Odds overview
Lens look the favourites: a Lens win is available at 2.20, a draw at 3.90 and a Marseille win at 3.00. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Under 2.5 goals. In the handicap market, Lens (0) at 1.65 are favoured over Marseille (0) at 2.20.
Why Lens are favourites
The bookmakers favour Lens: a home win is offered at odds of 2.20. A Marseille win is available at 3.00 and a draw at 3.90.
- Lens have scored consistently in the league, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Marseille have lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
Form and Line-up Lens
Lens's most recent match ended in a heavy defeat: they lost 1:9 to Como on 4 November 2026. Before that, in Ligue 1, they lost 0:1 away to Lille on 30 October and beat Paris 2:1 at home on 24 October.
Lens have failed to win 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions. Florian Thauvin's creative contribution, however, has been impressive: he has scored 4 goals and provided 7 assists in 9 Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams have had more than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of Lens's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Lens have taken more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Lens line-up: Robin Risser, Ruben Aguilar, Samson Baidoo, Jean-Clair Todibo, Saud Abdulhamid, Amadou Haidara, Michael Cuisance, Matthieu Udol, Florian Thauvin, Florian Sotoka, Thorgan Hazard.
Lens will be without Odsonne Edouard, Jhoanner Chavez, Mike Nawrocki, Ismaelo Ganiou and Abdallah Sima through injury.
Form and Line-up Marseille
Marseille travel to this match after beating Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 on 5 November 2026. Before that, in Ligue 1, they beat Toulouse 2:0 without conceding on 1 November and defeated Le Havre 4:3 at home on 25 October.
Amine Gouiri stands out in the visitors' attack: he has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in 9 Ligue 1 matches.
- More than 2.5 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Marseille's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Marseille's last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Marseille line-up: Jeffrey de Lange, Timothy Weah, Conrad Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Himad Abdelli, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Tochukwu Nnadi, Igor Paixao, Amine Gouiri.
Marseille will be without Emerson and Derek Cornelius through injury.
The teams' chances
A Lens win has average odds of 2.20, fair odds of 2.30 and a probability of 43.5%. A draw is offered at 3.90, with fair odds of 4.07 and a probability of 24.6%. A Marseille win is available at 3.00, with fair odds of 3.13 and a probability of 31.9%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens win | 2.20 | 2.30 | 43.5% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.07 | 24.6% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 3.00 | 3.13 | 31.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.50, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.50. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.68 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.68 | 2.20 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Lens (-1.5) are offered at 3.30 and Marseille (-1.5) at 5.20. At the +1.5 line, the odds for Lens (+1.5) and Marseille (+1.5) are 1.11 and 1.28. At the -1 line, Lens (-1) are available at 2.80, compared with 4.50 for Marseille (-1); at the +1 line, Lens (+1) are 1.15 and Marseille (+1) 1.38. At the 0 line, Lens (0) at 1.65 are shorter than Marseille (0) at 2.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.80 | -1 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1 | 1.38 |
| 1.65 | 0 | 2.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.45, while Both teams to score — No is 2.65; the latter requires at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
1/4
|
31/50
|
| LeoVegas |
21/50
|
27/100
|
3/5
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
1/4
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: Lens — 1.5 goals; Marseille — 1.5 goals.
Lens team goals
For Lens, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.70 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.14. At the 1-goal line, the odds for Under 1 and Over 1 goal are 3.25 and 1.30; at the 1.5-goal line, they are 1.95 and 1.80. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is offered at 1.53 and Over 2 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.53 | 2 | 2.45 |
Marseille team goals
For Marseille, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.75 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.23. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 2.50, compared with 1.50 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 1.63 and 2.20. At the 2-goal line, the odds for Under 2 and Over 2 goals are 1.25 and 3.60.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.50 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.63 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 6 (Ligue 1, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 6.
