Odds overview
The odds give Lorient a slight edge to win at 2.55, with Le Havre at 2.80 and the draw at 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is around 1.78, compared with 2.02 for Over 2.5. In the handicap market, Lorient (0) at 1.80 are shorter than Le Havre (0) at 2.00.
Why Lorient are favourites
The odds make Lorient favourites: an away win is offered at 2.55, a Le Havre win at 2.80 and a draw at 3.35.
- Lorient have been solid defensively: their opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Le Havre have had persistent problems at home: they have not won any of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Form and Line-up Le Havre
In their most recent league match, on 30 October, Le Havre suffered a heavy 1:5 home defeat to Paris Saint-Germain. They had lost their previous two league matches as well: 3:4 away to Marseille on 25 October and 1:3 at home to Auxerre on 18 October.
Le Havre have changed coach ahead of their meeting with Lorient: the club have temporarily suspended head coach Didier Digard and appointed Jaïr Karam as caretaker. He has already taken his first training session, on 2 November, and will lead the team in this match.
- Le Havre have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitive competitions.
- Le Havre's players have registered fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 competitive matches.
Probable line-up: Arnaud Bodart, Junior Mwanga, Ahmed Touba, Enzo Koffi, Djibril Ouziad, Simon Ebonog, Amir Richardson, Rayan Fofana, Sota Nakamura, Josh Maja, Mohamed N'Diaye.
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau, Timothée Pembélé, Elias Jelert and Felix Mambimbi will miss out for Le Havre through injury, while Ayumu Seko is suspended after accumulating yellow cards.
Form and Line-up Lorient
Lorient lost 0:2 at home to Brest in the previous round, on 2 November. Before that, they had kept clean sheets in two consecutive matches: a 0:0 draw away to Angers on 25 October and a 1:0 home win over Monaco on 18 October.
Earlier in October, Lorient beat Paris 1:0 at home on 10 October and Nantes 2:1 at home on 3 October.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Lorient's last 10 matches in all competitive competitions.
- The teams have registered fewer than 9.5 shots on target combined in each of Lorient's last 10 competitive matches.
Probable line-up: Yvon Mvogo, Nathaniel Adjei, Montassar Talbi, Souleymane Touré, Demba Sylla, Noah Cadiou, Jean-Victor Makengo, Arsène Kouassi, Souleymane Faye, Arthur Avom, Ibraima Baldé.
Bandiougou Fadiga and Panos Katseris will miss the match for Lorient through injury.
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Lorient a 37.4% chance of winning, with fair odds of 2.67; a Le Havre win is rated at 34.1% and 2.93, and the draw at 28.5% and 3.51. Average odds are 2.55 for a Lorient win, 2.80 for a Le Havre win and 3.35 for a draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
| Lorient to win | 2.55 | 2.67 | 37.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.78 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.02. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is quoted at 1.52 against 2.45 for Under 2, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 has much shorter odds — 1.30 against 3.25 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 2.02 |
| 2 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Le Havre (-1.5) are offered at 5.30 and Lorient (-1.5) at 4.90. The odds for the +1.5 handicap are almost identical: Le Havre (+1.5) are 1.12 and Lorient (+1.5) are 1.11. On the -1 line, Lorient (-1) are shorter at 4.10 than Le Havre (-1) at 4.40; on the +1 line, Lorient (+1) are 1.15 against 1.18 for Le Havre (+1). With a zero handicap, Lorient (0) are 1.80 and Le Havre (0) are 2.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | -1.5 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4.40 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 2.00 | 0 | 1.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.78, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is quoted at 1.98.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
| LeoVegas |
1/2
|
33/100
|
21/50
|
| 888sport |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Le Havre — 1 goal; Lorient — 1 goal.
Le Havre team total goals
For Le Havre, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 2.00 and Over 1 at 1.75; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.45 against 2.65 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.00 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Lorient team total goals
For Lorient, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 3.25 and Over 0.5 at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.30 and Over 1 is 1.60; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.53 and Over 1.5 at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Aurélien Petit (France)
Matches — 5 (Ligue 1 and Ligue 2, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.4;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 5;
Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 5.
