Odds overview
Atlético Madrid are clear favourites: an away win is offered at 1.60, while a home win and a draw are 5.00 and 4.60 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5. Atlético Madrid (+1.5) are considerably shorter than Levante (+1.5) in the handicap market: 1.05 against 1.53.
Why Atlético Madrid are favourites
The bookmakers make Atlético Madrid favourites, offering 1.60 for an away win. A draw is available at 4.60, while Levante are 5.00 to win.
- Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Levante have failed to win 8 of their last 10 league matches.
- Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in seven consecutive away matches against Levante.
Form and Line-up Levante
On 25 October, Levante lost 1:2 away to Real Sociedad in the previous league round. They had beaten Athletic Bilbao 3:1 at home on 21 October and drawn 1:1 away to Deportivo on 16 October.
- In 9 of Levante's last 10 competitive matches across all competitions, the teams combined for more than 5.5 shots on target.
- Levante have matched or bettered their opponents' shots-on-target tally in 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Mathew Ryan, Nacho Pérez, Aïssa Mandi, Ifeanyi Ndukwe, Manu Sánchez, Yanis Musuayi, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Daniel Requena, Thiago Fernández, Iván Romero, Petar Ratkov.
Absentees: Enzo Bardeli (injured), Dela (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid beat Deportivo 1:0 at home on 24 October. Before that, they drew 1:1 away to Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League on 20 October and won 1:0 away to Espanyol on 17 October.
- Atlético Madrid's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 competitive matches across all competitions.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Atlético Madrid's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Álex Grimaldo, Morten Hjulmand, Pablo Barrios, Lee Kang-in, Álex Baena, Giuliano Simeone, Julián Alvarez.
Absentees: Koke (injured), Johnny Cardoso and Cristian Romero (both doubtful).
The teams' chances
The average odds are 5.00 for a Levante win, 4.60 for a draw and 1.60 for an Atlético Madrid win. Without the bookmaker's margin, the estimated probabilities and fair odds are 19.2% and 5.21 for Levante to win, 20.9% and 4.80 for a draw, and 60.0% and 1.67 for Atlético Madrid to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante win | 5.00 | 5.21 | 19.2% |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.80 | 20.9% |
| Atlético Madrid win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 60.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is favoured at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5. At 3.5 goals, the balance reverses: Under 3.5 is 1.60 and Over 3.5 is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
In the handicap market, Levante (-1.5) are offered at 7.70 and Atlético Madrid (-1.5) at 2.45. For the +1.5 handicap, Levante are 1.53 and Atlético Madrid 1.05. Levante (-1) are 6.70 against 1.92 for Atlético Madrid (-1), while Levante (+1) are 1.88 against 1.06 for Atlético Madrid (+1). With a zero handicap, Levante (0) are 3.60 and Atlético Madrid (0) are 1.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | -1.5 | 2.45 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.70 | -1 | 1.92 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3.60 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.62, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.20.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.62 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
69/50
|
9/50
|
17/100
|
| 888sport |
13/10
|
1/5
|
9/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Levante — 1 goal; Atlético Madrid — 2 goals.
Levante team goals
For Levante, Over 0.5 goals is 1.45, compared with 2.60 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.72 and Over 1 is 2.05. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.35, while Over 1.5 is 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.72 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
Atlético Madrid team goals
For Atlético Madrid, Over 0.5 goals is 1.07 and Under 0.5 is 6.30. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 1.5. At 2 goals, the odds are close: Under 2 is 1.78 and Over 2 is 1.98. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 1.45 and Over 2.5 is 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.78 | 2 | 1.98 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
