Odds overview
Liverpool are slight favourites: their win is around 2.15, compared with 3.10 for Brighton & Hove Albion, while the draw is 3.85. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. Liverpool Draw No Bet is 1.62, compared with 2.30 for Brighton & Hove Albion Draw No Bet; both are handicap (0) bets.
Why Liverpool are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: Liverpool are 2.15 to win, Brighton & Hove Albion are 3.10 and the draw is available at 3.85.
• Liverpool have won their previous four home matches against Brighton & Hove Albion in all competitions and are unbeaten in six straight meetings at Anfield.
• Brighton & Hove Albion have fewer options for rotation and, like Liverpool, played in European competition during the week — two days later and away from home.
Form and Line-up Liverpool
Liverpool beat Villarreal 4:3 in the UEFA Champions League this Tuesday. The hosts started poorly but increased the pressure after making changes and turned the match in their favour. Alexis Mac Allister scored twice, and Florian Wirtz struck the winner. In the previous Premier League round, Liverpool forced two Brentford players into red-card offences and came from behind to win 2:1 in London.
- Liverpool took more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Liverpool had more than 12.5 shots, including blocked efforts, in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Liverpool received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Liverpool line-up (4-2-3-1): Alisson, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo, Milos Kerkez, Ronald Araújo, Ryan Gravenberch, Bradley Barcola, Alexander Isak, Florian Wirtz
Absentees: Jeremie Frimpong, Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni, Dominik Szoboszlai (injured); Víctor Muñoz (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion were convincing against Crystal Palace in their previous Premier League match, building an early lead and maintaining a high tempo after the break — 5:0. They had nine shots on target against the London side. Yet 26 shots against Jablonec this Thursday were not enough to score even once — the match finished goalless. Fabian Hürzeler's team have now kept clean sheets in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- All seven of Brighton & Hove Albion's Premier League matches in the 2026/27 season have finished with over 1.5 goals.
- Brighton & Hove Albion's Premier League matches this season have averaged 4.0 goals per game.
Probable Brighton & Hove Albion line-up (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen, Olivier Boscagli, Luka Vušković, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Maxim De Cuyper, Pascal Groß, Chema Andrés, Yasin Ayari, Diego Gomez, Charalampos Kostoulas
Absentees: Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Stefanos Tzimas, Femi Azeez (injured); Yankuba Minteh, Mats Wieffer, Pascal Struijk, Jason Steele (doubtful)
Teams' chances
Liverpool to win — 2.15, fair odds of 2.25 and a 44.4% fair probability; draw — 3.85, 4.03 and 24.8%; Brighton & Hove Albion to win — 3.10, 3.25 and 30.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | 2.15 | 2.25 | 44.4% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 2.35 and Over 2.5 is 1.55. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.60, compared with 2.30 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Liverpool (-1.5) are 3.30, compared with 5.30 for Brighton & Hove Albion (-1.5); at the 1.5 handicap line, the respective odds are 1.11 and 1.30. At -1, Liverpool (-1) are 2.75 and Brighton & Hove Albion (-1) are 4.60; at 1, the odds are 1.14 and 1.40 respectively. At handicap (0), Liverpool Draw No Bet is 1.62 and Brighton & Hove Albion Draw No Bet is 2.30.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 5.30 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.75 | -1 | 4.60 |
| 1.14 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.62 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is 1.48, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.55.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.48 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
29/100
|
7/10
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
1/4
|
3/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team-goal lines: Liverpool — 1.5 goals; Brighton & Hove Albion — 1.5 goals.
Liverpool team goals
Liverpool team goals: Under 0.5 — 4.80, Over 0.5 — 1.13; Under 1 — 3.40, Over 1 — 1.27; Under 1.5 — 1.95, Over 1.5 — 1.80; Under 2 — 1.48, Over 2 — 2.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Brighton & Hove Albion team goals
Brighton & Hove Albion team goals: Under 0.5 — 3.65, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.40, Over 1 — 1.55; Under 1.5 — 1.60, Over 1.5 — 2.25; Under 2 — 1.23, Over 2 — 3.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches — 28 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 19;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 28;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 28.
