Odds Overview
Barcelona are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.17, while the draw is offered at 8.50 and a home win at 14.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 is considerably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.45. In the handicap market, Barcelona (-1.5) at 1.47 looks more likely than Levante (+1.5) at 2.60.
Why Barcelona Are Match Favourites
Barcelona to win is available at 1.17, the draw at 8.50 and Levante to win at 14.00. The arguments for this assessment are:
Barcelona are top of the table, while Levante are in mid-table. The gap in class and form between the teams is huge, and the bookmakers see it clearly.
Barcelona are the league's highest scorers — 4.25 goals per game. With such an attack, the Blaugrana should have no trouble dismantling Levante, even away from home.
Barcelona have not drawn away from home for 18 consecutive matches. They go for victory in every away match and rarely give their opponents a chance to take points.
Form and Line-up Levante
After their opening defeat to Espanyol (0:3), Levante recovered and picked up points in three consecutive matches — two goalless draws against Osasuna and Malaga, as well as an unexpected thrashing of Betis (5:2) featuring a Roger Brugué double.
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, Levante have had more than 11.5 shots.
In 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, Levante have been caught offside no more than once.
In 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, Levante have received no more than two yellow cards.
Probable Levante line-up (4-1-4-1): Mathew Ryan — Nacho Perez, Adrian de la Fuente, Aissa Mandi, Manu Sanchez — Oriol Rey — Roger Brugué, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Enzo Bardeli, Thiago Fernandez — Ivan Romero.
Absentees: Etta Eyong (injury).
Form and Line-up Barcelona
On 9 September, Barcelona beat Feyenoord (5:1) in the Champions League. Because of their evening European match, the team have little time to prepare and recover before the away league fixture. However, this is unlikely to trouble the Catalans, who have five consecutive wins this season by an aggregate score of 22:3.
Key numbers:
In 9 of Barcelona's last 10 La Liga away matches, there have been no more than 10 corners.
In 9 of Barcelona's last 10 La Liga away matches, there have been no more than 4 yellow cards.
In 8 of Barcelona's last 10 La Liga away matches, there have been at least 4 offsides.
Probable Barcelona line-up (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia — Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin, Xavi Espart — Pedri, Rodri — Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Anthony Gordon — Raphinha.
Absentees: Frenkie de Jong, Eric Garcia, Jesse Bissivu, Roony Bardghji (all injured).
Team Chances
A Levante win is available at 14.00; the fair odds are 14.61, with a probability of 6.8%. The draw is available at 8.50, with fair odds of 8.87 and a probability of 11.3%. A Barcelona win at 1.17 corresponds to fair odds of 1.22 and a probability of 81.9%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Levante to win | 14.00 | 14.61 | 6.8% |
Draw | 8.50 | 8.87 | 11.3% |
Barcelona to win | 1.17 | 1.22 | 81.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 is substantially favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.45. At the 3.5-goal line, the advantage is less pronounced: Over 3.5 goals is available at 1.70 and Under 3.5 goals at 2.15.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 3.45 | 1.25 |
3.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
Handicap Prediction
Barcelona (-1.5) is available at 1.47, while Levante (+1.5) is available at 2.60; the odds favour the away handicap option.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 1.47 |
2.60 | 1.5 | — |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.80 is quoted slightly shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.95, so both teams scoring looks marginally more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.80 |
No | 1.95 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 at 1.02 is the most likely double-chance outcome, 12 is available at 1.07, while 1X at 5.00 is considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
4/1
|
7/100
|
1/50
|
Team Total Prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Levante — 0.5 goals, Barcelona — 3 goals.
Levante Team Total
Levante team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.75 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.00. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.33 is favoured over Over 1 goal at 3.05, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 4.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
1.33 | 1 | 3.05 |
1.17 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Barcelona Team Total
Barcelona team total: Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 looks more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3-goal line, the odds are almost even: Over 3 goals at 1.85 is slightly shorter than Under 3 goals at 1.90. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.58 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.35 | 2.5 | 1.57 |
1.90 | 3 | 1.85 |
1.58 | 3.5 | 2.30 |
