Odds overview
Manchester United to win at 1.70 is the clear favourite, while the draw at 4.30 and a Tottenham Hotspur win at 4.40 are offered at similar odds. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. The Draw No Bet odds of 1.30 for Manchester United and 3.20 for Tottenham Hotspur also favour the hosts.
Why Manchester United are favourites
Manchester United are 1.70 to win, the draw is 4.30, and Tottenham Hotspur are 4.40 to win.
- The hosts have won most of their recent Premier League home matches: Manchester United have won 8 of their last 10 at home.
- Tottenham Hotspur have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Manchester United
The team have shown different sides in cup and European matches: Manchester United beat Sabah 4:0 in the UEFA Champions League but lost 2:3 to Brighton & Hove Albion in the League Cup. Their league results have been modest so far — five points from the first five rounds.
Manchester United look to play proactively at Old Trafford: they have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches and have not been outshot on target in any of those 10 games.
- Manchester United have had more than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Manchester United have taken more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Manchester United line-up (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens, Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw, Youri Tielemans, Kobbie Mainoo, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, Matheus Cunha.
Patrick Dorgu is likely to miss the match. Bruno Fernandes, Kobbie Mainoo and Marcus Rashford remain doubtful.
Form and Line-up Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur's away cup match against Liverpool ended in a 1:3 defeat. Overall, the London side concede an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Tottenham Hotspur struggle to apply pressure away from home: they have taken fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, offsetting a lack of possession with aggressive tackling and more than 10.5 fouls.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- More than 9.5 corners have been taken in all 5 of Tottenham Hotspur's Premier League matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable Tottenham Hotspur line-up (4-2-3-1): Antonín Kinský, Archie Gray, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Andy Robertson, Rodrigo Bentancur, Sandro Tonali, Savinho, Matheus Fernandes, Omar Marmoush, Dominic Solanke.
Pedro Porro is likely to miss the match, while Xavi Simons is also not expected to feature. Micky van de Ven and Jan Paul van Hecke are doubtful.
The teams' chances
Manchester United are 1.70 to win, with fair odds of 1.78 and a fair probability of 56.1%. The draw is quoted at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.51 and a 22.2% fair probability; Tottenham Hotspur are 4.40 to win, with fair odds of 4.61 and a 21.7% fair probability. The chances of an away win and a draw are close.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.1% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.51 | 22.2% |
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 4.40 | 4.61 | 21.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. At 3.5 goals, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
Manchester United (-1.5) are offered at 2.65 and Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) at 7.30. At the +1.5 handicap line, Manchester United (+1.5) have shorter odds of 1.05 than Tottenham Hotspur (+1.5) at 1.45; at -1, the respective odds are 2.13 and 6.30. Manchester United (+1) and Tottenham Hotspur (+1) are quoted at 1.07 and 1.72 respectively, while Manchester United (0) are 1.30 and Tottenham Hotspur (0) are 3.20 on the zero handicap line.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.13 | -1 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.53 has considerably shorter odds than Both teams to score — No at 2.45, so the market sees goals from both teams as more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.53 |
| No | 2.45 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Manchester United — 2 goals; Tottenham Hotspur — 1 goal.
Manchester United team total goals
For Manchester United's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 6.20 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.07; Under 1.5 goals is 2.30 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.57. The odds are close at the 2-goal line: Under 2 goals is 1.75 and Over 2 goals is 2.03. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.75 | 2 | 2.03 |
| 1.42 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Tottenham Hotspur team total goals
For Tottenham Hotspur's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.90. The odds are almost equal at the 1-goal line: Under 1 goal is 1.92 and Over 1 goal is 1.82. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals at 1.42 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.92 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches — 29 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 4.7;
Matches with a red card — 4 out of 29;
Matches with a penalty — 6 out of 29.
