Odds overview
Manchester United are slight favourites, with a home win at 2.30 compared with 2.70 for an AS Roma win, while the draw is quoted at 4.05. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is markedly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. In the main handicap market, Manchester United (0) at 1.78 is shorter than AS Roma (0) at 2.05.
Why Manchester United are favourites
Bookmakers make Manchester United favourites: a home win is available at 2.30, the draw at 4.05 and an AS Roma win at 2.70.
- Manchester United have consistently threatened opponents' goals at home in the Champions League, recording more than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- AS Roma have struggled to win away from home, failing to do so in 9 of their last 10 Champions League away matches.
Form and Line-up Manchester United
On 31 October, Manchester United lost 0:2 away to Chelsea, having suffered a heavy 1:4 defeat to Como shortly before, on 21 October.
After the match against the London side, Michael Carrick said at a press conference that he expected to remain in charge for the match against AS Roma. The coach stressed that his focus was on preparing the players for the game.
- Manchester United have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Manchester United's opponents have scored more than 0.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Senne Lammens, Diogo Dalot, Matthijs de Ligt, Harry Maguire, Noussair Mazraoui, Mason Mount, Andrey Santos, Bryan Mbeumo, Youri Tielemans, Matheus Cunha, Bruno Fernandes
Luke Shaw, Benjamin Sesko and Patrick Dorgu will miss the match through injury.
Form and Line-up AS Roma
AS Roma's results have been very different: on 31 October, they beat Udinese 5:2 away, and a few days earlier, on 27 October, they defeated Cagliari 4:2 at home.
Donyell Malen has contributed both goals and assists in the Champions League, with three goals and two assists in his three appearances in the competition.
- AS Roma have scored more than 0.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The two teams have combined for more than 5.5 shots on target in each of AS Roma's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Pierluigi Gollini, Daniele Ghilardi, Leonardo Balerdi, Mario Hermoso, Nahuel Molina, Marten de Roon, Niccolo Pisilli, Wesley, Rodrigo Mora, Matías Soulé, Donyell Malen
Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manu Kone and Mile Svilar will miss the match for AS Roma through injury.
The teams' chances
Manchester United to win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.42 and a 41.3% probability. The draw is available at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.26 and a 23.5% probability. AS Roma to win is available at 2.70, with fair odds of 2.84 and a 35.2% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United to win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.26 | 23.5% |
| AS Roma to win | 2.70 | 2.84 | 35.2% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured instead, at 1.65 compared with 2.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap betting
Manchester United (-1.5) are available at 3.50, while AS Roma (-1.5) are at 4.70. At a +1.5 handicap, both sets of odds are short: Manchester United (+1.5) are at 1.14 and AS Roma (+1.5) at 1.25. Manchester United (-1) at 2.95 have shorter odds than AS Roma (-1) at 4.20; at a +1 handicap, Manchester United (+1) are offered at 1.20 and AS Roma (+1) at 1.35. At a zero handicap, Manchester United (0) at 1.78 are favoured over AS Roma (0) at 2.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | -1.5 | 4.70 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.95 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 0 | 2.05 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.45 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.65, the latter meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
11/50
|
57/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
1/4
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
1/4
|
61/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Manchester United — 1.5 goals; AS Roma — 1.5 goals.
Manchester United team total goals
For Manchester United, Over 0.5 goals at 1.15 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.40. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is offered at 1.33, compared with 3.05 for Under 1 goal. Under 1.5 and Over 1.5 goals have identical odds of 1.88. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.42 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.88 | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.42 | 2 | 2.65 |
AS Roma team total goals
For AS Roma, Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is markedly shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.15. Over 1 goal is available at 1.45, while Under 1 goal is at 2.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.72 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.05. Under 2 goals is offered at 1.28, compared with 3.30 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.72 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
