Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Bayer Leverkusen are favourites to win at 1.80, while a Köln win is available at 4.00 and the draw at 4.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is much more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.70. In the handicap market, Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) at 2.65 are rated more likely than Köln (-1.5) at 6.40.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.80 for a Bayer Leverkusen win — the visitors are favourites. The draw is at 4.20 and a Köln win at 4.00.
- Bayer Leverkusen have picked up points consistently over time: they are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Köln have struggled to take maximum points in the league: they have failed to win 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Form and Line-up Köln
Köln drew 1:1 with Union Berlin on 1 November. Shortly before that, on 27 October, they thrashed the same Berlin side 5:0. Looking at the wider picture, Köln remain difficult to beat: they are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
At home, Köln play positively in attack and shoot frequently: they had more than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Köln are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Köln had more than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Marvin Schwäbe, Jahmai Simpson-Pusey, Tom Krauß, Sebastian Sebulonsen, Linton Maina, Paul Okon-Engstler, Mikey Moore, Borna Sosa, Ísak Jóhannesson, Marius Bülter, Said El Mala
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen lost 0:1 to Marseille on 5 November and, before that, 2:4 to Stuttgart on 31 October. Even so, they have scored regularly: at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Patrick Schick is one of their key attacking players. In 8 matches in the current competition, he has scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists.
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Bayer Leverkusen had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez, Ezequiel Fernández, Aleix García, Lucas Vázquez, Ibrahim Maza, Afonso Moreira, Patrick Schick
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53.2% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.80 and fair odds of 1.88. A Köln win has a 24.0% chance, with market odds of 4.00 and fair odds of 4.17. The draw is assessed at 22.8%, with odds of 4.20 and 4.38 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln to win | 4.00 | 4.17 | 24.0% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.38 | 22.8% |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win | 1.80 | 1.88 | 53.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.40 looks more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.70. At 3.5 goals, the market is much more evenly balanced: Under 3.5 is at 1.80 and Over 3.5 at 2.02.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.80 | 2.02 |
Handicap prediction
Köln (-1.5) are offered at 6.40, compared with 2.65 for Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5). At the 1.5-goal handicap, Köln (+1.5) are at 1.42 and Bayer Leverkusen (+1.5) at 1.07. Köln (-1) at 5.70 have much longer odds than Bayer Leverkusen (-1) at 2.25; at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.65 and 1.09. For a handicap of 0, Köln are available at 2.85 and Bayer Leverkusen at 1.37.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.40 | -1.5 | 2.65 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.70 | -1 | 2.25 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2.85 | 0 | 1.37 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.45, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one side will fail to score, is at 2.70.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
91/100
|
11/50
|
1/4
|
| LeoVegas |
22/25
|
1/4
|
27/100
|
| 888sport |
19/20
|
11/50
|
1/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Köln — 1 goal; Bayer Leverkusen — 2 goals.
Köln team goals
For Köln, Under 0.5 goals is at 3.35 and Over 0.5 at 1.28. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is at 2.30 and Over 1 at 1.60; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is at 1.58 and Over 1.5 at 2.30.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.35 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
Bayer Leverkusen team goals
For Bayer Leverkusen, Under 0.5 goals is available at 6.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.07. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 2.40 and Over 1.5 at 1.55; at 2 goals, the respective odds are 1.80 and 1.95. Under 2.5 at 1.48 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.80 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches — 21 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 3 of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 21.
