Odds overview
NEC Nijmegen are favourites at around 1.81, while a draw is offered at 3.90 and a Levski Sofia win at 4.10. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.71 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.05. NEC Nijmegen (-1) are offered at 2.43, while Levski Sofia (-1) are at 1.50.
Why NEC Nijmegen are favourites
Bookmakers favour the home side: a NEC Nijmegen win is offered at 1.81, a draw at 3.90 and a Levski Sofia win at 4.10.
- Players of the calibre of Dušan Tadić and Tjaronn Chery will give NEC Nijmegen an advantage when trying to break down the Bulgarian club's compact defence.
- Levski Sofia play in the Bulgarian league, whose standard is much lower than that of the Dutch Eredivisie.
- NEC Nijmegen have lost twice in their last five home matches but have scored in every one.
Form and Line-up NEC Nijmegen
In the opening round of the UEFA Europa League league phase, the Dutch club lost away to Juventus, conceding three goals by the 35th minute. They then recovered with two draws, against Go Ahead Eagles (1:1) and Ajax (1:1).
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were recorded in eight of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen's opponents committed more than 11.5 fouls in eight of the club's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- More than 21.5 fouls were recorded in eight of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Gonzalo Crettaz, Gabriel Brás, Perr Schuurs, Tobias Storm, Kevin Kers, Darko Nejašmić, Noé Lebreton, Deveron Fonville, Tjaronn Chery, Dušan Tadić, Bryan Linssen.
Absentees: Isak Hansen-Aarøen, Bram Nuytinck, Emre Mor and Philippe Sandler (all injured); Dennis Geiger and Kaj Sierhuis (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Levski Sofia
After the opening round of the UEFA Europa League, the Bulgarian club sit 26th in the league-phase table following a defeat to Red Bull Salzburg (0:1). In the Bulgarian league, however, Levski Sofia are thriving — nine wins, one draw and a commanding lead at the top (28 points and a 23:4 goal difference).
- The teams committed more than 24.5 fouls in nine of Levski Sofia's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Levski Sofia's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of the Bulgarian club's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Levski Sofia's opponents had fewer than 12.5 shots in eight of the club's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Svetoslav Vutsov, Aldair, Kristian Dimitrov, Christian Makoun, Maicon, Serginho, Gasper Trdin, Everton Bala, Armstrong Oko-Flex, Álex Centelles, Reynaldo.
Absentees: Akram Bouras, Radoslav Kirilov and Nikola Serafimov (all injured).
The teams' chances
A NEC Nijmegen win is offered at 1.81, with fair odds of 1.91 and a probability of 52.5%. A draw is available at 3.90, with fair odds of 4.11 and a probability of 24.4%. A Levski Sofia win is available at 4.10, with fair odds of 4.32 and a probability of 23.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen win | 1.81 | 1.91 | 52.5% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.11 | 24.4% |
| Levski Sofia win | 4.10 | 4.32 | 23.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is offered at 2.05 and Over 2.5 at 1.71. For a total of 2 goals, the odds are 3.10 for Under 2 and 1.32 for Over 2. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is available at 1.41 and Over 3.5 at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.71 |
| 2 | 3.10 | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 1.41 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
NEC Nijmegen (-1) are offered at 2.43, while Levski Sofia (-1) are available at 1.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.43 | -1 | 1.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes has shorter odds at 1.68 than Both teams to score — No at 2.12, so the market considers it slightly more likely that both sides will score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
29/100
|
1/1
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
3/10
|
17/20
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
3/10
|
91/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: NEC Nijmegen — 1 goal; Levski Sofia — 0.5 goals.
NEC Nijmegen team goals
NEC Nijmegen team goals: Under 0.5 is available at 4.55 and Over 0.5 at 1.15. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 3.40 and Over 1 at 1.27; Under 1 is also quoted at 1.84 and Over 1 at 1.88. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.96 and Over 1.5 at 1.78.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.55 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.84 | 1 | 1.88 |
| 1.96 | 1.5 | 1.78 |
Levski Sofia team goals
Levski Sofia team goals: Under 0.5 is available at 2.73 and Over 0.5 at 1.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.37 and Over 1.5 at 2.85. For a total of 2 goals, Under 2 is available at 1.09 and Over 2 at 5.70.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.73 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
| 1.09 | 2 | 5.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Aliyar Agayev (Azerbaijan)
Matches — 11 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.6
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 11;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 11.
