Champions League
2nd Qualifying Round
Broadcast
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Lech
FINISHED BY PENALTY
0
:
3
29 July, 18:00
Aarhus
1
40/1
X
35/4
2
31/10
OT
1
1
P
3
4
0
3
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Odds for upcoming matches

1 X 2
Under Over
20:00
1 7/25
X 13/2
2 9/1
Under 2.5 18/5
2.5
Over 2.5 1/5
20:00
1 7/2
X 18/5
2 67/100
Under 2.5 12/5
2.5
Over 2.5 33/100
20:00
1 5/4
X 3/1
2 47/25
Under 2.5 163/100
2.5
Over 2.5 1/2
17:45
1 23/20
X 16/5
2 39/20
Under 2.5 9/4
2.5
Over 2.5 9/25
20:00
1 11/4
X 16/5
2 21/25
Under 2.5 2/1
2.5
Over 2.5 41/100
All matches
Match stats
Logo Lech Lech
Aarhus Logo Aarhus
49 Ball possession (%) 51
18 Goal attempts 14
9 Shots on Goal 6
9 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked shots 6

Lech vs Aarhus: prediction & betting odds 29 July 2026

Published: 27 July 2026 22:03

On Wednesday 29 July 2026, in the second leg of the Champions League second qualifying round, Lech Poznan will host AGF Aarhus. The match at Enea Stadion in Poznan will kick off at 18:00 BST.

The first leg in Denmark has all but killed the intrigue. The Poles came away with a resounding 4:1 win and a three-goal cushion, while the Danes were left with their goalkeeper sent off. The hosts are already thinking about the third round, the visitors have come just to see out the formality.

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Betting Tip

Lech came into the season as back-to-back Polish champions. In the last campaign they won their tenth Ekstraklasa title, taking 60 points from 34 rounds and finishing four points clear of Gornik Zabrze. In the summer Niels Frederiksen’s side added the Super Cup, coming from behind in a match against the same Gornik (3:1). Their class is beyond dispute.

But the start of the competitive home season was laboured. In the opening Ekstraklasa round Lech failed to break down Cracovia — a goalless 0:0 on their own pitch. Mikael Ishak and Patrik Walemark tore the Danes apart away from home, and a few days later the same attack ran into a Polish mid-table side. Motivation is a very specific thing: in Denmark they were playing for qualification, in Poznan they will be playing for the record.

Frederiksen has no need to push his players. The third round and a far stronger opponent lie ahead, and Alex Douglas and Ali Gholizadeh are already out injured. Rotation, saving legs and calm control of the ball — that is the whole plan for the second game.

AGF Aarhus are no pushovers either. The Danes won the Superliga for the first time since 1986, taking 67 points from 32 rounds. The heavy scoreline in the first meeting was largely down to Jesper Hansen’s dismissal: the visitors spent almost an hour defending with ten men. In 11 vs 11 Jakob Poulsen’s team are very disciplined, and they opened their Superliga campaign with a 1:1 draw against Brondby.

The Danes will not be able to overturn a three-goal deficit away from home and they know it themselves. So there will be no storm from the first minutes: a compact block, rare raids through Tobias Bech and an attempt to save face. The hosts will be saving their energy, the visitors will be protecting their goal. In such a setup, a draw at 3.72 is the most underrated option on the coupon.

Betting prediction
Draw
Cf
Odds
68/25
Read more

Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
53,8 %
Win rate
-8,7 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
394
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Lech

Niels Frederiksen
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Mateusz Lis
gk. 0 0
Michał Gurgul
df. 0 0
Robert Krzysztof Gumny
df. 0 0
Terry Yegbe
df. 0 0
Wojciech Mońka
df. 0 0
Antoni Kozubal
mf. 0 0
Jens Patrik Wålemark
mf. 0 0
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
mf. 0 0
Radosław Paweł Murawski
mf. 0 0
Mikael Ishak
fw. 0 0
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Hubert Janyszka
0 0
Bartosz Mrozek
gk. 0 0
Mateusz Pruchniewski
gk. 0 0
Joel Vieira Pereira
df. 0 0
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho
df. 0 0
Mateusz Skrzypczak
df. 0 0
Daniel Noel Mikael Håkans
mf. 0 0
Filip Wojciech Jagiełło
mf. 0 0
Gísli Gottskálk Þórðarson
mf. 0 0
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
fw. 0 0
Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
fw. 0 0
Aarhus

Jakob Poulsen
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Mads Hedenstad Christiansen
gk. 0 0
Eric Andre Kahl
df. 0 0
Frederik Beyer Tingager
df. 0 0
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
df. 0 0
Jens Jønsson
mf. 0 0
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
mf. 0 0
Magnus Nordengen Knudsen
mf. 0 0
Mikael Neville Anderson
mf. 0 0
Frederik Emmery Søgaard
fw. 0 0
James Bogere
fw. 0 0
Tobias Bech Kristensen
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Marius van der Raad
gk. 0 0
Otto Lyhne
gk. 0 0
Christian Storch
df. 0 0
H. Sengooba
df. 0 0
Mouhammade Camara
df. 0 0
Rasmus Bjerregaard Carstensen
df. 0 0
Zander Grantzau
df. 0 0
Oskar Skou Haugstrup
mf. 0 0
Sebastian Vinther Jørgensen
mf. 0 0
Janni-Luca Serra
fw. 0 0
Stefen Erwan Tchamche
fw. 0 0
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
fw. 0 0

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H2H: Lech — Aarhus

Champions League 2026/27
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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
3 3 0 0 14:5 9
2
Aston Villa
3 3 0 0 12:3 9
3
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 12:7 9
4
Real Madrid
3 3 0 0 10:5 9
5
Real Betis
3 3 0 0 7:4 9
6
Stuttgart
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
7
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 6:2 7
8
Barcelona
3 2 0 1 11:6 6
9
Como
3 2 0 1 10:5 6
10
Manchester City
3 2 0 1 9:5 6
11
Brugge
3 2 0 1 9:6 6
12
Sporting CP
3 2 0 1 7:4 6
13
Borussia Dortmund
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
14
Bayern Munich
3 1 2 0 10:5 5
15
AS Roma
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16
Atlético Madrid
3 1 1 1 4:3 4
17
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 1 1 1 4:3 4
18
PSV
3 1 1 1 2:2 4
19
Villarreal
3 1 0 2 8:8 3
20
Inter Milan
3 1 0 2 5:6 3
21
Manchester United
3 1 0 2 5:6 3
22
Napoli
3 1 0 2 5:7 3
23
Galatasaray
3 1 0 2 6:9 3
24
LASK Linz
3 1 0 2 6:9 3
25
FK Sabah
3 1 0 2 3:6 3
26
Feyenoord
3 1 0 2 4:8 3
27
Lens
3 1 0 2 3:7 3
28
Bodo Glimt
3 1 0 2 4:9 3
29
AEK Athens
3 1 0 2 3:8 3
30
RB Leipzig
3 1 0 2 3:8 3
31
Fenerbahce
3 0 2 1 3:9 2
32
Slavia Prague
3 0 1 2 4:7 1
33
Viking
3 0 1 2 5:9 1
34
Porto
3 0 0 3 2:6 0
35
Lille
3 0 0 3 4:10 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
3 0 0 3 1:13 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
2 2 0 0 10:3 6
2
Aston Villa
2 2 0 0 9:1 6
3
Liverpool
2 2 0 0 6:4 6
4
Real Madrid
2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5
Real Betis
2 2 0 0 4:2 6
6
Como
2 2 0 0 8:2 6
7
Stuttgart
2 1 1 0 4:2 4
8
Bayern Munich
2 1 1 0 7:2 4
9
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
10
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 5:1 3
11
Manchester City
2 1 0 1 7:5 3
12
Brugge
2 1 0 1 5:3 3
13
Sporting CP
2 1 0 1 5:4 3
14
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
15
AS Roma
2 1 0 1 7:4 3
16
Atlético Madrid
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
17
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
18
Villarreal
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
19
Inter Milan
2 1 0 1 4:4 3
20
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
21
Napoli
2 1 0 1 4:4 3
22
FK Sabah
2 1 0 1 3:2 3
23
Feyenoord
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
24
Bodo Glimt
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
25
AEK Athens
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
26
RB Leipzig
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
27
Fenerbahce
2 0 2 0 3:3 2
28
PSV
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
29
Viking
1 0 1 0 3:3 1
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 1:4 0
31
LASK Linz
1 0 0 1 3:6 0
32
Lens
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33
Slavia Prague
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
34
Porto
2 0 0 2 0:3 0
35
Lille
2 0 0 2 4:7 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Arsenal
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2
PSG
1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 6:3 3
5
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 4:3 3
6
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7
Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
8
Barcelona
2 1 0 1 6:5 3
9
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10
Brugge
1 1 0 0 4:3 3
11
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13
PSV
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14
Galatasaray
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
15
LASK Linz
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16
Lens
2 1 0 1 3:5 3
17
Bayern Munich
1 0 1 0 3:3 1
18
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19
Atlético Madrid
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
20
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 0 1 1 1:2 1
21
Slavia Prague
2 0 1 1 2:4 1
22
Como
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23
Villarreal
2 0 0 2 5:7 0
24
Inter Milan
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25
Manchester United
2 0 0 2 1:6 0
26
Napoli
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
27
FK Sabah
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
28
Feyenoord
2 0 0 2 1:6 0
29
Bodo Glimt
2 0 0 2 3:9 0
30
AEK Athens
2 0 0 2 2:8 0
31
RB Leipzig
2 0 0 2 2:8 0
32
Fenerbahce
1 0 0 1 0:6 0
33
Viking
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34
Porto
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
35
Lille
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Round of 16
Play-off
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Lech vs Aarhus Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
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