) at home. Even a side short of some regular starters are capable of beating the Czech club.
- Brighton & Hove Albion scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions
- Brighton & Hove Albion committed more than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions
- Brighton & Hove Albion committed at least as many fouls as their opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions
Probable Brighton & Hove Albion line-up (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen, Costinha, Michael Svoboda, Lewis Dunk, Olivier Boskagli, Pascal Groß, Matt O'Riley, Jack Hinshelwood, Ibrahim Osman, Georginio Rutter, Malick Yalcouyé
Absentees: Femi Azeez, Kaoru Mitoma, Mats Wieffer, Stefanos Tzimas, Zadok Yohanna (injured)
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Jablonec a 10.5% chance of winning, with average odds of 9.00 and fair odds of 9.50; the draw has a 16.6% chance, with odds of 5.70 and 6.02 respectively. Brighton & Hove Albion lead on 72.9%: the average odds for a Brighton win are 1.30, with fair odds of 1.37.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jablonec to win | 9.00 | 9.50 | 10.5% |
| Draw | 5.70 | 6.02 | 16.6% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 1.30 | 1.37 | 72.9% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Under 2.5 goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.65, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion (-1.5) are available at 1.78, compared with 2.02 for Jablonec (+1.5). At the one-goal handicap line, Brighton & Hove Albion (-1) are quoted at 1.40 against 2.70 for Jablonec (+1); on the zero-handicap line, Jablonec (0) are at 6.10 and Brighton & Hove Albion (0) at 1.08.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.78 | |
| 2.02 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.40 | |
| 2.70 | 1 | |
| 6.10 | 0 | 1.08 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes and Both teams to score — No are both offered at 1.88; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 |
| No | 1.88 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/4
|
13/100
|
7/100
|
| William Hill |
13/5
|
3/20
|
3/50
|
| 888sport |
13/5
|
7/50
|
3/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Jablonec — 0.5 goals; Brighton & Hove Albion — 2.5 goals.
Jablonec team total goals
Jablonec team total goals: Over 0.5 is quoted at 1.75, compared with 2.00 for Under 0.5; at the one-goal line, Under is at 1.30 and Over at 3.15; at 1.5, the respective odds are 1.15 and 4.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.15 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.50 |
Brighton & Hove Albion team total goals
Brighton & Hove Albion team total goals: Over 2 is offered at 1.58, compared with 2.30 for Under 2; at the 2.5-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.75 and Over at 2.03; at the three-goal line, the respective odds are 1.38 and 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2 | 1.58 |
| 1.75 | 2.5 | 2.03 |
| 1.38 | 3 | 2.80 |
