Luxembourg vs Malta: prediction & betting odds 31 March 2026

Luxembourg National Team Form

In the first match, Luxembourg comfortably beat Malta away from home (2:0), virtually putting the tie to bed. In the Nations League, the team have looked inconsistent, mixing strong performances with poor ones, and they have conceded in almost every match — something the numbers also reflect. Luc Holtz's side have kept just one clean sheet in their last six home games, and in three of those they have allowed the opposition to score twice. Even so, in terms of player quality Luxembourg are currently a class above their opponents, and it is hard to see what could stop them from progressing.

• At least one team failed to score in 10 of Luxembourg's last 12 home matches in the Nations League.
• In 12 home matches in this tournament, the national team have recorded four wins (three draws, five defeats).
• Luxembourg have not scored more than one goal in six of their previous eight Nations League games.

Potential Luxembourg National Team Lineup (4-4-2)

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Dirk Carlson, Seid Korac, Marvin Martins – Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Christopher Martins Pereira, Olivier Thill – Aiman Dardari, Danel Sinani

Malta National Team Form

Malta showed nothing in the first leg and lost at home 0:2. Overturning such a deficit away from home will be extremely difficult, given their lack of goals. In the Nations League, the only notable achievement on the road is a win over Latvia (1:0), and overall, in four group-stage matches the Maltese have won just twice (one draw, one defeat). Meanwhile, in their last eight matches in the competition they have not scored more than once per game. Now they need to score at least twice, but as we noted earlier, with their current attacking output even one goal raises doubts.

• No more than two goals were scored in Malta's previous five Nations League matches.
• Across their last 10 away matches in this tournament, the national team have recorded three wins (two draws, five defeats).
• At least one team failed to score in six of Malta's previous seven Nations League games.

Potential Malta National Team Lineup (3-4-3)

Henry Bonello – Gabriel Mentz, Kurt Shaw, Zach Muscat – Ryan Camenzuli, Alexander Satariano, Matthew Guillaumier, Teddy Teuma – Ilyas Chouaref, Joseph Mbong, Jürgen Degabriele

Who Will Referee the Match

Daniel Siebert (Germany)

Matches officiated – 6 (International fixtures, 2024/25 - 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.5;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 17%.