Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Anderlecht are favourites: the away win is priced at 2.10, while the home win and draw are both around 3.35–3.45. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.82 versus 1.93 for over 2.5 goals, indicating a slight lean towards a lower-scoring game. In the handicap markets, Anderlecht Draw No Bet at 1.53 is priced notably shorter than Kairat Draw No Bet at 2.40.
Why Anderlecht are favourites
Bookmakers favour the Belgian club: Anderlecht to win is priced at 2.10, while a Kairat victory is available at 3.35 and the draw at 3.45.
Anderlecht beat PAOK 3:2 in their most recent home Europa League match.
Kairat have already lost at home in European competition this season, going down 0:1 to Levski.
Form and Line-up Kairat
On 15 August 2026, Kairat beat Ulytau 3:1 in the Kazakhstan Premier League.
In home Europa League matches, Kairat have contained opposing attacks: in 9 of their last 10 fixtures, their opponents have scored no more than one goal.
Key numbers:
In 9 of 10 home Europa League matches, Kairat's opponents have received no more than 2 yellow cards.
At least 9 corners have been taken in 8 of Kairat's last 10 Europa League matches.
In 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches, Kairat and their opponents have registered a combined total of at least 8 shots on target.
Probable Kairat line-up (4-2-3-1): Temirlan Anarbekov — Lev Kurgin — Aleksandr Shirobokov — Olzhas Baybek — Aleksandr Mrynskiy — Jaakko Oksanen — Gustavo Pinto Mendonca — Luis Machado Mata — Marc Gual — Oiva Jukkola — Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho
Form and Line-up Anderlecht
Anderlecht are adapting to Vitor Bruno's demands, while Lukas Ambros, Leo Petrot and Giulian Biancone joined the squad in the summer. In the Belgian league, the revamped side lost 0:1 away to Beveren on 16 August.
In away Europa League matches, the Belgians have been pragmatic: across their last 10 games, they have registered no more than five shots on target, while the total number of goals in those fixtures has not exceeded three.
Key numbers:
In 9 of Anderlecht's last 10 away Europa League matches, their opponents have received no more than 2 yellow cards.
In 8 of 10 away Europa League matches, Anderlecht have scored no more than 1 goal.
In 9 of Anderlecht's 10 away Europa League matches, there have been no more than 10 shots on target.
Probable Anderlecht line-up (4-3-3): Colin Coosemans — Ali Maamar — Giulian Biancone — Leo Petrot — Ludwig Augustinsson — Nathan-Dylan Saliba — Enric Llansana — Tristan Degreef — Lukas Ambros — Danilo Sikan — Oliver Antman
Team chances
The margin-free probability of a Kairat win is 28% at odds of 3.57, the draw is 27.2% at 3.67, and an Anderlecht victory is 44.7% at 2.24. Based on average odds, the home win is 3.35, the draw 3.45 and the away win 2.10.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Kairat Almaty to win | 3.35 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
Draw | 3.45 | 3.67 | 27.2% |
Anderlecht to win | 2.10 | 2.24 | 44.7% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 is priced at 1.82 and over 2.5 at 1.93. The gap is wider for 3.5: under 3.5 is available at 1.32 versus 3.10 for over 3.5.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 line, Kairat (-1.5) is priced at 6.30 and Anderlecht (-1.5) at 3.75. For the +1 handicap, the prices are 1.32 for Kairat (+1) and 1.10 for Anderlecht (+1); on the -1 line, they are 5.50 and 3.00 respectively. With a zero handicap, Kairat (0) is priced at 2.40 and Anderlecht (0) at 1.53. On the +1.5 line, Kairat (+1.5) is available at 1.20 and Anderlecht (+1.5) at 1.07.
Home | Handicap | Away |
6.30 | -1.5 | 3.75 |
1.20 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
5.50 | -1 | 3.00 |
1.32 | 1 | 1.10 |
2.40 | 0 | 1.53 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.75, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is priced at 2.00. The lower price gives the market a slight lean towards both teams scoring.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.75 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
1X is priced at 1.70, while 12 and X2 are both available at 1.30. The market rates outcomes without a Kairat win considerably more highly.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.70 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Kairat — 1 goal; Anderlecht — 1.5 goals.
Kairat team total
Kairat: under 0.5 is priced at 2.75 versus 1.40 for over 0.5; on the 1-goal line, under 1 is 1.87 and over 1 is 1.83. For 1.5, under 1.5 is priced at 1.38 and over 1.5 at 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.87 | 1 | 1.83 |
1.38 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Anderlecht team total
Anderlecht: under 0.5 is available at 4.00 and over 0.5 at 1.20; on the 1-goal line, they are 2.70 and 1.40 respectively. Under 1.5 is priced at 1.67 versus 2.07 for over 1.5, while on the 2-goal line, under 2 is 1.27 and over 2 is 3.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
1.67 | 1.5 | 2.07 |
1.27 | 2 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches — 11 (international fixtures, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 11;
Matches with penalties — 1 out of 11.
