Latvia vs Cyprus: prediction & betting odds 28 September 2026

Odds overview

Latvia have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: a Latvia win is 2.60 against 2.80 for Cyprus, while the draw is 3.30. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at around 1.68 and Over 2.5 at 2.20. With a handicap of 0, Latvia are 1.85 and Cyprus 1.95, giving Latvia a narrow advantage in the market.

Why Latvia are favourites

Bookmakers offer similar odds on the match outcomes: Latvia to win is 2.60, Cyprus to win is 2.80, and the draw is 3.30.

• Latvia lost to the Faroe Islands in their June match, conceding the decisive goal right at the end.
• Cyprus beat Liechtenstein in their previous match, creating a clear advantage and hitting the woodwork twice.

Form and Line-up Latvia

Latvia face a demanding September schedule, with four matches in eleven days, making squad rotation unavoidable for the coaching staff.

Latvia's previous home Nations League matches have consistently been low-scoring affairs: the total number of goals did not exceed 3.5 in any of the ten games, and the offside total stayed below 3.5.

• Latvia scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home Nations League matches.
• Latvia took more than 3.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home Nations League matches.
• Latvia's opponents committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home Nations League matches.

Probable Latvia line-up (4-4-2): Frenks Orols, Daniels Balodis, Antonijs Černomordijs, Roberts Savaļnieks, Raivis Jurkovskis, Andrejs Cigaņiks, Eduards Emsis, Lūkass Vapne, Maksims Toņiševs, Vladislavs Gutkovskis, Kristaps Grabovskis

Form and Line-up Cyprus

Cyprus also face a congested schedule of four matches in eleven days, with their first two away to Montenegro and Latvia.

The coaching staff have broadened their options by calling up Marcus Edwards, Leonidas Konomis and Nicholas Tsaroulla for the September squad. Meanwhile, defender Konstantinos Laifis trained individually before the camp began.

• There were more than 2.5 offsides in 8 of Cyprus's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
• Cyprus's opponents received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
• The total number of yellow cards exceeded 2.5 in 8 of Cyprus's last 10 away matches across all competitions.

Probable Cyprus line-up (4-2-3-1): Antreas Paraskevas, Andreas Siikkis, Konstantinos Sotiriou, Nikolas Panayiotou, Kostas Pileas, Ioannis Kostis, Grigoris Kastanos, Charalampos Kyriakou, Angelos Neofytou, Andronikos Kakoullis, Marinos Tzionis

The teams' chances

Odds of 2.60 for Latvia to win correspond to a fair probability of 36.8% and fair odds of 2.72. The draw is listed at 3.30, 29.0% and 3.45; Cyprus to win at 2.80, 34.2% and 2.93. Latvia have the narrowest of advantages over Cyprus.

Total goals prediction

At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.68 against 2.20 for Over, favouring a lower-scoring match. At the 2-goal line, Over is 1.65 and Under 2.15. For 3.5 goals, Under is available at 1.22 and Over at 3.80: the market considers three or more goals much more likely than four or more.

Handicap prediction

The odds for Latvia (-1.5) and Cyprus (-1.5) are close at 5.20 and 5.50. It is similar for Latvia (+1.5) and Cyprus (+1.5): 1.10 against 1.11. At the -1 handicap line, Latvia (-1) are 4.30 and Cyprus (-1) 4.60; at the +1 line, they are 1.14 and 1.16 respectively. With a handicap of 0, Latvia are shorter than Cyprus at 1.85 against 1.95.

Both teams to score prediction

There is almost nothing between the two options in the market: Both teams to score – Yes is 1.88, while No is 1.87. The latter means that at least one team will fail to score.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	53/100	9/25	2/5
William Hill	11/25	7/20	11/25
888sport	1/2	9/25	9/25

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Latvia — 1 goal; Cyprus — 1 goal.

Latvia team goals

For Latvia's team goals, Under 0.5 is 2.90 and Over 0.5 is 1.35; at the 1-goal line, they are 2.02 and 1.75 respectively; at 1.5, Under is 1.45 and Over 2.65. The market expects Latvia to score at least once but is more cautious about two or more goals.

Cyprus team goals

For Cyprus's team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 2.85 and Over 0.5 at 1.37. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under is 1.87 and Over 1.88. At 1.5, Under is 1.38 against 2.80 for Over, making no more than one Cyprus goal considerably more likely.

Who Will Referee the Match

Michal Ocenas (Slovakia)

Matches — 7 (international matches, 2024/25–2026/27);

Average fouls per match — 20;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.4;

Matches with a red card — 3 out of 7;

Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 7.