Odds overview
Athletic Bilbao to win at 2.12 looks more appealing than Levante to win at 3.65 or the draw at 3.30. In the main goals market, Under 2.5 is around 1.80, compared with 2.00 for Over 2.5. For handicap (0), Athletic Bilbao at 1.52 are considerably shorter than Levante at 2.55.
Why Athletic Bilbao are favourites
Bookmakers favour Athletic Bilbao, offering 2.12 for an away win. The draw is available at 3.30, while a Levante win is 3.65.
- The table reflects the visitors' status: Athletic Bilbao were 11th before this match with 9 points from 7 games, while Levante were 17th with 7 points from 8 games.
- Athletic Bilbao's defensive strength is an important factor: they concede an average of 0.86 goals per game in La Liga, one of the best records in the league.
Form and Line-up Levante
Levante come into the match after a 1:1 away draw with Deportivo. They trailed during the second half but equalised towards the end. The Valencia side also concede plenty of goals, averaging 2 per game — the third-highest figure in the league.
Key numbers:
- Levante have had at least 13 shots in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Levante have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Levante players have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in all 10 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
Probable Levante line-up: Mathew Ryan, Uchenna Ndukwe, Adrián de la Fuente, José Requena, Roger Brugué, Iván Romero, Enzo Bardeli, Oriol Rey, Manu Sánchez, Thiago, Nacho Pérez.
Karl Etta Eyong has resumed training, but his involvement remains doubtful, while Hugo Sotelo is still recovering and is not ready to return.
Form and Line-up Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao drew 0:0 away to Valencia in the last round. They controlled possession comfortably but did not create enough clear chances.
Athletic Bilbao head coach Edin Terzic stressed the value of clean sheets but called for improvement in attack. He also singled out Levante's high press, which could make the away match more difficult for his side.
Key numbers:
- Athletic Bilbao's opponents have been caught offside more than 1.5 times in each of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Athletic Bilbao's opponents have committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- The two teams have attempted fewer than 25.5 shots combined in 8 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 La Liga away matches.
Probable Athletic Bilbao line-up (4-2-3-1): Unai Simón, Hugo Rincón, Aitor Paredes, Aymeric Laporte, Johaneko Louis-Jean, Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Beñat Gerenabarrena, Robert Navarro, Peio Canales, Álex Berenguer, Iñaki Williams.
Gorka Guruzeta has suffered a cruciate ligament injury and will be unable to help his team.
The teams' chances
Levante to win is offered at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.83 and a 26.1% probability. The draw is 3.30, with fair odds of 3.46 and a 28.9% probability. Athletic Bilbao to win has the shortest odds at 2.12, with fair odds of 2.22 and a 45% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante to win | 3.65 | 3.83 | 26.1% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.46 | 28.9% |
| Athletic Bilbao to win | 2.12 | 2.22 | 45.0% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Under 2.5 at 1.80 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.00. The gap is wider at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 is 1.30 and Over 3.5 is 3.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Handicap prediction
Levante (-1.5) are 6.70 and Athletic Bilbao (-1.5) are 3.85. At the 1.5 handicap line, Levante (+1.5) are 1.22 and Athletic Bilbao (+1.5) are 1.06. Levante (-1) at 5.90 have longer odds than Athletic Bilbao (-1) at 3.05; at the 1 handicap line, Levante (+1) are 1.33 and Athletic Bilbao (+1) are 1.08. Athletic Bilbao (0) at 1.52 have shorter odds than Levante (0) at 2.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | -1.5 | 3.85 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.90 | -1 | 3.05 |
| 1.33 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2.55 | 0 | 1.52 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.75, while No is 2.00; the shorter odds indicate a slight preference for both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Levante — 1 goal; Athletic Bilbao — 1.5 goals.
Levante team goals
For Levante's team goals, Under 0.5 is 2.65 and Over 0.5 is 1.42. The odds are close at the 1-goal line: Under 1 is 1.80 and Over 1 is 1.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.00.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
Athletic Bilbao team goals
For Athletic Bilbao's team goals, Under 0.5 is 4.00 and Over 0.5 is 1.20. Under 1 at 2.65 has longer odds than Over 1 at 1.42; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.68 and Over 1.5 is 2.12. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.27 and Over 2 is 3.45.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.27 | 2 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Alejandro Quintero (Spain)
Matches — 21 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.8;
Matches with a red card — 8 of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 8 of 21.
