Odds Overview
KuPS Kuopio are the 1X2 favourites: home win is priced at 1.90, while the draw is around 3.40 and away win is 4.05. In the main totals line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. On the handicap 0 line, KuPS Draw No Bet is quoted at 1.40 against 2.85 on Shamrock Rovers Draw No Bet, which also highlights the hosts.
Why KuPS Kuopio Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the hosts the edge: KuPS are offered at 1.90 to win, the draw is priced at 3.40, while a Shamrock Rovers victory is 4.05.
- In 8 of KuPS' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
- In 9 of Shamrock Rovers' last 10 matches in all competitions, their opponents were limited to a maximum of two goals.
Form and Line-up KuPS
For the Finns, the UEFA Conference League is their third attempt to secure European football in the autumn: first the team exited Champions League qualifying, then they lost to Universitatea Craiova in the third round of the Europa League. In Dublin, KuPS were behind during the second half but rescued themselves thanks to a goal from substitute Parzyszek in the 85th minute.
Domestically, things are more stable: the team lead the Finnish championship by five points, and before travelling to Ireland they beat Lahti (2:1).
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches, KuPS stayed under 2.5 goals.
In 8 of 10 matches in the tournament, the team scored no more than one goal.
In 9 of 10 UEFA Conference League matches involving KuPS, the two teams combined for no more than 9 shots on target.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Johannes Kreidl — Saku Savolainen, Boi Magassa, Kasim Adams Nuhu, Clinton Antwi — Valentin Roman Gasc, Saikou Touray — Tommi Jyry, Petteri Pennanen, Bob Nii Armah — Jaime Jose Moreno Ciorciari.
Form and Line-up Shamrock Rovers
The Irish side are clear leaders in their domestic league with a seven-point advantage, but their European season has been difficult: exits from Champions League and Europa League qualifying, the latter with a heavy away defeat to Egnatia (1:5). Add to that a defeat by St Patrick's Athletic in the FAI Cup (2:3) four days before the first match against KuPS.
At home, Shamrock really are transformed — five straight wins with an average of 3.4 goals. But in Dublin against the Finns they could not hold on to their lead.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches, the team had no more than 11 shots.
In 9 of 10 away matches in the tournament, the players committed no more than 12 fouls.
In 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Over 1.5 goals landed.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Edward McGinty — Lee Grace, Roberto Lopes, Enda Stevens — Tunmise Sobowale, Dylan Watts, Matt Healy, Jack Byrne, William Fitzgerald — Jonathan Afolabi, Graham Burke.
Team Chances
KuPS Kuopio to win is offered at 1.90; the no-margin price is 2.03 and the probability is 49.3%. The draw is 3.40, with a no-margin price of 3.63 and a probability of 27.6%. Shamrock Rovers to win is 4.05, with a no-margin price of 4.32 and a probability of 23.1%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
KuPS Kuopio to win | 1.90 | 2.03 | 49.3% |
Draw | 3.40 | 3.63 | 27.6% |
Shamrock Rovers to win | 4.05 | 4.32 | 23.1% |
Totals Betting Tip
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is priced lower than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For the 2 line, Over 2 goals is 1.58 against 2.25 on Under 2 goals. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals is noticeably shorter at 1.22, while Over 3.5 goals is 3.85.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
2 | 2.25 | 1.58 |
3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap Betting Tip
KuPS handicap (-1.5) at 3.70 is priced significantly lower than 8.50 on Shamrock Rovers handicap (-1.5). For KuPS handicap (+1.5) and Shamrock Rovers handicap (+1.5), the prices are 1.04 and 1.22. On the -1 line, KuPS handicap (-1) is 2.85 and Shamrock Rovers handicap (-1) is 7.10; on the +1 line, it is 1.05 on KuPS handicap (+1) against 1.37 on Shamrock Rovers handicap (+1). The lowest price among those listed is 1.40 on KuPS Draw No Bet, while Shamrock Rovers Draw No Bet is 2.85.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
3.70 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
1.04 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
2.85 | -1 | 7.10 |
1.05 | 1 | 1.37 |
1.40 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both Teams to Score Betting Tip
Both teams to score - No is priced lower at 1.80 against 1.95 on Both teams to score - Yes, meaning the market leans slightly more towards a scenario in which at least one team do not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.95 |
No | 1.80 |
Double Chance Betting Tip
Double chance 1X is 1.22, 12 is 1.30, and X2 is 1.85. X2 remains the most expensive of the three options.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.22 | 1.30 | 1.85 |
Team Total Betting Tip
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: KuPS Kuopio — 1.5 goals, Shamrock Rovers — 0.5 goals.
KuPS Kuopio Team Total
KuPS Kuopio: Under 0.5 goals is 3.90 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.20; on the 1 line, the prices are 2.60 on Under 1 goal and 1.43 on Over 1 goal. For the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals is 1.64 against 2.13 on Over 1.5 goals, while on the 2 line it is 1.25 on Under 2 goals and 3.55 on Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.60 | 1 | 1.43 |
1.64 | 1.5 | 2.13 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.55 |
Shamrock Rovers Team Total
Shamrock Rovers: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.55. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal is 1.52 against 2.35 on Over 1 goal, and at the 1.5 mark it is 1.25 on Under 1.5 goals and 3.65 on Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.30 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.52 | 1 | 2.35 |
1.25 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Patrik Kolaric (Croatia)
Matches – 12 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 5.5;
Matches with red cards – 0 of 12;
Matches with penalties – 9 of 12.
