Odds Overview
Larne are the 1X2 favourites: Larne to win is priced at 1.95, while the draw and Lincoln Red Imps to win are available at 3.65 and 3.55. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals (1.82) is rated slightly above Under 2.5 goals (1.92). On the main handicap, Larne handicap (0) at 1.47 is noticeably shorter than Lincoln Red Imps handicap (0) at 2.60.
Why Larne Are Favourites for the Match
Larne to win is priced at 1.95, the draw is offered at 3.65, and a possible Lincoln Red Imps win is available at 3.55.
- The hosts go into the return leg with a two-goal cushion after a convincing 2:0 away win in the first match.
- Lincoln Red Imps regularly struggle away from home, having failed to win any of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Form and Line-up Larne
Larne's domestic league matches were postponed, giving the team a full rest and the chance to focus on this European fixture. In addition, defender Daniel Bent knows the opponents well, having previously played for them.
At home in the UEFA Conference League, Larne prefer to keep the tempo under control: in their last 10 home matches in the tournament, the combined total shots by both teams, including blocked attempts, did not exceed 22.5, while the hosts themselves scored no more than one goal in 9 of those 10 games.
Key numbers:
- Larne received at least 2 yellow cards in all of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Larne's opponents scored a maximum of one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Larne scored under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Larne line-up (4-3-3): Rohan Ferguson — Tomas Cosgrove — Daniel Bent — Matt Ridley — Aaron Donnelly — Ronan Doherty — Christopher Gallagher — Sean Graham — Dylan Sloan — Montel Gibson — Matthew Lusty
Form and Line-up Lincoln Red Imps
The first match went badly for the Gibraltarians — the team lost 0:2, having been forced to play with a man down from the first half. Head coach Juan Manuel Pavon, appointed in May, is taking charge of his first European campaign at the club.
In away European matches, the Gibraltarian club struggle creatively: in their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches, Lincoln Red Imps took a maximum of 4 corners while allowing opponents at least 4 shots on target.
Key numbers:
- Lincoln Red Imps scored a maximum of one goal in all of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps had fewer than 11.5 shot attempts, including blocked attempts, in all of their last 10 away UEFA Conference League matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps did not beat their opponents for fouls committed in any of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Lincoln Red Imps line-up (3-5-2): Jaylan Hankins — Christian Rutjens — Bernardo Lopes — Nano — Julliani Eersteling — Mandi — Joe — Ali Coulibaly — Alex Mula — Facundo Alvarez — Manu Toledano
Absentees: Yussef Flalhi Idrissi will miss the match because of his sending-off in the first game.
Team Chances
Larne to win is offered at 1.95; the no-margin estimate is 2.08 and 48.0%. For the draw, the figures are 3.65, 3.90 and 25.6%, while for Lincoln Red Imps to win they are 3.55, 3.79 and 26.4% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larne to win | 1.95 | 2.08 | 48.0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.90 | 25.6% |
| Lincoln Red Imps to win | 3.55 | 3.79 | 26.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.92, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.82. At 3.5, the preference for Under 3.5 is even more noticeable at 1.35 against 2.90 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap Prediction
On the -1.5 handicap, Larne (-1.5) are priced at 3.30, while Lincoln Red Imps (-1.5) are 6.70. On the 1.5 line, Larne (1.5) are shorter at 1.06 against 1.27 for Lincoln Red Imps (1.5). For the -1 handicap, the prices are 2.70 for Larne (-1) and 5.90 for Lincoln Red Imps (-1); for 1, they are 1.08 and 1.40 for Larne (1) and Lincoln Red Imps (1). On the Draw No Bet handicap, Larne handicap (0) at 1.47 is shorter than Lincoln Red Imps handicap (0) at 2.60.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.70 | -1 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.47 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is priced at 1.72, while Both teams to score — No is 2.05; the lower odds indicate a higher assessment of a scenario in which both teams score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.72 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double Chance Prediction
In the double chance market, 12 is priced at 1.25, 1X at 1.27 and X2 at 1.80; the X2 option is rated more cautiously than the others.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
27/100
|
1/4
|
4/5
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Larne — 1.5 goals, Lincoln Red Imps — 1 goal.
Larne Team Total
Larne: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 4.20, Over 0.5 goals at 1.17; on the 1 line, the prices are 3.00 and 1.35 respectively. For the 1.5 total, the prices are 1.75 for Under 1.5 goals and 1.95 for Over 1.5 goals, while on the 2 line it is 1.35 for Under 2 goals against 2.90 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Lincoln Red Imps Team Total
Lincoln Red Imps: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 2.70, Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. On the 1 line, the odds are close: 1.80 for Under 1 goal and 1.90 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.37 is noticeably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Radoslav Gidzhenov (Bulgaria)
Matches – 7 (international fixtures, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.5;
Matches with red cards – 1 of 7;
Matches with penalties – 5 of 7.
