Kairat vs Levski Sofia: prediction & betting odds 11 August 2026

Odds Overview

According to the bookmakers' prices, a Kairat Almaty win in normal time is rated at around 2.45, the draw at 3.30 and a Levski Sofia win at 2.75. That set-up reflects a paradoxical situation: the Bulgarian club, who won the first leg and are on an eight-match unbeaten run, are not favourites for the return game. The bookmakers prefer the hosts, taking into account their impressive home record — Kairat Almaty are unbeaten on their own pitch in their last 11 matches in all competitions, as well as their unique experience of getting through European ties.

The totals line is tilted towards the low side: over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25, under 2.5 at 1.60. That imbalance is explained by the nature of the first leg: Kairat Almaty did not have a single shot on target, and the only goal came in the second minute of added time. At home, Kairat Almaty play more aggressively, but in the team's last four matches they have scored more than one goal only once.

The both teams to score market is leaning towards No: Yes is 1.95, No is 1.80. The bookmakers believe Levski Sofia are highly likely not to score in Turkestan, given that in the first leg the Kazakh side did not allow their opponents to create many chances despite the Bulgarians having 71% possession. At the same time, Kairat Almaty themselves are having problems with finishing, so a goal for the hosts is not guaranteed.

Betting Tip

Kairat Almaty have once again found themselves in a situation where they need to come from behind at home — and that is their element. Last season, the team came through all four Champions League qualifying rounds, and in each case the return game at their own stadium proved decisive. Now they also have the experience of the current campaign, in which Kairat Almaty have already got past Omonia on penalties after coming from behind at home (1:0).

Levski Sofia arrive in Turkestan as a team for whom a draw is enough. The Bulgarian club are unbeaten in eight straight matches, but six of those were at home. Away from home in Europe, Levski Sofia are more cautious, and in the first leg, even with a dominant advantage (71% possession, 13 shots), the Bulgarians scored only thanks to a long-range strike in added time.

In the first leg, Kairat Almaty did not have a single shot on target, but at home, backed by the stands, their attacking model should be more aggressive. If the hosts score an early goal, the game will turn around and the Bulgarians will have to open up, creating space for the Kazakh side's counter-attacks. Levski Sofia, meanwhile, will try to look after the ball and use counter-attacks intelligently, but away to motivated opponents it will be extremely difficult to protect a narrow lead.

Given that Kairat Almaty have not lost a single Champions League qualifying tie across two seasons and are unbeaten at home in 11 matches, it is logical to assume that the Kazakh side will at least avoid defeat in normal time. A narrow 1:0 win would send the game into extra time, where the advantage would shift to Kairat Almaty — in the previous round, they already proved their resilience in a penalty shootout.