Odds overview
Leeds United are favourites at 1.80, while the draw is available at 3.80 and Crystal Palace to win at 4.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Leeds United Draw No Bet at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Crystal Palace Draw No Bet at 3.05.
Why Leeds United are favourites
Leeds United to win is available at 1.80, the draw at 3.80, and Crystal Palace to win at 4.50.
• Leeds United have been consistent and avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
• Crystal Palace have struggled for results over the longer term, failing to win 9 of their last 10 league matches.
Form and Line-up Leeds United
In the last round, Leeds United produced a strong home performance against Newcastle United, thrashing their opponents 4:1. That success was preceded by two draws — 1:1 away to Brighton & Hove Albion and 1:1 at home to Brentford. This leaves the Whites third in the table.
At home, Daniel Farke's team are regularly active down the flanks and maintain their discipline: in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches at Elland Road, the hosts took at least five corners while receiving no more than two yellow cards.
- Leeds United have scored at least one goal in each of their last five Premier League home matches
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Leeds United have been caught offside no more than twice
- No more than four yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Leeds United's last 10 Premier League home matches
Probable Leeds United line-up (3-5-2): James Trafford, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson, James Justin, Nico Elvedi, Tarik Muharemović, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Anton Stach, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Absentees: Joe Rodon, Mateo Joseph (injured)
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace beat Fulham 3:2 away recently, but then lost 2:3 at home to Ipswich Town in the following round. In that match, the London side were reduced to ten men after Axel Disasi was sent off in the 34th minute and conceded the decisive goal in the 90th.
Away from home, the Londoners' opponents regularly find ways to goal: Crystal Palace have conceded at least once in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, while the opposing team's players have received no more than two yellow cards.
- Crystal Palace's opponents have scored at least two goals in each of their last 10 Premier League matches
- In 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Crystal Palace's opponents have taken at least five corners
- No more than four yellow cards have been shown in each of Crystal Palace's last 10 Premier League matches
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-2-1): Walter Daniel Benítez, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Chris Richards, Honest Ahanor, Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Quinten Timber, Anan Khalaili, Yeremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jørgen Strand Larsen
Absentees: Dean Henderson, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Chadi Riad (injured), Axel Disasi (suspended)
Team chances
Leeds United to win is available at 1.80; the fair odds are 1.87 and the probability is 53.4%. The draw is at 3.80, with fair odds of 3.96 and a probability of 25.3%; Crystal Palace to win is 4.50, 4.68 and 21.3% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United to win | 1.80 | 1.87 | 53.4% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.96 | 25.3% |
| Crystal Palace to win | 4.50 | 4.68 | 21.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Leeds United (-1.5) is available at 2.85, compared with 7.90 for Crystal Palace (-1.5). Leeds United (+1.5) is 1.04 and Crystal Palace (+1.5) is 1.37; Leeds United (-1) is 2.35 compared with 6.80 for Crystal Palace (-1). Leeds United (+1) at 1.06 is shorter than Crystal Palace (+1) at 1.60, while Leeds United Draw No Bet at 1.33 is shorter than Crystal Palace Draw No Bet at 3.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | -1.5 | 7.90 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| 2.35 | -1 | 6.80 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.33 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.70 is more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.10, meaning at least one team is not expected to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
1/4
|
21/20
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
29/100
|
1/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Leeds United — 1.5 goals; Crystal Palace — 1 goal.
Leeds United team total
Leeds United team total: Under 0.5 goals at 5.10 versus Over 0.5 goals at 1.12; at the 1-goal line, 3.65 and 1.25 respectively. Under 1.5 goals at 1.97 is slightly longer than Over 1.5 goals at 1.77, while Under 2 goals at 1.50 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Crystal Palace team total
Crystal Palace team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.60 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.47. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.75 is slightly shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.02, while Under 1.5 goals at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.75 | 1 | 2.02 |
| 1.33 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
