Odds overview
Kosovo are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.45, while the draw and an away win are around 3.10–3.15. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.35. Kosovo Draw No Bet at 1.70 is preferable to Republic of Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Why Kosovo are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: Kosovo to win is quoted at 2.45, the draw is available at 3.10 and a Republic of Ireland win at 3.15.
- At home, Kosovo regularly limit attacking opponents: in 8 of their last 10 home matches, their opponents had no more than 4 shots on target and no more than 12 shots in total.
- The Republic of Ireland begin the tournament without captain Nathan Collins, so the visitors' coaching staff will have to reshape the centre of defence.
Form and Line-up Kosovo
In March, Kosovo lost to Turkey (0:1) in the FIFA World Cup qualifying final, in a tight match with few chances. At home, however, the national team consistently keeps scoring down: in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 home matches, they and their opponents scored no more than three goals in total.
- Kosovo took no more than 4 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 9 of Kosovo's last 10 matches, they and their opponents registered no more than 10 shots on target.
- There were no more than 3 offsides in 8 of Kosovo's last 10 matches.
Probable Kosovo line-up (3-4-2-1): Arijanet Muric, Lumbardh Dellova, Kreshnik Hajrizi, Albian Hajdari, Mergim Vojvoda, Veldin Hodza, Elvis Rexhbeçaj, Dion Gallapeni, Fisnik Asllani, Florent Muslija, Vedat Muriqi
Form and Line-up Republic of Ireland
The Republic of Ireland ended their June run with a friendly draw against Canada (1:1). The coaching staff have contracts until UEFA Euro 2028, ensuring structural stability, while the Irish attack scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- The Republic of Ireland's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- The Republic of Ireland scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than 4.5 goals were scored in 9 of the Republic of Ireland's last 10 matches.
Probable Republic of Ireland line-up (3-4-1-2): Caoimhin Kelleher, James Abankwah, Jake O'Brien, Dara O'Shea, Chiedozie Ogbene, Conor Coventry, Jayson Molumby, Ryan Manning, Finn Azaz, Troy Parrott, Adam Idah
Team chances
Kosovo to win at 2.45 corresponds to a no-margin probability of 38.9% and fair odds of 2.57. The draw at 3.10 is rated at 30.8% (3.25), while a Republic of Ireland win at 3.15 is rated at 30.3% (3.30): the gap between the latter two outcomes is minimal.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 38.9% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
| Republic of Ireland win | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.00. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.17 has a clear advantage over Over 3.5 goals at 4.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
| 2 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.17 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
Kosovo (-1.5) is available at 4.90, while Republic of Ireland (-1.5) is at 6.70. At the +1.5 line, Kosovo (+1.5) at 1.06 is slightly shorter than Republic of Ireland (+1.5) at 1.12. Kosovo (-1) at 4.20 is shorter than Republic of Ireland (-1) at 5.70, while at +1, Kosovo (+1) is at 1.09 against Republic of Ireland (+1) at 1.20. In the Draw No Bet market, Kosovo at 1.70 is preferable to the Republic of Ireland at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | -1.5 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
| 4.20 | -1 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.75 is shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.00: the market rates slightly higher the scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.00 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
9/25
|
53/100
|
| William Hill |
9/25
|
9/25
|
1/2
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
9/25
|
53/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Kosovo — 1 goal, Republic of Ireland — 1 goal.
Kosovo team total
Kosovo team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.90. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.77 is slightly preferable to Under 1 goal at 2.00, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.42 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.00 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Republic of Ireland team total
Republic of Ireland team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.48 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.55. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.67 is preferable to Over 1 goal at 2.13, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.13 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Lawrence Visser (Belgium)
Matches — 6 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 7.6;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 6;
Matches with penalties — 3 out of 6.
Arijanet Muric
Albian Hajdari
Ilir Krasniqi
Mergim Vojvoda
Dion Gallapeni
Edon Zhegrova
Veldin Hodža
Vedat Muriqi
Amir Saipi
Visar Bekaj
Ron Raçi
Dion Kacuri
Ermal Krasniqi
Milot Avdyli
Milot Rashica
Muharrem Jashari
Valmir Matoshi
Albion Rrahmani
Caoimhín Odhrán Kelleher
Dara Joseph O'Shea
Jake Patrick O'Brien
John Patrick Egan
Liam Scales
Finn Azaz
Jason Knight
Jayson Molumby
Chiedozie Ogbene
Troy Daniel Parrott
Gavin Okeroghene Bazunu
Joel Bagan
Liam James Kitching
Conor Coventry
Killian Phillips
Rocco Vata
Adam Uche Idah
Owen Elding
