Odds overview
Lorient are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.50, an away win at 2.95 and a draw at 3.30. In the 2.5-goal market, Under 2.5 is slightly shorter at 1.78 than Over 2.5 at 2.03. The handicap (0) market also favours Lorient: Lorient (0) are 1.75 and Brest (0) are 2.10.
Why Lorient are favourites
The bookmakers make Lorient favourites, with a home win at 2.50. Brest are available at 2.95 to win, while a draw is 3.30.
- Lorient have regularly avoided defeat in the league, going unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest have struggled to win, failing to do so in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Form and Line-up Lorient
Lorient go into this match after a 0:0 away draw with Angers on 25 October. In the previous round, on 18 October, they beat Monaco 1:0 at home.
- Lorient's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Lorient's opponents have had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Probable line-up: Yvon Mvogo, Montassar Talbi, Nathaniel Adjei, Souleymane Touré, Noah Cadiou, Jean-Victor Makengo, Souleymane Faye, Demba Sylla, Arsène Kouassi, Arthur Avom, Ibrahima Baldé.
Panos Katseris, Giovani Versini and Raphaël Le Guen will miss the match for Lorient through injury.
Form and Line-up Brest
Brest lost their most recent league match, going down 1:2 at home to Nice on 23 October. On 17 October, they drew 1:1 away to Lille.
Brest have also conceded consistently: their opponents have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Brest have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
- The teams have taken more than 8.5 corners in 9 of Brest's last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable line-up: Egil Selvik, Bradley Locko, Gautier Lloris, Lucas Tousart, Kenny Lala, Hugo Magnetti, Pathé Mboup, Joris Chotard, Mama Baldé, Kamory Doumbia, Ludovic Ajorque.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Lorient a 38.4% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.50 and fair odds of 2.61. A draw is rated at 29.1%, with odds of 3.30 in the market and fair odds of 3.44. Brest have a 32.5% chance of winning; their average odds are 2.95 and their fair odds are 3.07.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.4% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.44 | 29.1% |
| Brest win | 2.95 | 3.07 | 32.5% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.78 and Over 2.5 at 2.03, giving the lower-scoring outcome a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.30 against 3.20 for Over 3.5.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Handicap betting
Lorient (-1.5) are available at 4.60 and Brest (-1.5) at 5.50. Lorient (+1.5) are offered at 1.10 and Brest (+1.5) at 1.14. At the -1 handicap line, Lorient (-1) are 3.85 and Brest (-1) are 4.70; at the +1 line, Lorient (+1) are 1.14 and Brest (+1) are 1.22. For handicap (0), Lorient are 1.75 and Brest are 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | -1.5 | 5.50 |
| 1.10 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.85 | -1 | 4.70 |
| 1.14 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 1.75 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.77, while Both teams to score – No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 1.97.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.77 |
| No | 1.97 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
9/25
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Lorient — 1 goal; Brest — 1 goal.
Lorient team total goals
For Lorient, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.45 and Over 0.5 at 1.27. At the 1-goal line, Under is 2.30 and Over is 1.58; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.55 and Over is 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Brest team total goals
For Brest, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.95 and Over 0.5 at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under is 2.05 against 1.72 for Over; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.43 and Over is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1.43 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jérémie Pignard (France)
Matches — 21 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 21.
