Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: prediction & betting odds 6 October 2026

Odds overview

Kazakhstan are slight favourites at around 2.40 to win, while the draw and a Faroe Islands win are available at 3.15–3.20. In the main goals market, Under 2.5 at 1.57 is a much shorter price than Over 2.5 at 2.40. Kazakhstan Draw No Bet at 1.68 is shorter than Faroe Islands Draw No Bet at 2.18.

Why Kazakhstan are favourites

Bookmakers give the home side the edge: Kazakhstan are 2.40 to win, the draw is 3.15 and a Faroe Islands victory is available at 3.20.

• The Faroe Islands have been restrained in attack away from home, taking fewer than 12.5 shots in each of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
• Kazakhstan have won three of their last five home matches. 

Form and Line-up Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan's home UEFA Nations League matches have consistently been low-scoring: each of their last 10 home games has featured fewer than 3.5 goals, and they have never managed more than four shots on target in that run.

• Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Kazakhstan's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
• The teams committed fewer than 24.5 fouls combined in 8 of Kazakhstan's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
• Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all competitions.

Probable line-up (4-3-3): Aleksandr Zarutskiy, Yan Vorogovskiy, Nuraly Alip, Temirlan Yerlanov, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Dinmuhamed Karaman, Ramazan Orazov, Bauyrzhan Islamkhan, Elkhan Astanov, Galymzhan Kenzhebek, Ramazan Karimov.

Form and Line-up Faroe Islands

Away from home in the UEFA Nations League, the Faroe Islands have played firmly on the back foot: they have had fewer than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the competition.

• Fewer than 9.5 corners were taken in 9 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
• The total number of fouls was below 23.5 in all 10 of the Faroe Islands' last UEFA Nations League matches.
• The Faroe Islands have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Probable line-up (5-4-1): Mattias Lamhauge, Joannes Danielsen, Odmar Færø, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Andrias Edmundsson, Martin Agnarsson, Poul Kallsberg, Géza Dávid Turi, Jóannes Bjartalid, Hanus Sørensen, Petur Knudsen.

The teams' chances

Kazakhstan are available at 2.40 to win, with fair odds of 2.51 and a 39.8% probability. The draw is offered at 3.15, with fair odds of 3.30 and a 30.3% probability. The corresponding figures for a Faroe Islands win are 3.20, 3.35 and 29.9%: the hosts have only a slight edge.

Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 goals at 1.57 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.40. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 at 1.80 is a slight favourite over Under 2 at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.16 is much more likely than Over 3.5 at 4.30.

Handicap prediction

Kazakhstan (-1.5) are offered at 4.90 and the Faroe Islands (-1.5) at 6.80. Kazakhstan (+1.5) at 1.06 are shorter than the Faroe Islands (+1.5) at 1.13; at the -1 handicap line the respective odds are 4.15 and 5.90, and at the +1 line they are 1.08 and 1.20. At handicap (0), Kazakhstan Draw No Bet at 1.68 is favoured over the Faroe Islands Draw No Bet at 2.18.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score – No at 1.75 is shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.00, so the outcome in which at least one team fails to score looks more likely.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	33/100	2/5	53/100
William Hill	2/5	9/25	1/2
888sport	9/25	2/5	1/2

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Kazakhstan — 1 goal; Faroe Islands — 1 goal.

Kazakhstan team goals

For Kazakhstan's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.95. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.77 is slightly shorter than Under 1 at 1.97, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.42 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.65.

Faroe Islands team goals

For the Faroe Islands' team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.50 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.50. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.65 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.20; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.30 compared with 3.25 for Over 1.5.

Who Will Referee the Match

Kristo Tohver (Estonia)

Matches — 7 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);

Average fouls per match — 24;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.9;

Matches with a red card — 2 of 7;

Matches with a penalty — 3 of 7.