Odds overview
A Napoli win is available at around 2.25, a draw at 3.65 and a Lazio win at 3.10. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Napoli Draw No Bet (0) is available at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Lazio Draw No Bet (0).
Why Napoli are favourites
Napoli are the bookmakers' favourites at 2.25 to win. A Lazio win is quoted at 3.10 and a draw at 3.65.
- Napoli have been picking up points consistently in the league, avoiding defeat in 6 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Lazio, meanwhile, have been strong away from home, winning 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Form and Line-up Napoli
Napoli come into this match after a heavy defeat in the UEFA Champions League: they lost 1:4 to Portu on 4 November.
Napoli have been attacking actively at home in the league, taking more than 11.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Napoli's opponents scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The two teams combined for more than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of Napoli's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Alex Meret, Amir Rrahmani, Rafael Marín, Sam Beukema, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Scott McTominay, Matteo Politano, Lorenzo Lucca, Noa Lang.
Napoli will be without the injured Costantino Favasuli, Benoît Badiashile, Mathias Olivera, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno, Stanislav Lobotka, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alisson Santos and David Neres, while Luca Marianucci is suspended.
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio beat Cagliari Calcio 2:1 in their most recent Serie A round on 1 November.
Lazio's overall run has also been impressive: they are unbeaten in their last 10 competitive matches across all competitions.
- Lazio's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The two teams scored fewer than 3.5 goals combined in 9 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable line-up: Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani, Josip Šutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Andrea Pinamonti, Gustav Isaksen, Tijjani Noslin.
Lazio's Albert Guðmundsson is injured, while Mattia Zaccagni is doubtful because of a thigh injury.
The teams' chances
A Napoli win is available at 2.25, with fair odds of 2.34 and a probability of 42.7%. A draw is offered at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.80 and a probability of 26.3%. A Lazio win is available at 3.10, with fair odds of 3.23 and a probability of 31%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli win | 2.25 | 2.34 | 42.7% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.80 | 26.3% |
| Lazio win | 3.10 | 3.23 | 31.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.10 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.75. At the 3.5-goal line, the odds change: Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.45 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Napoli (-1.5) are available at 3.70 and Lazio (-1.5) at 5.70. For the +1.5 handicap, Napoli (+1.5) are offered at 1.09 and Lazio (+1.5) at 1.23. At the -1 handicap line, Napoli (-1) are quoted at 3.05 and Lazio (-1) at 4.90; at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.13 and 1.33. For a zero handicap, Napoli Draw No Bet (0) is available at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Lazio Draw No Bet (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 3.05 | -1 | 4.90 |
| 1.13 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.65 | 0 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is offered at 2.25.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
31/50
|
| LeoVegas |
19/50
|
3/10
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
29/100
|
13/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Napoli at 1.5 goals and Lazio at 1 goal.
Napoli team goals
For Napoli, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.17. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.90 for Under 1 goal and 1.35 for Over 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.75 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.00; at the 2-goal line, the respective odds are 1.35 and 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Lazio team goals
For Lazio, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 3.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 2.25, compared with 1.60 for Over 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 1.53 for Under 1.5 goals and 2.40 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches — 14 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 14;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 14.
