Odds overview
Montenegro are favourites: a home win is available at 1.50, compared with 4.20 for a draw and 6.00 for an Armenia win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.69 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.08. The odds for Montenegro (-1) at 1.79 and Armenia (-1) at 1.95 are close, with a slight edge to the hosts.
Why Montenegro are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Montenegro are available at 1.50 to win, a draw is offered at 4.20, and an Armenia win at 6.00.
• Montenegro have won their last two UEFA Nations League matches, beating Cyprus at home (2:1) and taking three points away to Latvia (2:1).
• Armenia lost their previous away match in the competition, going down 0:2 to Cyprus.
Form and Line-up Montenegro
Montenegro have been productive in attack: their figure of 2.34 expected goals ranks them third among the 54 UEFA Nations League participants. Their home matches have also been closely contested — more than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 8 of Montenegro's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Montenegro and their opponents have taken fewer than 9.5 corners in 8 of Montenegro's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Montenegro have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Montenegro line-up (4-3-3): Balša Popović, Marko Vešović, Slobodan Rubezic, Igor Vujacic, Risto Radunovic, Marko Janković, Stefan Loncar, Vasilije Adžić, Milutin Osmajić, Nikola Krstović, Stevan Jovetić
Form and Line-up Armenia
Armenia have struggled to create clear chances: the combined xG in their matches is 1.66, the lowest figure in the UEFA Nations League. Away from home, they have regularly allowed opponents to threaten their goal — opponents recorded more than 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 away matches. The national side have also rotated their squad: the coaching staff made six changes to the starting line-up for their previous match.
- There have been more than 7.5 corners in 8 of Armenia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Armenia have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- The teams have received fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of Armenia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Armenia line-up (4-3-3): Arsen Beglaryan, Erik Piloyan, Erik Simonyan, Georgiy Harutyunyan, Artem Bandikyan, Karlen Hovhannisyan, Eduard Spertsyan, Nayair Tiknizyan, Edgar Sevikyan, Gor Manvelyan, Artur Miranyan
Artur Gharibyan is doubtful for the match.
The teams' chances
A Montenegro win is offered at 1.50, with fair odds of 1.61 and a 62.2% probability. For a draw, the respective figures are 4.20, 4.50 and 22.2%; for an Armenia win, they are 6.00, 6.43 and 15.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro win | 1.50 | 1.61 | 62.2% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| Armenia win | 6.00 | 6.43 | 15.6% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.08, while Over 2.5 goals is at 1.69. At the 2-goal line, Under is offered at 3.15 against 1.31 for Over; at 3.5 goals, the odds are 1.42 for Under and 2.67 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.08 | 1.69 |
| 2 | 3.15 | 1.31 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.67 |
Handicap prediction
Montenegro (-1.5) is available at 2.28 and Armenia (-1.5) at 1.57 — the away selection has markedly shorter odds. The odds are closer for Montenegro (-1) and Armenia (-1), at 1.79 and 1.95 respectively, with a slight edge to Montenegro (-1).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | -1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.79 | -1 | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
| William Hill |
3/25
|
1/5
|
81/50
|
| 888sport |
3/20
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Montenegro — 1.5 goals; Armenia — 0.5 goals.
Montenegro team total goals
Montenegro team total goals: Under 0.5 is available at 5.40, compared with 1.10 for Over 0.5; at the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 2.30 and 1.56 respectively. For 2.5 goals, Under is offered at 1.42 and Over at 2.67.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.56 |
| 1.42 | 2.5 | 2.67 |
Armenia team total goals
Armenia team total goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.19 and Over 0.5 at 1.62. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.21 against 3.85 for Over; at 2.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.03 and 7.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 0.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.21 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
| 1.03 | 2.5 | 7.90 |
