Odds overview
Málaga to win is available at 2.40, Racing Santander to win at 2.85, and the draw at 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is a much stronger favourite than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. For the handicap (0) market, Málaga at 1.75 look more likely than Racing Santander at 2.08.
Why Málaga are favourites
Fonbet make Málaga the favourites, offering 2.40 on a home win. The draw is available at 3.60 and a Racing Santander win at 2.85.
- Málaga have avoided defeat in 7 of their 10 head-to-head matches against Racing Santander.
- Racing Santander have failed to win 7 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Málaga have lost only twice in their last nine home matches.
Form and Line-up Málaga
Málaga played their previous match on 31 October 2026, losing 1:2 away to Real Betis in the league. Before that, on 27 October, they beat Alcázar 3:0 away in the Copa del Rey.Adrián Niño stands out in Málaga's attack: he has scored five goals in seven La Liga appearances this season.
- Málaga have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Málaga's 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable Málaga line-up (4-4-2):Alfonso Herrero, Carlos Puga, Fernando Calero, Einar Galilea, Rafael Garrido, David Larrubia, Ramón Enríquez, Dani Lorenzo, Adam Aznou, Carlos Dotor, Adrián Niño.
Absentees:Julen Lobete, Aarón Ochoa, Diego Murillo, Joaquín Muñoz, Juan Cruz, Pablo Martinez (all injured).
Form and Line-up Racing Santander
Racing Santander lost their previous match at home to Real Madrid in the Spanish league on 1 November 2026 (0:3), although they had beaten Ribadesella 2:0 away in the Copa del Rey on 29 October. The visitors' main attacking threat remains striker Yassir Zabiri, who has scored 8 goals in 11 matches in the competition.
- More than 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Racing Santander's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Racing Santander's opponents have scored at least one goal in each of the team's last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable Racing Santander line-up (4-2-3-1):Julen Agirrezabala, Pedro Felipe, Pablo Ramón, Jeanuël Belocian, Aaron Martín, Iván Martín, Matteo Prati, Iker Luque, Sergio Canales, Iñigo Vicente, Yassir Zabiri.
Absentees: Andrés Martín, Álvaro Mantilla (both injured).
Match result probabilities
Málaga to win is offered at 2.40, with fair odds of 2.51 and a probability of 39.9%. Racing Santander to win is quoted at 2.85, with fair odds of 2.98 and a probability of 33.6%, while the draw is available at 3.60, with fair odds of 3.76 and a probability of 26.6%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga to win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.9% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.76 | 26.6% |
| Racing Santander to win | 2.85 | 2.98 | 33.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.67 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 at 2.20. At 3.5 goals, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap prediction
In the handicap markets, Málaga (-1.5) at 4.15 has shorter odds than Racing Santander (-1.5) at 4.70, while at the +1.5 line Málaga (+1.5) have a slight edge — 1.14 against 1.20 for Racing Santander (+1.5). At the -1 line, the odds are 3.35 for Málaga (-1) and 4.05 for Racing Santander (-1); at +1, they are 1.18 and 1.28 respectively. With a handicap of 0, Málaga (0) at 1.75 are favoured over Racing Santander (0) at 2.08.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 4.70 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.35 | -1 | 4.05 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.75 | 0 | 2.08 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.55 has considerably shorter odds than Both teams to score – No at 2.40: the latter means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
29/100
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
29/100
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Málaga — 1.5 goals; Racing Santander — 1.5 goals.
Málaga team total goals
For Málaga, Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.30. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.37 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.85, while at 1.5 the odds are almost level: Under 1.5 at 1.78 and Over 1.5 at 1.98. At 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.32 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
Racing Santander team total goals
For Racing Santander, Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 has notably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.65. Over 1 at 1.50 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.50, while at the 1.5-goal line Under 1.5 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 2.25. At 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over 2 at 3.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.50 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
