Nations League
Play-offs C/D
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Malta
MATCH FINISHED
0
:
2
26 March, 17:00
Luxembourg
1
273/100
X
97/50
2
5/4
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Match stats
Logo Malta Malta
Luxembourg Logo Luxembourg
43 Ball possession (%) 57
9 Goal attempts 7
2 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked shots 0

Malta vs Luxembourg: prediction & betting odds 26 March 2026

Published: 23 March 2026 14:47
Author: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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Although Malta go into this match as underdogs, their recent results arguably make them look the more convincing side. They have won two of their last three games (one draw), and the third victory only slipped away due to an early red card. Luxembourg, by contrast, are a long way from ideal form at the moment. They have just one win in their last seven matches (three draws, three defeats), and even that came at home to Lithuania.


It is also worth noting that Malta have avoided defeat in eight of their last 10 home Nations League matches (three wins and five draws), while Luxembourg have failed to win any of their last four away games in this tournament. Given the hosts are strong on their own turf, we suggest they will avoid defeat against Luxembourg ahead of the return match.

Betting prediction
Malta, double chance
Cf
Odds
67/100
Read more

Forecast author

Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
About author:

Expert author at Legalbet since 2021. I studied economics but never worked in the field. In 2021, my love of football and my interest in analysis came together, and that was when I started editing betting content for Legalbet. 


I placed my first bet on the 2005 UEFA Cup final between CSKA Moscow and Sporting CP. For a long time, I backed accumulators while also reading betting blogs. Step by step, I began to dive deeper into niche markets, above all player markets and the impact that missing key players can have on a team’s performance. 


The key part of my approach is finding the less obvious connections. I analyse team form, statistics, what is going on behind the scenes, the dressing-room atmosphere and the wider news flow around a match. And, of course, I trust what I see with my own eyes when I follow a game live. 


One example is the Real Madrid vs Getafe match in March 2026. Most punters would have stopped at analysing form and looking at the 1x2 market. I checked the card statistics from the previous 10 matches, which were averaging above 4, looked at the head-to-head meetings, where there had been two games with 8 cards, and concluded that this would be a physical and scrappy contest. In the end, instead of taking an apparently safe over 4.5, I backed over 12 cards at odds of 101.00. The bet landed in the 97th minute. Overall, around 90% of my bets are on yellow cards. Occasionally, I also play offsides and big markets. 


Among the top leagues, I follow the major European championships, with the Bundesliga first and foremost. Among my niche interests, I follow the leagues of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia — I consider them a good testing ground for spotting patterns. 


At Legalbet, I share my view of the game and show how a love of football can be combined with cold mathematics: what to watch for, when it is worth taking a risk and when it is better simply to enjoy the match.

3 yrs. 9 mo.
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Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Malta

Emilio De Leo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Henry Bonello
gk. 0 0
Enrico Pepe
df. 0 0
Kurt Shaw
df. 0 0
Zach Muscat
df. 0 0
Matthew Guillaumier
mf. 0 0
Ryan Camenzuli
mf. 0 0
Teddy Teuma
mf. 0 0
Alexander Satariano
fw. 0 0
Ilyas Chouaref
fw. 0 0
Irvin Charly Jose Cardona
fw. 0 0
Paul Mbong
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Matthias Debono
gk. 0 0
Rashed Al-Tumi
gk. 0 0
Adam Magri Overend
df. 0 0
Gabriel Mentz
df. 0 0
Jean Borg
df. 0 0
Myles Beerman
df. 0 0
Brandon Paiber
mf. 0 0
Jake Grech
mf. 0 0
Yannick Yankam
mf. 0 0
Andrea Zammit
fw. 0 0
Juan Carlos Corbalan
fw. 0 0
Trent Anthony Buhagiar
fw. 0 0
Luxembourg

Jeff Strasser
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Anthony Christian Moris
gk. 0 0
Dirk Delfin Carlson
df. 0 0
Florian Bohnert
df. 0 0
Laurent Jans
df. 0 0
Seid Korač
df. 0 0
Christopher Martins Pereira
mf. 0 0
Leandro Barreiro Martins
mf. 0 0
Mathias Olesen
mf. 0 0
Vincent Thill
mf. 0 0
Aiman Dardari
fw. 0 0
Danel Sinani
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Lucas Fox
gk. 0 0
Tiago Pereira Cardoso
gk. 0 0
Eldin Džogović
df. 0 0
Enes Mahmutović
df. 0 0
Eric Veiga
df. 0 0
Michael Gonçalves Pinto
df. 0 0
Enzo de Pina Duarte dos Santos
mf. 0 0
Sébastien Thill
mf. 0 0
Tomás Cruz
mf. 0 0
Edvin Muratović
fw. 0 0
Jayson Videira
fw. 0 0
Yvandro Borges Sanches
fw. 0 0

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H2H: Malta — Luxembourg

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Malta vs Luxembourg Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
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