Odds overview
Bayer Leverkusen to win is available at around 2.18, while Mainz to win is quoted at 3.00 and the draw at 3.90. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. Bayer Leverkusen Draw No Bet, with a handicap of 0, is shorter at 1.65 than Mainz Draw No Bet, also with a handicap of 0, at 2.25.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Bayer Leverkusen to win is offered at 2.18, Mainz to win at 3.00 and the draw at 3.90.
- Mainz have failed to beat Bayer Leverkusen in their last six meetings, drawing twice and losing four times.
- Mainz's home results in the Bundesliga remain poor: across their last five home games over two seasons, they have taken just one point.
Form and Line-up Mainz
Mainz have produced contrasting results in the new Bundesliga season: they thrashed Hamburg 5:0 and beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 away, but drew 0:0 at home to Paderborn 07 and lost 1:3 to Eintracht Frankfurt. During the break, they also beat Waldhof Mannheim 3:0 in a friendly.
At home, Mainz seek to contain their opponents' attacks: in nine of their last ten home league matches, their opponents had no more than 14 attempts at goal. Opponents also rarely draw fouls that lead to bookings, receiving fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in nine of ten games at the MEWA Arena.
- Mainz took more than 4.5 corners in eight of their last ten home Bundesliga matches
- Mainz had at least as many offsides as their opponents in nine of their last ten home Bundesliga matches
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in eight of Mainz's last ten home Bundesliga matches
Probable Mainz line-up (3-3-2-2): Alexander Schwolow, Stefan Posch, Fabio Gruber, Kacper Potulski, Anthony Caci, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Lee Jae-sung, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen performed convincingly in their most recent competitive Bundesliga match, beating RB Leipzig 2:0 at home.
The team's away performances are disciplined and structured. Bayer Leverkusen players were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last ten away league matches, and they received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in ten consecutive matches.
- Bayer Leverkusen's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten home Bundesliga matches
- There were fewer than 3.5 offsides in Bayer Leverkusen's last ten away Bundesliga matches
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in eight of Bayer Leverkusen's last ten Bundesliga matches
Probable Bayer Leverkusen line-up (4-2-3-1): Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez, Aleix García, Fernández, Moussa Diaby, Ibrahim Maza, Moreira, Patrick Schick
The teams' chances
Mainz to win: average odds of 3.00, fair odds of 3.15 and a probability of 31.8%. For the draw, the respective figures are 3.90, 4.09 and 24.5%. Bayer Leverkusen to win is the most likely outcome: average odds of 2.18, fair odds of 2.29 and a probability of 43.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz to win | 3.00 | 3.15 | 31.8% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.09 | 24.5% |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win | 2.18 | 2.29 | 43.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. The market is more cautious at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.73 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) at 3.25 is shorter than Mainz (-1.5) at 5.00. At the +1.5 handicap line, Bayer Leverkusen (+1.5) are quoted at 1.12 against 1.30 for Mainz (+1.5). At -1, Bayer Leverkusen (-1) are 2.75 and Mainz (-1) are 4.40; at +1, Bayer Leverkusen (+1) are 1.16 and Mainz (+1) are 1.40. For Draw No Bet, with a handicap of 0, Bayer Leverkusen at 1.65 are favoured over Mainz at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | -1.5 | 3.25 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
| 4.40 | -1 | 2.75 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 2.25 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.42 and is much more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.65, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.42 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
61/100
|
1/4
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Mainz — 1.5 goals; Bayer Leverkusen — 1.5 goals.
Mainz team total goals
Mainz team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.22 against 3.85 for Under 0.5 goals; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.45 and Under 1 goal is 2.60. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.65 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.15; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.27 and Over 2 goals is 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.27 | 2 | 3.40 |
Bayer Leverkusen team total goals
Bayer Leverkusen team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.13 against 4.80 for Under 0.5 goals; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.30 and Under 1 goal is 3.30. At 1.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.77 and Under 1.5 goals at 2.00; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.57 and Over 2 goals is 2.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.30 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.30 |
