Odds overview
Espanyol Barcelona have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: they are available at 2.70 to win, compared with around 2.80 for Málaga and 3.15 for the draw. In the main goals market, Under 2.5 is offered at 1.73 and Over 2.5 at 2.10. The handicap odds at a line of 0 are close: Espanyol Barcelona (0) are 1.87 and Málaga (0) around 1.93.
Why Espanyol Barcelona are favourites
Bookmakers marginally favour the visitors: Espanyol Barcelona are 2.70 to win, Málaga are 2.80 and the draw is 3.15.
- Ahead of Matchday 8, Espanyol Barcelona had taken 7 points from 7 matches, with a 10:10 goal difference, and sat 15th in the table, showing more balanced results.
- Málaga returned to the top flight under Juan Funes and rely on homegrown players, but have struggled at the start of the current campaign, taking just three points.
- Málaga have scored the fewest goals in the league — three. Chupe has one of them but has yet to find his best form after scoring 24 goals last season.
Form and Line-up Málaga
In their most recent La Liga match, Málaga lost 0:1 away to Getafe, again failing to score. The Anchovies have managed just three draws and four defeats, with no wins. The hosts sit bottom of La Liga with a 3:12 goal difference.
Key numbers:
- Málaga have gone 9 matches without a win.
- Just 1 clean sheet in their previous 13 matches.
- Málaga have conceded against Espanyol Barcelona in 12 consecutive head-to-head meetings.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero, Carlos Puga, Ángel Recio, Einar Galilea, Rafael Garrido, David Larrubia, Pablo Martinez, Carlos Dotor, Joaquín Muñoz, Chupe, Dani Lorenzo.
Absentees: Aarón Ochoa and Julen Lobete (both injured); Diego Murillo, Jens-Lys Cajuste and Moussa Diarra (all doubtful); José Salinas (an Espanyol Barcelona player, will not play).
Form and Line-up Espanyol Barcelona
In their previous competitive match on 18 September, Espanyol Barcelona lost 1:3 at home to Elche. It was the Parakeets' fourth defeat of the season. The Catalans have, however, recorded two wins, against Osasuna and Levante, and a 1:1 draw with Sevilla. Their seven points leave Espanyol Barcelona 15th in the table.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Espanyol Barcelona's last 10 matches.
- Espanyol Barcelona players received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Under 3.5 goals landed in 9 of Espanyol Barcelona's last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Marko Dmitrović, Omar El Hilali, Clemens Riedel, Leandro Cabrera, Quilindschy Hartman, Gabriel Moscardo, Edu Expósito, Marcos Fernández, Pol Lozano, Bryan Zaragoza, Roberto Fernández.
Absentees: Javier Puado, Kike García and Javier Hernández (all injured); Jofre (doubtful).
The teams' chances
Espanyol Barcelona have the narrowest of advantages: they are 2.70 to win, with fair odds of 2.82 and a 35.4% probability. Málaga are 2.80, with fair odds of 2.93 and a 34.2% probability; the draw is 3.15, 3.29 and 30.4%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga to win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.2% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.29 | 30.4% |
| Espanyol Barcelona to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.4% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.73, compared with 2.10 for Over 2.5. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is favoured at 1.55, while Under 2 is 2.40. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is 1.27 and Over 3.5 is 3.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.35 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Málaga (-1.5) are 5.20 and Espanyol Barcelona (-1.5) are 5.00. At the +1 line, the odds are almost identical: Espanyol Barcelona (+1) are 1.16 and Málaga (+1) are 1.17; at +1.5, Espanyol Barcelona (+1.5) are 1.11 and Málaga (+1.5) are 1.12. The 0 handicap slightly favours the visitors: Espanyol Barcelona (0) are 1.87, compared with 1.93 for Málaga (0). At the -1 line, Espanyol Barcelona (-1) are 4.20 and Málaga (-1) are 4.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4.40 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.17 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 1.93 | 0 | 1.87 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.80 and No at 1.95, so the option in which at least one team fails to score has slightly longer odds.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
33/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set each team's goal line at 1: Málaga — 1 goal, Espanyol Barcelona — 1 goal.
Málaga team goal total
Málaga team goal total: Over 0.5 is 1.35, compared with 2.95 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.00 and Over 1 is 1.75; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is 1.47 and Over 1.5 is 2.60.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.00 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.47 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Espanyol Barcelona team goal total
Espanyol Barcelona team goal total: Over 0.5 is 1.32 and Under 0.5 is 3.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.67, compared with 2.13 for Under 1; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is 1.50 and Over 1.5 is 2.50.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.13 | 1 | 1.67 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
