Odds Overview
Liverpool are clear favourites: Liverpool to win is priced at 1.55, while the draw is rated at 4.50 and Nottingham Forest to win at 5.70. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is noticeably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap markets, Liverpool (-1.5) at 2.35 is priced higher than Nottingham Forest (+1.5) at 1.55; on the 0 line, Liverpool Draw No Bet at 1.20 is much more favoured than Nottingham Forest Draw No Bet at 4.15.
Why Liverpool Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers see the hosts as clear favourites for the match: Liverpool to win is priced at 1.55, the draw is rated at 4.50, and Nottingham Forest to win is offered at 5.70.
• Liverpool play confidently at home and have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
• Nottingham Forest have lost 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches on shots at goal and were narrowly beaten by Leeds United in the opening round of the new season.
Form and Line-up Liverpool
In the first round of the Premier League, Liverpool drew 2:2 with Newcastle United, twice falling behind during the match and equalising with a stoppage-time penalty. After the match, Andoni Iraola noted that the team needed to finish their own attacks better and defend more reliably against the opposition's quick transitions.
Key numbers:
Liverpool received no more than two yellow cards in all of their last 10 Premier League home matches
Over 1.5 goals has landed in all of Liverpool's last nine Premier League home matches
Liverpool took at least five corners in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Alisson — Jeremie Frimpong, Virgil van Dijk, Jeremy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez — Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch — Rio Ngumoha, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo — Alexander Isak
Absentees: Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike (injuries)
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest lost 0:1 to Leeds United in the first round of the Premier League, conceding the only goal in the 88th minute, and then lost to the same opponents again in the second round of the League Cup (0:2). In their first matches under Oliver Glasner, the team used a formation with three centre-backs.
Key numbers:
Nottingham Forest had at least four shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches
Nottingham Forest's opponents were caught offside no more than twice in all of their last 10 Premier League away matches
No more than four yellow cards were shown in 9 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 Premier League away matches
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels — Murillo, Nikola Milenkovic, Jair — Ola Aina, James McAtee, Ibrahim Sangare, Neco Williams — Dan Ndoye, Morgan Gibbs-White — Igor Jesus
Absentees: Nicolo Savona (injury), Ryan Yates (not fully fit).
Team Chances
Liverpool to win is offered at 1.50; the no-margin estimate is 1.58 and 63.4%. The draw is priced at 4.60 with a no-margin estimate of 4.83 and a probability of 20.7%, while Nottingham Forest to win is 6.00, 6.30 and 15.9% respectively.
Outcome | Average Odds | Average Odds Without Margin | No-Margin Probability |
Liverpool to win | 1.50 | 1.58 | 63.4% |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.83 | 20.7% |
Nottingham Forest to win | 6.00 | 6.30 | 15.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5, the picture is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.55, Over 3.5 goals at 2.40.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap Prediction
Liverpool (-1.5) is priced at 2.25, while Nottingham Forest (+1.5) is 1.60. On the 1 line, Liverpool (-1) at 1.78 is slightly lower than Nottingham Forest (+1) at 2.03. With a 0 handicap, Liverpool Draw No Bet at 1.17 is noticeably shorter than Nottingham Forest Draw No Bet at 4.15.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.25 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.78 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.03 |
1.17 | 0 | 4.15 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.73 is rated higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.05: the second option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.73 |
No | 2.05 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.15 is the most likely double chance, 12 is priced at 1.20, and X2 at 2.60 is rated noticeably lower.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.15 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Liverpool — 2 goals, Nottingham Forest — 0.5 goals.
Liverpool Team Total
Liverpool: Under 0.5 goals at 7.40 is far less favoured than Over 0.5 goals at 1.05; on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is priced at 2.50 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.50. At 2, Under 2 goals at 1.87 and Over 2 goals at 1.88 are almost level, while on the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.50 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.50.
Under | Team Total | Over |
7.40 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.50 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.87 | 2 | 1.88 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
Nottingham Forest Team Total
Nottingham Forest: Over 0.5 goals at 1.58 is priced lower than Under 0.5 goals at 2.30. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal at 1.55 is preferred to Over 1 goal at 2.35, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.27 is noticeably more likely than Over 1.5 goals at 3.40.
Under | Team Total | Over |
2.30 | 0.5 | 1.58 |
1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Samuel Barrott (England)
Matches – 1 (all competitions, 2027)
Average fouls per match – 28
Average yellow cards per match – 4
