Odds overview
Anderlecht are favourites to win at 2.25; a Jagiellonia Białystok win is available at around 3.10, and the draw at 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals — 1.75 against 2.10. At handicap (0), Anderlecht are shorter at 1.65, while Jagiellonia Białystok are offered at 2.25.
Why Anderlecht are match favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: an Anderlecht win is offered at 2.25, while a Jagiellonia Białystok win is available at 3.10. The draw is quoted at 3.60.
- Anderlecht are fifth in the Belgian league, while Jagiellonia Białystok are 13th in the Polish league, with six defeats in 10 matches.
- The Belgian side are 28th in the UEFA Europa League league phase with no points and a goal difference of 1:3, but have been disciplined defensively across all competitions: they have conceded no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Anderlecht's squad is worth more than the Polish club's squad (€106 million against €33 million).
Form and Line-up Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok lost 0:1 to Zagłębie Lubin in the latest Ekstraklasa round, having previously lost 1:3 to Górnik Zabrze. Their UEFA Europa League campaign has been mixed — a 1:2 defeat to Olympiacos was followed by a comeback win over Ararat-Armenia, 3:1.
- Jagiellonia Białystok have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Jagiellonia Białystok's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Under 4.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Jagiellonia Białystok's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Jagiellonia Białystok line-up (4-4-2): Sławomir Abramowicz, Rodrigo Conceição, Yuki Kobayashi, Bernardo Vital, Bartłomiej Wdowik, Kamil Jóźwiak, Anders Klynge, Taras Romanchuk, Kajetan Szmyt, Osman Sow, Jesús Imaz.
Absentees: Nik Prelec, Norbert Wojtuszek (both injured).
Form and Line-up Anderlecht
After losing 1:2 to Lyon in the opening round of the UEFA Europa League, the Belgian side lost 0:1 to Dinamo Zagreb, conceding a penalty in the 90+6th minute. At the weekend, the Brussels side were also knocked out of the Belgian Cup by Beerschot, losing 1:2 after playing with 10 men from the 59th minute.
- Anderlecht have had over 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Anderlecht have committed over 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Under 10.5 corners have been taken in 9 of Anderlecht's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Anderlecht line-up (4-2-3-1): Colin Coosemans, Kai Barry, Andrew Omobamidele, Léo Petrot, Oleg Reabciuk, Mario Stroeykens, Thelo Aasgaard, Marten Winkler, Lukas Ambros, Tristan Degreef, Mihajlo Cvetkovic.
Absentees: Giulian Biancone, Ilay Camara, Killian Sardella, Lucas Hey (all injured).
The teams' chances
An Anderlecht win is the leading match result, with average odds of 2.25, fair odds of 2.35 and a probability of 42.5%. The corresponding figures for a Jagiellonia Białystok win are 3.10, 3.24 and 30.9%; for the draw, they are 3.60, 3.76 and 26.6%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Białystok win | 3.10 | 3.24 | 30.9% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.76 | 26.6% |
| Anderlecht win | 2.25 | 2.35 | 42.5% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Over 2.5 at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.10. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 has considerably shorter odds — 1.43 against 2.65 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.43 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5) are offered at 5.60 and Anderlecht (-1.5) at 3.75; at the 1.5 handicap line, Jagiellonia Białystok (1.5) are available at 1.23 and Anderlecht (1.5) at 1.09. At the -1 line, the odds for Jagiellonia Białystok (-1) and Anderlecht (-1) are 4.90 and 3.10 respectively; at the 1 line, they are 1.32 and 1.13. At handicap (0), Anderlecht at 1.65 are shorter than Jagiellonia Białystok at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | -1.5 | 3.75 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.90 | -1 | 3.10 |
| 1.32 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 2.25 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60 and appears more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.25; the latter requires at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
29/100
|
33/100
|
| William Hill |
31/50
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
61/100
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Jagiellonia Białystok — 1 goal; Anderlecht — 1.5 goals.
Jagiellonia Białystok team goals
For Jagiellonia Białystok's team goals, Over 0.5 is available at 1.30 against 3.30 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.60 and Under 1 is 2.25. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 has shorter odds of 1.53, while Over 1.5 is 2.40.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Anderlecht team goals
For Anderlecht's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.15; Over 1 is offered at 1.37 and Under 1 at 2.85. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.75 and Over 1.5 at 2.00; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.35 and Over 2 is 2.95.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ondrej Berka (Czech Republic)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.8;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 9.
