Montenegro vs Cyprus: prediction & betting odds 25 September 2026

Odds overview

Montenegro are favourites: a home win is available at around 1.75, compared with 3.70 for a draw and 4.80 for a Cyprus win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.98. For the handicap at 0, Montenegro (0) are quoted at 1.30 against 3.25 for Cyprus (0), giving the hosts a much stronger chance.

Why Montenegro are favourites

Bookmakers favour the hosts: Montenegro are offered at 1.75 to win, compared with 3.70 for a draw and 4.80 for a Cyprus victory.

• Montenegro have refreshed their squad ahead of the September fixtures: head coach Mirko Vucinic has recalled Vasilije Adžić and Aleksa Latković and handed first call-ups to Bodin Tomašević and Andrej Djuric.

• The visitors' defensive inconsistency strengthens the favourites' case: Cyprus have conceded at least one goal in 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and Line-up Montenegro

In their most recent friendly, on 5 June 2026, Montenegro drew 2:2 with Slovakia. Their matches are rarely high-scoring, however: fewer than five goals were scored in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

• Montenegro's opponents scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
• At least two goals were scored in 9 of Montenegro's last 10 matches in all competitions
• Montenegro scored no more than two goals in each of their last 10 matches

Probable Montenegro line-up (4-4-2): Balša Popović, Risto Radunovic, Slobodan Rubezic, Milan Roganović, Marko Vešović, Stefan Loncar, Andrija Bulatović, Milutin Osmajic, Vasilije Adžić, Stevan Jovetić, Nikola Krstović

Absentees: Adam Marušić (injured)

Form and Line-up Cyprus

Cyprus begin the tournament after June friendlies in which they beat Liechtenstein 2:0 and drew 1:1 with Slovakia. Both matches were played away from home. In September, Apostolos Mantzios called up 27 players, including three newcomers — Marcus Edwards, Leonidas Konomis and Nicholas Tsaroulla.

Opponents often play physically against Cyprus: in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, their opponents committed at least 12 fouls.

• Cyprus scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
• At least three offsides were recorded in 8 of Cyprus's last 10 away matches
• Cyprus's opponents received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches

Probable Cyprus line-up (4-4-2): Neofytos Michail, Andreas Siikkis, Christos Sielis, Nikolas Panayiotou, Konstantinos Laifis, Grigoris Kastanos, Loizos Loizou, Hector Kyprianou, Marinos Tzionis, Ioannis Pittas, Marcus Edwards

The teams' chances

Montenegro to win is offered at 1.75, with fair odds of 1.84 and a 54.4% probability. A draw is quoted at 3.70, with fair odds of 3.89 and a 25.7% probability; the corresponding figures for Cyprus to win are 4.80, 5.04 and 19.8%.

Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.83 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.98, so the market leans slightly towards a lower-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.30 against 3.15 for Over, meaning that three or more goals are considered considerably less likely.

Handicap prediction

Montenegro (-1.5) are quoted at 2.85, compared with 1.38 for Cyprus (+1.5). At the 1-goal handicap line, Montenegro (-1) are offered at 2.30 and Cyprus (+1) at 1.62. At a 0 handicap, the odds are 1.30 for Montenegro (0) and 3.25 for Cyprus (0): the advantage remains with Montenegro.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.90, while Both teams to score – No is offered at 1.85. The market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	7/50	1/4	6/5
William Hill	9/50	29/100	11/10
888sport	17/100	1/4	6/5

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team total goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team total goal lines for this match: Montenegro at 1.5 goals and Cyprus at 0.5 goals.

Montenegro team total goals

For Montenegro's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.15; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.30 and 1.30. At 1.5 goals, the odds are almost equal: 1.87 for Under and 1.88 for Over. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 and Over at 2.70.

Cyprus team total goals

For Cyprus's team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.25 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.50 against 2.50 for Over; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.25 and 3.65, suggesting modest expectations for the visitors' goal tally.

Who Will Referee the Match

Daniele Chiffi (Italy)

Matches – 5 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);

Average fouls per match – 26;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.8;

Matches with a red card – 1 of 5;

Matches with a penalty – 1 of 5.