Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the Faroe Islands have a slight edge at 2.70, compared with 2.85 for Moldova; the draw is 3.00. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Under is favoured over Over at 1.50 versus 2.50. At handicap (0), the Faroe Islands are shorter than Moldova: 1.87 versus 1.93.
Why the Faroe Islands are favourites
A Moldova win is available at 2.85, while the Faroe Islands are offered at 2.70. The draw is quoted at 3.00.
- The Faroe Islands have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Moldova have conceded fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Moldova
Moldova have played with considerable discipline and sustained pressure in the UEFA Nations League: they have committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition, while their opponents have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of those 10 matches.
The overall attacking threat has remained moderate, however — fewer than 9.5 shots on target were recorded in 9 of the 10 matches.
- Moldova have committed more than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Moldova have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Moldova have taken fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-1-1): Dumitru Celeadnic, Vladislav Baboglo, Mihail Gherasimencov, Iurie Iovu, Vadim Rață, Victor Stînă, Oleg Reabciuk, Danila Forov, Nikita Motpan, Petru Popescu, Nicky Clescenco.
Form and Line-up Faroe Islands
The Faroe Islands' opponents have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 9 of the team's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches. The Faroe Islands have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- The Faroe Islands have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- The Faroe Islands have taken more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- More than 2.5 offsides have been recorded in 8 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Mattias Lamhauge, Joannes Danielsen, Andrias Edmundsson, Oddmar Færø, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Martin Agnarsson, Áki Samuelsen, Géza Dávid Turi, Jóannes Bjartalid, Hanus Sørensen, Petur Knudsen.
Páll Andrasson Klettskarð is unavailable for the Faroe Islands.
The teams' chances
A Faroe Islands win is rated slightly more likely, with average odds of 2.70, fair odds of 2.85 and a probability of 35.1%. The corresponding figures for a Moldova win are 2.85, 3.01 and 33.3%; for a draw, they are 3.00, 3.16 and 31.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova to win | 2.85 | 3.01 | 33.3% |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.16 | 31.6% |
| Faroe Islands to win | 2.70 | 2.85 | 35.1% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Over 2.5. At the 2-goal line, the odds are almost even: Under 2 is 1.85 and Over 2 is 1.90. Under 3.5 is offered at 1.14, while Over 3.5 is 4.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 2 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.14 | 4.60 |
Handicap prediction
The Faroe Islands (-1.5) are offered at 5.70 and Moldova (-1.5) at 6.00. The odds for the 1.5 handicap are almost equal: Faroe Islands (+1.5) at 1.08 and Moldova (+1.5) at 1.09. The Faroe Islands (-1) are 4.80, compared with 5.00 for Moldova (-1); at the +1 line, the odds are 1.12 and 1.13 respectively. At handicap (0), the Faroe Islands have shorter odds of 1.87, compared with 1.93 for Moldova.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.00 | -1 | 4.80 |
| 1.13 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 1.93 | 0 | 1.87 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is available at 1.65; Both teams to score — Yes is 2.15.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.15 |
| No | 1.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
2/5
|
33/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
1/2
|
2/5
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Moldova — 1 goal; Faroe Islands — 1 goal.
Moldova team total goals
For Moldova's team goal total, Over 0.5 is offered at 1.48, compared with 2.55 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.70 and Over is 2.08; at 1.5, they are 1.30 and 3.15 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.08 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
Faroe Islands team total goals
For the Faroe Islands' team goal total, Over 0.5 is offered at 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.77 and Over is 1.97; at 1.5, they are 1.35 and 2.95 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.77 | 1 | 1.97 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Julian Weinberger (Austria)
Matches — 6 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 6.
Dumitru Celeadnic
Iurie Iovu
Cătălin Cucoș
Mihail Gherasimencov
Oleg Reabciuk
Dmitri Mandrîcenco
Danila Forov
Victor Stînă
Vladislav Baboglo
Andrii Kozhukhar
Daniel Dumbrăvanu
Mihail Ștefan
Cristian Dros
Nichita Moțpan
Sergiu Perciun
Vadim Raţă
Ștefan Bodișteanu
Nicky Cleșcenco
Mattias Lamhauge
Andrias Edmundsson
Gunnar Vatnhamar
Hanus Sørensen
Jann Benjaminsen
Samuel Chukwudi
Mattias Hellisdal
Géza Dávid Turi
Áki Samuelsen
Adrian Justinussen
Ari Petersen
Bárður á Reynatrøð
Heini Vatnsdal
Jóannes Kalsø Danielsen
Aron Benjaminsen
Poul Kallsberg
