Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win holds a slight edge at 2.45, with the away win at 3.05 and the draw at 3.15. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 is considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. The main handicap offers Napoli Draw No Bet at 1.75 and Como Draw No Bet at 2.10, also giving the hosts a slight advantage.
Why Napoli are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.45 on a Napoli win, 3.15 on the draw and 3.05 on Como avoiding defeat.
- Napoli made a successful start to the new Serie A season, beating Genoa 2:0 in the opening round.
- Como were held to a 1:1 draw away to Udinese in the opening round, conceding in the first half and only equalising after the break.
- Napoli are fourth in the table with three points, while Como are 10th with one point.
Form and Line-up Napoli
The first competitive match under Allegri brought three points, although the performance was modest: 0.75 xG and two late goals from De Bruyne. The Belgian came on in the 67th minute for Zambo Anguissa and decided the outcome within five minutes — scoring and providing an assist.
Before the start of the season, the club strengthened their defence by signing Benoit Badiashile on loan from Chelsea until the end of the season.
Key numbers:
In each of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Napoli have not been beaten by their opponents on corners.
The team's players committed 11 fouls or fewer in nine of their last 10 league matches.
Napoli generated only 0.75 expected goals in the opening-round match.
Probable Napoli line-up (4-3-3): Alex Meret — Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Rafa Marin, Leonardo Spinazzola — Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka, Kevin De Bruyne — Matteo Politano, Rasmus Hojlund, Alisson Santos.
Form and Line-up Como
Four new signings made their debuts for Fabregas's side in the opening round — Yan Couto, Trevoh Chalobah, Luis Milla and Mattia Liberali. The new combinations still need time: Como conceded in the first half in Udine and were rescued by a Douvikas goal after the break.
The team rank third in the league's early standings for total xG (3.65) — their chance creation is working better than their results.
Key numbers:
In nine of Como's last 10 away Serie A matches, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
In eight of their last 10 away matches, the two teams combined for fewer than 23.5 shot attempts.
In all 10 away games, their opponents registered no more than four shots on target.
Probable Como line-up (4-2-3-1): Jean Butez — Yan Couto, Jacobo Ramon, Trevoh Chalobah, Alex Valle — Maximo Perrone, Luis Milla — Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Jesus Rodriguez — Anastasios Douvikas.
Team chances
The home win at 2.45 corresponds to fair odds of 2.58 and a 38.7% probability. The draw is listed at 3.15, 3.32 and 30.1%, while the away win is at 3.05, 3.21 and 31.1%: Napoli's edge is minimal.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Napoli to win | 2.45 | 2.58 | 38.7% |
Draw | 3.15 | 3.32 | 30.1% |
Como to win | 3.05 | 3.21 | 31.1% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 is preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. The odds are closer for a total of 2: Under 2 goals at 2.03 and Over 2 goals at 1.75. At 3.5, the lower-scoring option of Under 3.5 goals at 1.17 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 4.15.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
2 | 2.03 | 1.75 |
3.5 | 1.17 | 4.15 |
Handicap prediction
Napoli (-1.5) are available at 4.90 and Como (-1.5) at 6.50. Napoli (+1.5) at 1.06 are slightly shorter than Como (+1.5) at 1.12. On the -1 line, Napoli (-1) are at 4.20 and Como (-1) at 5.50; on the +1 line, Napoli (+1) are at 1.10 and Como (+1) at 1.20. Napoli Draw No Bet at 1.75 is preferable to Como Draw No Bet at 2.10.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.90 | -1.5 | 6.50 |
1.06 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
4.20 | -1 | 5.50 |
1.10 | 1 | 1.20 |
1.75 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.80 is rated more highly than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.97: a scenario in which at least one team does not score is more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.97 |
No | 1.80 |
Double chance prediction
The odds on 1X and 12 are almost identical — 1.40 and 1.38 respectively. X2 at 1.55 looks the least likely of the three double-chance options.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.40 | 1.38 | 1.55 |
Team totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Napoli — 1 goal, Como — 1 goal.
Napoli team total
Napoli: Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is clearly preferable to Under 0.5 goals at 2.90. On the 1-goal line, Over 1 is at 1.78 against Under 1 at 2.00, while on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.45 is rated more highly than Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.00 | 1 | 1.78 |
1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Como team total
Como: Over 0.5 goals at 1.47 is preferable to Under 0.5 goals at 2.60. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.70 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.07; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 has the edge over Over 1.5 goals at 3.10.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
1.70 | 1 | 2.07 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches — 10 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 5.3;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 10;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 10.
