Odds overview
Montenegro are favourites: a home win is available at around 1.75, while the draw is quoted at 3.70 and an away win at 4.80. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.98. In the level handicap market, Montenegro Draw No Bet is available at 1.30 compared with 3.25 for Cyprus Draw No Bet, which gives the hosts notably stronger support.
Why Montenegro are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: Montenegro to win is available at 1.75, while the draw is offered at 3.70 and a Cyprus win at 4.80.
• Montenegro refreshed their squad ahead of the September fixtures: head coach Mirko Vucinic recalled Vasilije Adžić and Aleksa Latković, while also calling up Bodin Tomašević and Andrija Đurić for the first time.
• The visitors' defensive inconsistency strengthens the favourite's position: Cyprus have conceded at least one goal in 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Montenegro
In their most recent friendly on 5 June 2026, Montenegro drew 2:2 with Slovakia. The team's matches are rarely overly high-scoring, however: fewer than five goals were scored in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Montenegro's opponents scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- At least two goals were scored in 9 of Montenegro's last 10 matches in all competitions
- Montenegro scored no more than two goals in each of their last 10 matches
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Balša Popović, Risto Radunovic, Slobodan Rubezic, Milan Roganović, Marko Vešović, Stefan Loncar, Andrija Bulatović, Milutin Osmajic, Vasilije Adžić, Stevan Jovetić, Nikola Krstović
Absentees: Adam Marušić (injured)
Form and Line-up Cyprus
Cyprus begin the tournament following June friendlies: a 2:0 win over Liechtenstein and a 1:1 draw with Slovakia. Both matches were away from home. In September, Apostolos Mantzios called up 27 players, including three newcomers — Marcus Edwards, Leonidas Konomis and Nicholas Tsaroullas.
In matches involving Cyprus, opponents often play aggressively: in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Cyprus's opponents committed at least 12 fouls.
- Cyprus scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- At least three offsides were recorded in 8 of Cyprus's last 10 away matches
- Cyprus's opponents received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Neofytos Michail, Andreas Siikkis, Christos Sielis, Nikolas Panayiotou, Konstantinos Laifis, Grigoris Kastanos, Loizos Loizou, Hector Kyprianou, Marinos Tzionis, Ioannis Pittas, Marcus Edwards
Team chances
Montenegro to win is offered at 1.75; fair odds are 1.84 with a 54.4% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.70, with fair odds of 3.89 and a probability of 25.7%, while Cyprus to win is available at 4.80, 5.04 and 19.8% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro win | 1.75 | 1.84 | 54.4% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.89 | 25.7% |
| Cyprus win | 4.80 | 5.04 | 19.8% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.83 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.98, so the market leans slightly towards a low-scoring scenario. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.30 versus 3.15 for Over, meaning three or more goals are considered notably less likely.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap prediction
Montenegro (-1.5) is quoted at 2.85, while Cyprus (+1.5) is available at 1.38. At the 1-goal line, Montenegro (-1) is offered at 2.30 and Cyprus (+1) at 1.62. With a level handicap, the odds are 1.30 for Montenegro Draw No Bet and 3.25 for Cyprus Draw No Bet: Montenegro retain the advantage.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.38 | |
| 2.30 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.62 | |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.90, while Both teams to score — No is at 1.85. There is a slight edge for a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
29/100
|
1/1
|
| William Hill |
9/50
|
29/100
|
11/10
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
29/100
|
11/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Montenegro — 1.5 goals; Cyprus — 0.5 goals.
Montenegro team total
Montenegro team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.40 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.15; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.30 and 1.30 respectively. At 1.5 goals, the odds are nearly equal: Under is 1.87 and Over is 1.88. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 and Over at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.30 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.87 | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Cyprus team total
Cyprus team total: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.25 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.50 versus 2.50 for Over, while at 1.5 goals it is 1.25 versus 3.65, suggesting modest expectations for the visitors' goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
