Odds overview
Hajduk Split are clear favourites: an away win is offered at 1.37, compared with 4.90 for a draw and 9.00 for a Lincoln Red Imps win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. The handicap market also strongly favours Hajduk Split: Hajduk Split (-1) are at 1.55 against 2.40 for Lincoln Red Imps (+1), while Hajduk Split (-1.5) at 2.00 have slightly longer odds than Lincoln Red Imps (+1.5) at 1.80; the handicap (0) options are 1.09 for Hajduk Split and 5.80 for Lincoln Red Imps.
Why Hajduk Split are favourites
Hajduk Split are overwhelming favourites with the bookmakers: an away win is offered at 1.37, a draw at 4.90 and a Lincoln Red Imps win at 9.00.
- Hajduk Split play in a far more competitive domestic league — the Croatian Football League — while Lincoln Red Imps play in a semi-professional league.
- Hajduk Split are eighth in the overall UEFA Conference League league-phase table, while Lincoln Red Imps are 33rd.
- Lincoln Red Imps have conceded an average of 3.0 goals in the 2026/27 UEFA Conference League league phase.
Form and Line-up Lincoln Red Imps
In the previous UEFA Conference League matchday, on 22 October, Lincoln Red Imps lost 1:4 at home to Dutch side Twente. In the opening matchday, the Gibraltar club lost by a narrower margin away to Norway's Brann — 1:2. Those results left them 33rd out of 36 in the competition table. They lead their domestic league, but that has no bearing on their performances in Europe, where the standard of opposition is different.
- Lincoln Red Imps have scored more than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- In 9 of Lincoln Red Imps' last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League, the teams have registered more than 7.5 shots on target between them.
Probable line-up (5-3-2): Dzhejlan Khenkins, Giuliani Ertelings, Bernardo Lopes, Christian Rutjens, Nano, Youssef Idrissi, Graeme Torrilla, Mandi, Álex Mula, Álvaro Romero, Kike Gomez
Form and Line-up Hajduk Split
On Saturday, Hajduk Split thrashed Gorica 5:0 in the Croatian Football League. On 26 October, though, the Split club drew 2:2 with Istra 1961. In the UEFA Conference League, they beat Switzerland's Thun 1:0 away from home without conceding in the previous matchday. Even Ajax lost to them: the match in Split ended 2:1 to the hosts.
Head coach Gonzalo García rotated his squad against Gorica ahead of the trip to Gibraltar: Marko Livaja, Carlos Martín, Adam Hruska and Leander Dendoncker all started.
- Hajduk Split have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Hajduk Split's opponents have registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Toni Silic, Mathieu Acapandié, Alec van Hoorenbeeck, Dennis Hadzikadunic, Simun Hrgovic, Khalil Fayad, Alberto del Moral, Bamba, Dali, Marin Soticek, Michele Sego
Absentees: Adrion Pajaziti, Roko Brajkovic, Dalisson de Almeida, Ivica Ivusic, Dario Maresic (injuries)
The teams' chances
Lincoln Red Imps are offered at 9.00 to win; their fair odds are 9.41, with a probability of 10.6%. A draw is available at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.12 and a probability of 19.5%. Hajduk Split are at 1.37 to win, with fair odds of 1.43 and a probability of 69.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps to win | 9.00 | 9.41 | 10.6% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.12 | 19.5% |
| Hajduk Split to win | 1.37 | 1.43 | 69.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.10 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.73. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.42 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Hajduk Split (-1.5) are offered at 2.00, while Lincoln Red Imps (+1.5) are at 1.80. At the -1 line, Hajduk Split (-1) are available at 1.55; at the +1 line, Lincoln Red Imps (+1) are at 2.40. For handicap (0), Lincoln Red Imps are at 5.80 and Hajduk Split at 1.09.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.00 | |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.55 | |
| 2.40 | 1 | |
| 5.80 | 0 | 1.09 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 2.02, while Both teams to score — No is at 1.75: the latter means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.02 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/1
|
9/50
|
2/25
|
| William Hill |
2/1
|
9/50
|
7/100
|
| 888sport |
2/1
|
9/50
|
3/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal-total lines for this match: 0.5 goals for Lincoln Red Imps and 2 goals for Hajduk Split.
Lincoln Red Imps team total goals
For Lincoln Red Imps, Under 0.5 goals is at 1.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.85. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is at 1.25 and Over 1 goal at 3.55. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.12 and Over 1.5 goals at 5.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 0.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.55 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 5.00 |
Hajduk Split team total goals
For Hajduk Split, Under 0.5 goals is at 7.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.05. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is at 2.55 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.48. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is offered at 1.91 and Over 2 goals at 1.83; at the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is at 1.53 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.30 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.55 | 1.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.91 | 2 | 1.83 |
| 1.53 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
