Odds overview
Athletic Bilbao are favourites to win at 2.12, while a Levante win and the draw are quoted at broadly similar odds of 3.40 and 3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.87 has a slight edge over Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. Levante Draw No Bet at 2.40 is notably longer than Athletic Bilbao Draw No Bet at 1.55.
Why Athletic Bilbao are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Athletic Bilbao to win is available at 2.12, the draw is offered at 3.55, and a Levante victory is quoted at 3.40.
• Levante are weaker defensively: across the opening five La Liga matchdays, they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, the fifth-worst record in the division.
• Athletic Bilbao have been more balanced, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across five matches.
Form and Line-up Levante
At home, Levante attack actively: in 9 of their last 10 home matches, they have had more than 12.5 attempts on goal including blocked shots, and in 8 of 10 games they have registered at least four shots on target.
In the previous La Liga round on 13 September, Levante lost 2:4 at home to Barcelona, leaving them with one day less than Athletic Bilbao to prepare and recover before the upcoming match.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 8 of Levante's last 10 home league matches.
- Levante have scored at least once in each of their last nine home league matches.
- Levante's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
Probable Levante line-up (4-3-3): Mathew Ryan, Jeremy Toljan, Aissa Mandi, Adrian de la Fuente, Manu Sanchez, Roger Brugue, Victor Garcia, Ugo Sotelo, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Dani Requena, Petar Ratkov
Absentees: Karl Etta Eyong (injured)
Form and Line-up Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao drew 1:1 at home to Elche in the last round on 12 September, and their away matches are often open: in 8 of their last 10 La Liga away games, the two sides have combined for at least eight shots on target.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in all 5 of Athletic Bilbao's matches this La Liga season.
- Athletic Bilbao's opponents have been caught offside at least twice in each of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- No more than five yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 La Liga away matches.
Probable Athletic Bilbao line-up (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon, Hugo Rincon, Yeray, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche, Mikel Jauregizar, Benat Gerenabarrena, Alex Berenguer, Oihan Sancet, Nico Williams, Maroan Sannadi
Absentees: Peio Canales, Gorka Guruzeta (injured), Inaki Williams (doubtful)
Team chances
Athletic Bilbao to win is the most likely outcome: odds of 2.12, fair odds of 2.22 and a 45.0% probability. The figures for a Levante win are 3.40, 3.56 and 28.1%, while for the draw they are 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante win | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
| Athletic Bilbao win | 2.12 | 2.22 | 45.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.87 is quoted slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 has a clear advantage over Over 3.5 goals at 3.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Levante (-1.5) is available at 6.40, higher than Athletic Bilbao (-1.5) at 3.80; at the 1.5 line, Levante (+1.5) is quoted at 1.22 and Athletic Bilbao (+1.5) at 1.07. For the -1 handicap, the odds are 5.60 for Levante (-1) and 3.05 for Athletic Bilbao (-1), while for the +1 handicap they are 1.33 and 1.09. On the zero line, Levante Draw No Bet at 2.40 is longer than Athletic Bilbao Draw No Bet at 1.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.40 | -1.5 | 3.80 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.60 | -1 | 3.05 |
| 1.33 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2.40 | 0 | 1.55 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.70 is quoted shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.07, so the market slightly favours both sides finding the net.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.07 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Levante — 1 goal; Athletic Bilbao — 1.5 goals.
Levante team total
Levante team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.38 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.80. At the line of 1, the odds are almost level: Under 1 at 1.90 and Over 1 at 1.85. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.38 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Athletic Bilbao team total
Athletic Bilbao team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.20, while at the line of 1, Over 1 at 1.40 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.75. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.08; at the line of 2, Under 2 at 1.30 is preferred to Over 2 at 3.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Alejandro Quintero (Spain)
Matches — 21 (La Liga, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.8;
Matches with red cards — 8 of 21;
Matches with penalties — 8 of 21.
