Odds overview
Olympique de Marseille are moderate favourites: a home win is available at 2.25, compared with 3.00 for an Olympiacos win and 3.65 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.09. Olympique de Marseille Draw No Bet (0) at 1.68 is shorter than Olympiacos Draw No Bet (0) at 2.09.
Why Olympique de Marseille are favourites
An Olympique de Marseille win is offered at 2.25, an Olympiacos win at 3.00 and a draw at 3.65.
- Olympique de Marseille go into the match as hosts after a successful trip to Troyes (2:0) in Ligue 1.
- Olympiacos have won only two of their last eight away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Form and Line-up Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille have lost five of their last six competitive matches and were heavily beaten away by Beşiktaş (1:4) in Matchday 1 of the UEFA Europa League league phase.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 12 of Olympique de Marseille's last 14 home matches.
- Olympique de Marseille are unbeaten in 10 consecutive home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Olympique de Marseille have scored in 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Olympique de Marseille line-up (4-2-3-1): Daniël de Lange, Timothy Weah, CJ Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Himad Abdelli, Amine Harit, Neal Maupay, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri.
Form and Line-up Olympiacos
Olympiacos have shown consistency in Europe, going unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Olympiacos' opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of the club's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Olympiacos' opponents have committed more than 11.5 fouls in the club's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards has landed in 9 of Olympiacos' last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Olympiacos line-up (4-2-3-1): Stefan Ortega, Manolis Saliakas, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Bruno Onyemaechi, Remo Freuler, Santiago Hezze, Chiquinho, Gelson Martins, Jota Silva, Armando González.
The teams' chances
An Olympique de Marseille win at 2.25 corresponds to fair odds of 2.37 and a 42.3% probability; a draw is at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.84 and a 26% probability; an Olympiacos win is at 3.00, with fair odds of 3.16 and a 31.7% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Marseille to win | 2.25 | 2.37 | 42.3% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26.0% |
| Olympiacos to win | 3.00 | 3.16 | 31.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.09 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.68. On the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 3.20 compared with 1.30 for Over; on the 3.5-goal line, Under is at 1.44 and Over at 2.60. The odds favour goals above the lower lines more strongly, while pointing to a more restrained outcome at the higher line.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.09 | 1.68 |
| 2 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Olympique de Marseille Draw No Bet (0) is available at 1.68, while Olympiacos Draw No Bet (0) is at 2.09, making the hosts the favourites on a level handicap.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 0 | 2.09 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
33/100
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
1/2
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Olympique Marseille — 1.5 goals; Olympiacos — 1.5 goals.
Olympique de Marseille team total goals
For Olympique de Marseille's team total, Over 0.5 goals is at 1.20 compared with 3.95 for Under 0.5; on the 1-goal line, Over is at 1.62 and Under at 2.20. At 1.5 goals, Under at 1.75 is shorter than Over at 2.00, while on the 2-goal line, Under at 1.36 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.36 | 2 | 2.90 |
Olympiacos team total goals
For Olympiacos' team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.35. At 1.5 goals, Under at 1.56 is favoured over Over at 2.30, while on the 2-goal line, Under at 1.16 is substantially shorter than Over at 4.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.35 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 1.56 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.16 | 2 | 4.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches — 20 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.4;
Matches with a red card — 1 in 20;
Matches with a penalty — 1 in 20.
