Odds Overview
Freiburg are clear favourites: Freiburg to win is 1.45, compared with 6.30 for Motherwell to win, while the draw is 4.70. In the main totals market, over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is priced noticeably lower than under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Freiburg (0) at 1.15 look preferable to Motherwell (0) at 4.40.
Why Freiburg Are Match Favourites
The bookmakers give Freiburg a clear advantage: an away win is priced at 1.45, while Motherwell are offered at 6.30 to win and the draw is 4.70.
• The German club enter the new European campaign as finalists from the previous Europa League, with significantly higher European standing and international experience.
• In their final pre-season match before the start of competitive fixtures, Freiburg confidently beat Crystal Palace 3:0, showing strong attacking readiness and defensive reliability.
Form and Line-up Motherwell
In the previous round of UEFA Conference League qualifying, Motherwell beat HJK 2:0 at home and went through 3:1 on aggregate. Their start to the Scottish Premiership was less expressive — a 0:0 home draw with Falkirk.
In the League Cup on 16 August, the Scots lost 0:1 to Stenhousemuir after extra time, suffering their first defeat under Alfred Johansson. The head coach made eight changes to the starting line-up, saving key players for the European fixture.
Key numbers:
• No more than 10 corners have been recorded in 9 of Motherwell's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
• In 9 of Motherwell's last 10 matches in all competitions, the teams have taken a maximum of 11 corners.
• Motherwell's opponents have been caught offside no more than once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Motherwell line-up (4-3-3): Matty Connelly — Luca Ross — Jake Girdwood-Reich — Jamie Knight-Lebel — Ewan Wilson — Olly Whyte — Joe Hodge — Mikey Booth — Tawanda Maswanhise — Willy Vogt — Ibrahim Said.
Absentees: Paul McGinn, Callum Hendry (both injured).
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Julian Schuster's team prepared purposefully for the start of their European campaign through friendlies, beating Strasbourg 2:0. The final warm-up against Crystal Palace served as a dress rehearsal before the trip to Scotland.
In 8 of the last 10 matches involving Freiburg in all competitions, spectators have seen at least three goals scored.
Key numbers:
• A maximum of 10 corners have been taken in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Freiburg have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Fewer than five goals have been scored in 8 of Freiburg's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-3-3): Mio Backhaus — Philipp Treu — Matthias Ginter — Max Rosenfelder — Jordy Makengo — Maximilian Eggestein — Yannik Engelhardt — Jan-Niklas Beste — Yuito Suzuki — Vincenzo Grifo — Igor Matanovic.
Team Chances
Motherwell to win is offered at 6.30, with a no-margin price of 6.69 and 15.0%; the draw is 4.70, 4.99 and 20.1%. Freiburg to win at 1.45 has a no-margin price of 1.54 and a probability of 65.0%, confirming Freiburg's status as favourites.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Motherwell to win | 6.30 | 6.69 | 15.0% |
Draw | 4.70 | 4.99 | 20.1% |
Freiburg to win | 1.45 | 1.54 | 65.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is priced lower than under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5, by contrast, under 3.5 goals at 1.57 is preferable to over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
Under | Line | Over |
2.30 | 2.5 | 1.55 |
1.57 | 3.5 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
Freiburg (-1.5) is available at 2.13, while Motherwell (+1.5) is 1.68. On the -1 line, Freiburg (-1) is priced at 1.65; on the +1 line, Motherwell (+1) is 2.10. Freiburg (0) at 1.15 is priced significantly lower than Motherwell (0) at 4.40.
Motherwell | Handicap | Freiburg |
- | (-1.5) | 2.13 |
1.68 | (+1.5) | - |
- | (-1) | 1.65 |
2.10 | (+1) | - |
4.40 | (0) | 1.15 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is priced at 1.70, while Both teams to score — No is 2.08: the market rates goals for both teams as slightly more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.70 |
No | 2.08 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 at 1.10 is the most likely double chance, 12 is offered at 1.17, and 1X at 2.65.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.65 | 1.17 | 1.10 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Motherwell — 0.5 goals, Freiburg — 2 goals.
Motherwell Team Total
Motherwell: over 0.5 goals at 1.55 is priced lower than under 0.5 goals at 2.30. On the 1 line, under 1 goal at 1.48 is preferable to over 1 goal at 2.45, while at 1.5, under 1.5 goals at 1.22 is noticeably lower than over 1.5 goals at 3.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.30 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.48 | 1 | 2.45 |
1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
Freiburg Team Total
Freiburg: over 0.5 goals at 1.05 is significantly lower than under 0.5 goals at 7.50. Over 1.5 goals at 1.45 is priced lower than under 1.5 goals at 2.55; on the 2 line, over 2 goals at 1.80 is slightly lower than under 2 goals at 1.90. At 2.5, under 2.5 goals at 1.50 is preferable to over 2.5 goals at 2.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
7.50 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.55 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
1.90 | 2 | 1.80 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Radu Petrescu (Romania)
Matches — 5 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.2;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 5;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 5.
