Odds Overview
Lillestrom to win at 1.50 looks the clear favourite against the draw at 4.20 and Egnatia to win at 6.10. In the main goals line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is priced slightly lower than Under 2.5 at 1.95. In the handicap market, Lillestrom Draw No Bet at 1.17 is far more favoured than Egnatia Draw No Bet at 4.30.
Why Lillestrom Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the hosts the edge: a Lillestrom win is priced at 1.50, while an Egnatia victory is 6.10.
The Norwegian club are playing at home, where a large crowd is expected at Arasen — by 22 August, only 800 tickets remained on general sale.
At the same time, Egnatia come into the return leg amid a packed schedule: the team played a league match four days before travelling to Norway, and the coaching staff rotated the line-up heavily in that game.
Form and Line-up Lillestrom
Lillestrom have been struggling in recent matches: at home, the team lost to Viking (1:2) and Rosenborg (0:2). Their away matches have not gone much better either — a heavy defeat to Bodo/Glimt (0:4) and a draw with KFUM (1:1).
The club also have problems in attack: in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom had no more than 5 shots on target.
Key numbers:
Over 2.5 yellow cards landed in 9 of Lillestrom's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Over 10.5 fouls landed in 8 of Lillestrom's last 10 home games in all competitions.
Over 1.5 landed in 9 of Lillestrom's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Pontus Dahlberg — Lars Mogstad Ranger — Ruben Gabrielsen — Sander Moen Foss — Sturla Ottesen — Yaw Paintsil — Ylldren Ibrahimaj — Kevin Martin Krygard — Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim — Fredrik Gulbrandsen — Felix Va
Camil Jebara is injured and will not help the hosts.
Form and Line-up Egnatia
Egnatia come into the match after a big win over Tirana (3:0), in which Diabate, Ajetovikj and Sota scored three goals in the first half. In the previous rounds of European competition, the Albanian club got past Shamrock Rovers (5:1 at home after a 1:3 away defeat), despite Edison Ndreca's sending-off before the break.
The first meeting with Lillestrom ended in a goalless 0:0 draw, with both teams creating several dangerous chances.
Key numbers:
Egnatia scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Over 1.5 landed in 8 of Egnatia's last 10 away games in all competitions.
In 8 of Egnatia's last 10 matches in all competitions, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Levan Tandilashvili — Zamig Aliyev — Alessandro Kacbufi — Eljon Sota — Ibrahim Diabate — Altin Kryeziu — Numan Ajetovikj — Andrei Yago — Alessandro Albanese — Jurguens Montenegro — Fernando Medeiros
Soumaila Bakayoko will not play because of a cruciate ligament injury.
Teams' Chances
Lillestrom to win: average odds of 1.50, no-margin estimate of 1.60 and a 62.4% probability. The draw is priced at odds of 4.20 and 4.49 with a 22.3% probability, while Egnatia to win is 6.10 and 6.52 at 15.3%.
Result | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Lillestrom win | 1.50 | 1.60 | 62.4% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.49 | 22.3% |
Egnatia Rrogozhine win | 6.10 | 6.52 | 15.3% |
Total Goals Prediction
Over 2.5 is offered at 1.80 against 1.95 for Under 2.5, while on the 3.5 line Under at 1.38 is notably lower than Over at 2.80.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap Prediction
Lillestrom (-1.5) is available at 2.35, while Egnatia (+1.5) is 1.53. On the 1-goal line, Lillestrom (-1) at 1.82 is priced slightly lower than Egnatia (+1) at 1.92. For the zero handicap, the gap is more significant: Lillestrom (0) is 1.17, Egnatia (0) is 4.30.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.35 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.53 |
1.82 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.92 |
1.17 | 0 | 4.30 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes and Both teams to score - No are both listed at the same odds of 1.88, so the market does not favour either option; a bet on No assumes that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.88 |
No | 1.88 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.11 is the most likely double chance, 12 is priced at 1.20, while X2 at 2.50 is quoted notably higher.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.11 | 1.20 | 2.50 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Lillestrom — 2 goals, Egnatia — 0.5 goals.
Lillestrom Team Total
Lillestrom: Under 0.5 — 6.00 against Over 0.5 — 1.08; on the 1.5 line, Under is 2.20 and Over is 1.60. For the 2 line, Under at 1.62 is priced lower than Over at 2.15, while at 2.5 Under is 1.37 against Over at 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
2.20 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.62 | 2 | 2.15 |
1.37 | 2.5 | 2.85 |
Egnatia Team Total
Egnatia: Under 0.5 — 2.10, Over 0.5 — 1.65. On the 1 line, Under at 1.38 is notably lower than Over at 2.80, while for 1.5 Under is 1.20 against Over at 4.05.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.10 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
1.20 | 1.5 | 4.05 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Joao Pinheiro (Portugal)
Matches – 18 (international fixtures, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.9;
Matches with red cards – 3 of 18;
Matches with penalties – 6 of 18.
