Odds overview
Real Sociedad are favourites to win at 2.15, while a Málaga win and a draw are available at around 3.30–3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.02. For the handicap (0), Real Sociedad at 1.58 are clearly favoured over Málaga at 2.40.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites
Bookmakers offer 2.15 for a Real Sociedad win and 3.30 for a Málaga win. A draw is available at 3.55.
- Real Sociedad are sixth in La Liga, while Málaga are bottom of the table.
- Málaga have scored just four goals this season — the fewest in the league.
- The hosts are the only La Liga team yet to win this season.
Form and Line-up Málaga
In the latest La Liga round, Málaga drew 1:1 at home with Espanyol. Their winless run in the league has reached eight matches. The Anchovies have scored only four goals and conceded 13. With four points, the hosts sit bottom of the La Liga table.
- Málaga have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- There have been more than 8.5 corners in 8 of Málaga's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Málaga have committed at least 12 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero, Carlos Puga, Fernando Calero, Ángel Recio, Rafael Garrido, Rafael Rodríguez, David Larrubia, Pablo Martinez, Dani Lorenzo, Joaquín Muñoz, Chupe.
Unavailable: Aarón Ochoa, Julen Lobete, Diego Murillo, Jens-Lys Cajuste, Moussa Diarra, Juan Cruz (all injured).
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
On 11 October 2026, Real Sociedad beat Deportivo 3:2 at home and rose to sixth in the table. The Basque side also played in the UEFA Europa League, where they conceded in the 88th minute against Union and failed to hold on to their lead — 1:1.
- There have been more than 8.5 corners in 8 of Real Sociedad's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 offsides in 9 of Real Sociedad's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Real Sociedad have taken fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Álex Remiro, Héctor Fort, Mamadou Sarr, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez, Ander Barrenetxea, Yangel Herrera, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes, Luka Sučić, Arsen Zakharyan.
Unavailable: Álvaro Odriozola, Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia (all injured), Pablo Marín (suspended).
The teams' chances
Real Sociedad to win: odds of 2.15, fair odds of 2.26 and a probability of 44.3%. The corresponding figures are 3.30, 3.46 and 28.9% for a Málaga win, and 3.55, 3.73 and 26.8% for a draw.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga to win | 3.30 | 3.46 | 28.9% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| Real Sociedad to win | 2.15 | 2.26 | 44.3% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.02. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Málaga (-1.5) are available at 5.80 and Real Sociedad (-1.5) at 3.70; for the +1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.23 for Málaga (+1.5) and 1.08 for Real Sociedad (+1.5). Real Sociedad (-1) at 3.00 are shorter than Málaga (-1) at 5.10, while for the +1 handicap the odds are 1.11 for Real Sociedad (+1) and 1.35 for Málaga (+1). At handicap (0), Real Sociedad at 1.58 are favoured over Málaga at 2.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.80 | -1.5 | 3.70 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.10 | -1 | 3.00 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 2.40 | 0 | 1.58 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.65 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.17, meaning at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
| 888sport |
13/20
|
3/10
|
33/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Málaga — 1 goal; Real Sociedad — 1.5 goals.
Málaga team goals
Málaga team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.35 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.95; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is available at 1.70 compared with Under 1 at 2.10. Under 1.5 at 1.48 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Real Sociedad team goals
Real Sociedad team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.20, while Over 1 at 1.35 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.90. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.00; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is available at 1.33 compared with Over 2 at 3.00.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.33 | 2 | 3.00 |
