Ligue 1
32th round
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Nantes
MATCH FINISHED
3
:
0
2 May, 14:00
Marseille
1
57/20
X
3/1
2
5/4
Odds for upcoming matches
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
1 8/1
X 19/4
2 9/25
Under 2.5 12/5
2.5
Over 2.5 33/100
19:45
1 1/2
X 15/4
2 28/5
Under 2.5 33/25
2.5
Over 2.5 61/100
19:45
1 121/100
X 261/100
2 21/10
Under 2.5 33/25
2.5
Over 2.5 31/50
11:00
1 10/1
X 19/4
2 2/5
Under 2.5 17/10
2.5
Over 2.5 11/25
17:00
1 41/50
X 13/5
2 15/4
Under 2.5 37/50
2.5
Over 2.5 11/10
Show all
Match stats
Logo Nantes Nantes
Marseille Logo Marseille
42 Ball possession (%) 58
17 Goal attempts 16
6 Shots on Goal 8
11 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked shots 4

Nantes vs Marseille: prediction & betting odds 2 May 2026

Published: 27 April 2026 10:52

In round 32 of the Ligue 1 season, on Saturday 2 May, Nantes host Marseille at the Stade de la Beaujoire. The match is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 UK time.


The hosts come into this as clear underdogs: 17th place with 20 points, a winless run stretching to seven rounds, and an injury list that already includes seven regular starters. But the favourites from Marseille are only nominal today as well — since Roberto De Zerbi left, Habib Beye's team have had a dreadful April, sit four points off the Champions League places with three rounds remaining and simply have to take maximum points.

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Two crisis-hit teams meet with different margins for error and different squad depth. For Nantes, defeat to Marseille could mean relegation to Ligue 2, while for Marseille it would be the death of their European ambitions. Only Nantes have seven regular starters in the treatment room and a deficit in quality, whereas Marseille have Aubameyang, Greenwood and three rounds to force their way into the Champions League places.


Bet on the Match

The main idea of the bet is not to demand a perfect away performance from the favourites, but to take a broader scenario. Nantes defend deep a lot, more often go long and cede territory. The hosts average 42.3% possession, 31.8 xG and 3.2 shots on target per match — a weak platform for victory even with maximum motivation.


At the same time, the straight away win is priced at around 1.70: the bookmakers still do not fully trust Marseille after their failures against Brest (0:2) and Lorient (0:2). We prefer a combination with draw insurance — odds around 1.42 offer an edge over the line, because with three rounds to go Nantes have no reason just to sit back in defence.


Marseille's attack remains third in the league for xG at 56.4. The visitors hit the target 5.5 times per match, keep 57.5% possession and have already scored 59 goals. Against a Nantes defence on 45.9 xGA with 51 goals conceded, that creates room for two away goals. The straight away win is riskier because of their away dips, whereas Marseille double chance plus Over 1.5 total goals (X2 + Over 1.5) covers both ideas at once: Marseille's class and the hosts' defensive frailty.


Prediction: Marseille double chance + Over 1.5 goals


Additional Bet

We expect pressure in one direction: at home against favourites Nantes tend to drop back towards their own box, while Marseille have to take risks for a top-three finish. Marseille push their full-backs high, attack a lot through the width and have already won 164 corners. Nantes have 112 corners and a low possession tempo. The odds on Marseille to win the corner count look like value that ignores the gap in quality and motivation.


Prediction: Marseille to win on corners

Betting prediction
Marseille double chance + Over 1.5 goals
Cf
Odds
21/50
Read more

Team lineups

Nantes

Vahid Halilhodžić
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Patrik Ulf Anders Carlgren
gk. 27 0
Nicolas Louis Marcel Cozza
df. 32 0
Chidozie Collins Awaziem
df. 30 1
Deiver Andrés Machado Mena
df. 15 0
Frédéric Georges Claude Auguste Guilbert
df. 0 0
Johann Théo Tom Lepenant
mf. 26 0
Ibrahima Sissoko
mf. 14 0
Rémy Joseph Cabella
mf. 14 2
Mohamed Kaba Dramé
mf. 11 0
Matthis Abline
fw. 31 6
Ignatius Kpene Ganago
fw. 13 3
Substitutes
Lucas Bonelli
gk. 0 0
Uroš Radaković
df. 17 0
Ali Youssif Ibrahim Al Musrati
df. 12 0
Mathieu Acapandié
df. 6 0
Louis Leroux
mf. 24 1
Francis Joseph Coquelin
mf. 0 0
Youssef El-Arabi
fw. 32 3
Mostafa Mohamed Ahmed Abdalla
fw. 30 4
Bahereba Guirassy
fw. 26 2
Marseille

Habib Bèye
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jeffrey de Lange
gk. 32 -11
Emerson Palmieri dos Santos
df. 27 0
Leonardo Julián Balerdi Rosa
df. 25 0
Facundo Axel Medina
df. 18 0
Pierre-Emile Kordt Højbjerg
mf. 30 3
Arthur Denis Vermeeren
mf. 28 0
Hamed Junior Traoré
mf. 17 2
Quinten Ryan Crispito Timber
mf. 13 0
Tochukwu Nnadi
mf. 8 0
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
fw. 32 9
Mason Will John Greenwood
fw. 31 15
Substitutes
Emmanuel Israel Ange Lago
7 0
Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani
3 0
Théo Vermot
gk. 2 0
K. Bezahaf
df. 0 0
Ethan Chidiebere Nwaneri
mf. 14 2
Nouhoum Kamissoko
mf. 3 0
Igor Guilherme Barbosa da Paixão
fw. 28 6
Amine Gouiri
fw. 21 7
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri
fw. 3 0

Previous matches in the tournament

Nantes
26 April, 2026
Ligue 1
Rennes
Nantes
2
1
L
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Marseille
26 April, 2026
Ligue 1
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
Show more Hide

H2H: Nantes — Marseille

Ligue 1 2025/26
4 January, 2026
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0
3 November, 2024
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Marseille
1
2
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10 March, 2024
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2
0
1 September, 2023
Nantes
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1
1
Ligue 1 2022-2023
1 February, 2023
Nantes
Marseille
0
2
20 August, 2022
Marseille
Nantes
2
1
Ligue 1 2021-2022
20 April, 2022
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Nantes
3
2
1 December, 2021
Nantes
Marseille
0
1
Ligue 1 2020-2021
20 February, 2021
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Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 45
10
Toulouse
34 12 9 13 47:46 45
11
Paris
34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12
Brest
34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13
Nice
36 8 12 16 41:61 36
14
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 36
15
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 35
16
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 34
17
Nantes
34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 17
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Strasbourg
5 3 1 1 12:10 10
2
Auxerre
5 3 1 1 11:7 10
3
PSG
5 3 1 1 9:4 10
4
Lyon
5 3 0 2 10:11 9
5
Paris
5 3 0 2 10:5 9
6
Rennes
5 3 0 2 10:9 9
7
Lens
5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8
Lille
5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9
Toulouse
5 2 2 1 8:7 8
10
Marseille
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
11
Lorient
5 2 1 2 10:7 7
12
Nice
5 1 3 1 6:4 6
13
Le Havre
5 1 3 1 8:7 6
14
Monaco
5 1 2 2 10:11 5
15
Nantes
5 1 1 3 4:6 4
16
Angers
5 0 3 2 4:9 3
17
Metz
5 0 2 3 6:13 2
18
Brest
5 0 2 3 5:11 2
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Lens
17 14 0 3 35:13 42
2
PSG
17 13 2 2 41:12 41
3
Marseille
17 11 4 2 41:20 37
4
Lyon
17 12 1 4 30:18 37
5
Rennes
17 10 4 3 30:17 34
6
Monaco
17 10 2 5 33:23 32
7
Lorient
17 8 6 3 31:25 30
8
Strasbourg
17 9 3 5 30:19 30
9
Lille
17 8 5 4 24:17 29
10
Brest
17 7 5 5 28:23 26
11
Paris
17 7 4 6 28:27 25
12
Toulouse
17 6 6 5 25:24 24
13
Nice
18 5 8 5 23:28 23
14
Le Havre
17 5 8 4 20:18 23
15
Angers
17 6 5 6 18:20 23
16
Auxerre
17 6 4 7 18:17 22
17
Nantes
17 3 4 10 18:27 13
18
Metz
17 2 4 11 15:32 10
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
17 11 2 4 33:17 35
2
Lille
17 10 2 5 28:20 32
3
Lens
17 8 4 5 31:22 28
4
Rennes
17 7 4 6 29:33 25
5
Strasbourg
17 6 5 6 28:28 23
6
Lyon
17 6 5 6 23:22 23
7
Monaco
17 6 4 7 27:31 22
8
Marseille
17 7 1 9 22:25 22
9
Toulouse
17 6 3 8 22:22 21
10
Paris
17 4 7 6 19:23 19
11
Lorient
17 3 6 8 17:26 15
12
Nice
18 3 4 11 18:33 13
13
Brest
17 3 4 10 15:32 13
14
Angers
17 3 4 10 11:28 13
15
Auxerre
17 2 6 9 16:27 12
16
Le Havre
17 2 6 9 12:26 12
17
Nantes
17 2 5 10 11:25 11
18
Metz
17 1 4 12 17:44 7
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Nantes vs Marseille Odds

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1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
BookieFIRST_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YESSECOND_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YES
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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