Odds overview
Leeds United to win is available at around 2.65, Tottenham Hotspur to win at 2.70, and the draw at 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is considered slightly more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. On the zero handicap, Leeds United Draw No Bet is shorter than Tottenham Hotspur Draw No Bet: 1.88 versus 1.92.
Why there is no clear favourite
The bookmakers' match-result odds make Leeds United narrow favourites — a home win is available at 2.65, compared with 2.70 for a Tottenham Hotspur win. The draw is quoted at 3.35.
- Leeds United are unbeaten at Elland Road in the Premier League this season, with one win and three draws.
- Tottenham Hotspur have taken 10 points from their previous four Premier League matches, winning the last three.
Form and Line-up Leeds United
Leeds United lost 0:2 away to Bournemouth in the previous round. After the match, head coach Daniel Farke publicly backed goalkeeper James Trafford, who had made a costly error. The coach stressed that the whole team was responsible for the result. It was the fourth away match in a row that Leeds failed to win, but they now return to Elland Road, where they have yet to surrender all three points to any opponent.
- Leeds United have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Leeds United have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): James Trafford, Jaka Bijol, Nico Elvedi, Tarik Muharemović, Jayden Bogle, Ao Tanaka, Ethan Ampadu, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Harry Wilson, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Absentees: Mateo Joseph (injury), Noah Okafor, Joe Rodon (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur beat Crystal Palace 2:0 in Matchweek 9. After the match, head coach Roberto De Zerbi said the players had improved physically and were working better together on the pitch. He also urged them to be more decisive when finishing attacks. Spurs' winning run has reached three matches, during which they have conceded only once, against Coventry City on 19 October (3:1).
- Tottenham Hotspur have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Tottenham Hotspur's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in each of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 away matches in the Premier League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Antonín Kinský, Archie Gray, Andy Robertson, Micky van de Ven, Jan Paul van Hecke, Sandro Tonali, Mateus Fernandes, Omar Marmoush, Mohammed Kudus, James Maddison, Mathys Tel
Absentees: Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons, Sávio, Mykhailo Mudryk, Rodrigo Bentancur (injuries)
The teams' chances
Without the bookmaker's margin, Leeds United's win probability is 36.1%, with average odds of 2.65 and fair odds of 2.77. The draw is rated at 28.5%, with market odds of 3.35 and fair odds of 3.50. Tottenham Hotspur's win probability is 35.4%, with market odds of 2.70 and fair odds of 2.82.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United win | 2.65 | 2.77 | 36.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.4% |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
3/10
|
1/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is considerably shorter at 1.32, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 3.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Leeds United (-1.5) and Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) are both quoted at 4.90. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost identical: Leeds United (+1.5) at 1.12 and Tottenham Hotspur (+1.5) at 1.13. On the -1 handicap, Leeds United (-1) are 4.05 versus 4.15 for Tottenham Hotspur (-1), while both sides are 1.18 on the +1 handicap. At handicap (0), Leeds United Draw No Bet at 1.88 is slightly shorter than Tottenham Hotspur Draw No Bet at 1.92.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | -1.5 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.05 | -1 | 4.15 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 1.88 | 0 | 1.92 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.73 is considered more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.05. The latter means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
3/10
|
1/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Leeds United — 1 goal; Tottenham Hotspur — 1 goal.
Leeds United team total goals
For Leeds United, Over 0.5 goals at 1.30 is clearly favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 3.30. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is available at 1.62 versus 2.25 for Under 1 goal. At 1.5 goals, the market favours Under 1.5 goals at 1.52, while Over 1.5 goals is offered at 2.45.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Tottenham Hotspur team total goals
For Tottenham Hotspur, Over 0.5 goals at 1.30 looks considerably more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 3.20. Over 1 goal is quoted at 1.65 versus 2.18 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is shorter at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.18 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches — 6 (Premier League, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.2;
Matches with a red card — 3 of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 6.
