Odds overview
Liverpool are the favourites: a home win is available at 1.82, while the draw and an away win are 3.85 and 4.20. Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. In the handicap markets, Liverpool Draw No Bet at 1.35 is rated higher than Tottenham Draw No Bet at 2.95.
Why Liverpool are favourites for the match
Liverpool to win in normal time is available at 1.82, the draw is offered at 3.85, and a Tottenham win is 4.20.
• Liverpool are the home side and have been more effective in key competitions: they beat Atletico Madrid 2:1 in the Champions League, although a congested schedule forced the coach to rotate before the 0:0 draw with Fulham.
• Tottenham have had persistent problems scoring in the Premier League, where they have yet to score this season: they drew 0:0 with Everton and Nottingham Forest and lost 0:2 to Newcastle.
Form and Line-up Liverpool
In their most recent league match, Liverpool drew 0:0 with Fulham. At home in the League Cup, however, they consistently play with an attacking focus while maintaining discipline: at least three goals were scored in 8 of their last 10 cup matches at Anfield, while the hosts received no more than one yellow card in 9 of those 10 matches.
- Liverpool have not lost the offsides count in 9 of their last 10 home League Cup matches.
- Liverpool have taken no more than 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 League Cup matches.
- Liverpool have committed 10 or more fouls in 8 of their last 10 League Cup matches.
Probable Liverpool line-up (4-2-3-1): Alisson, Ronald Araujo, Jeremy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Kostas Tsimikas, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch, Victor Munoz, Florian Wirtz, Bradley Barcola, Alexander Isak
Form and Line-up Tottenham
Tottenham have shown a significant difference between competitions: while they thrashed Brentford 3:0 in the Premier League, they also comfortably beat Charlton 5:1 in the early stages of the League Cup. In away cup matches, the London side use a compact, physical defensive approach, committing at least 10 fouls in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- At least 21 fouls have been recorded in 8 of Tottenham's last 10 away League Cup matches.
- Tottenham have won the goals count in 8 of their last 10 home League Cup matches.
- Tottenham have been caught offside no more than twice in 8 of their last 10 League Cup matches.
Probable Tottenham line-up (4-2-3-1): Antonin Kinsky, Archie Gray, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Andrew Robertson, Rodrigo Bentancur, Sandro Tonali, Mateus Fernandes, Savio, Omar Marmoush, Dominic Solanke
Team chances
A Liverpool win at 1.82 corresponds to fair odds of 1.91 and a 52.5% probability. The draw is 3.85, with fair odds of 4.03 and 24.8%; a Tottenham win is 4.20, 4.40 and 22.7% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool win | 1.82 | 1.91 | 52.5% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Tottenham win | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.45, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.52, which clearly favours the higher-total option. At the 3.5 line, Under is rated shorter at 1.65 than Over at 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Liverpool are 2.70 and Tottenham are 6.90. With a handicap of 1, the odds are 1.06 on Liverpool and 1.40 on Tottenham; at the -1 line, they are 2.30 and 6.00 respectively. For a handicap of 1, Liverpool are 1.08 versus 1.63 on Tottenham, while at the zero line Liverpool at 1.35 are preferred to Tottenham at 2.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | 6.90 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 6.00 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 is rated higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.55: the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
29/100
|
4/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Liverpool — 2 goals, Tottenham — 1 goal.
Liverpool team total
Liverpool team total: Under 0.5 goals is 5.80, Over 0.5 goals is 1.09. At 1.5, the odds are 2.25 for Under and 1.60 for Over; at 2, they are 1.70 and 2.08 respectively. For the 2.5 line, Under at 1.40 is rated higher than Over at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.80 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.08 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Tottenham team total
Tottenham team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.15, Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. At the 1 line, Under is 1.98 and Over is 1.78, while at 1.5, Under at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 1.98 | 1 | 1.78 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Andrew Madley (England)
Matches — 24 (Premier League and English cups, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with red cards — 5 out of 24;
Matches with penalties — 6 out of 24.
