Odds overview
Mjällby AIF are clear favourites: a home win is available at around 1.35, compared with 5.10 for a draw and 9.00 for an Inter Escaldes win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring match. On the handicap, Inter Escaldes (+1.5) at 1.85 are slightly favoured over Mjällby AIF (-1.5) at 1.95.
Why Mjällby AIF are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts: Mjällby AIF are quoted at 1.35 to win, with the draw at 5.10 and an Inter Escaldes win at 9.00.
Although Mjällby AIF are considerably stronger than their opponents, the Swedish club have gone 10 matches without a win in all competitions. Their winless run in the Allsvenskan, which they have declared their main priority, has reached seven matches.
Inter Escaldes begin their European campaign after a convincing 4:0 league win over Ordino, although the difference in quality between the leagues remains a significant factor.
The Swedish club's squad is worth more than 3.5 times as much as the Andorran side's.
Form and Line-up Mjällby AIF
In their most recent Allsvenskan match, Mjällby AIF drew 1:1 at home to Degerfors. It was their 10th consecutive match without a win in all competitions. Their last victory came on 15 August, when they beat Sirius 4:3 in the league.
- Mjällby AIF scored fewer than 1.5 goals in nine of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in eight of Mjällby AIF's last 10 home matches.
- Mjällby AIF have conceded in 14 consecutive matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Alexander Lundin, Tony Miettinen, Abdullah Iqbal, Tom Pettersson, Villiam Granath, Viktor Gustafson, Jesper Gustavsson, Max Nielsen, Áki Samuelsen, Jacob Bergström, Jeppe Kjaer.
Unavailable: Timo Stavitski, Villum Dalsgaard, Måns Isaksson (injury).
Form and Line-up Inter Escaldes
The Andorran club are unbeaten in nine matches in all competitions and beat Ordino 4:0 in their most recent league game, with Ángel De la Torre scoring twice.
- Fewer than 9.5 corners were taken in eight of Inter Escaldes' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in eight of Inter Escaldes' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Inter Escaldes had more than 3.5 shots on target in eight of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (4-1-4-1): Javi Díaz, Mauricio Pochettino, Anwar Hernández, Álex Sánchez, Gilmar Torres, Antonio Otegui, Domi Berlanga, David López, Pablo Molina, Sule, Faysal Chouaib.
The teams' chances
The average odds favour a Mjällby AIF win at 1.35, with fair odds of 1.41 and a 70.7% probability. The draw is available at 5.10, with fair odds of 5.34 and an 18.7% probability; an Inter Escaldes win is offered at 9.00, with fair odds of 9.43 and a 10.6% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF win | 1.35 | 1.41 | 70.7% |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.34 | 18.7% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 9.00 | 9.43 | 10.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At 3.5 goals, the position is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.48 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
Mjällby AIF (-1.5) are available at 1.95 and Inter Escaldes (+1.5) at 1.85. At a one-goal handicap, Mjällby AIF (-1) are quoted at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Inter Escaldes (+1). On a zero handicap, Mjällby AIF (0) are offered at 1.08 against 5.90 for Inter Escaldes (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.85 | |
| 1.50 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.50 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 5.90 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.75 is shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.03, making it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/25
|
17/100
|
9/4
|
| William Hill |
3/50
|
3/20
|
5/2
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
3/20
|
5/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team total lines for this match: 2 goals for Mjällby AIF and 0.5 goals for Inter Escaldes.
Mjällby AIF team total goals
For Mjällby AIF's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 8.00 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.04. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 2.65 against 1.42 for Over 1.5 goals; at the 2-goal line, the respective odds are 2.02 and 1.75. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 8.00 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.42 |
| 2.02 | 2 | 1.75 |
| 1.55 | 2.5 | 2.35 |
Inter Escaldes team total goals
For Inter Escaldes' team total, Under 0.5 goals at 1.87 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.88 are almost evenly matched. Under 1 goal is available at 1.25 against 3.50 for Over 1 goal, while Under 1.5 goals at 1.12 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 5.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.50 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 5.00 |
