Odds overview
NEC Nijmegen are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.80, while the draw and an Omonia Nicosia win are around 4.05–4.15. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the main handicap market, NEC Nijmegen Draw No Bet (0) at 1.35 is rated considerably more likely than Omonia Nicosia Draw No Bet (0) at 2.95.
Why NEC Nijmegen are favourites
NEC Nijmegen are the bookmakers' favourites: a home win is offered at 1.80, the draw at 4.05 and an Omonia Nicosia win at 4.15.
- NEC Nijmegen's results in the UEFA Europa League have gradually improved — from a heavy defeat to a high-scoring win, with a draw in between.
- Omonia Nicosia suffered a heavy 1:4 home defeat to Benfica in the previous UEFA Europa League matchday.
- NEC Nijmegen play in the more competitive Dutch league, where they regularly face UEFA Champions League participants.
Form and Line-up NEC Nijmegen
In their most recent match, on Saturday, NEC Nijmegen lost 0:1 away to Heerenveen. Before that, they drew 2:2 with Groningen on 25 October. Those results pushed the Nijmegen club down to 13th in the Eredivisie. What matters most ahead of this match, though, is their UEFA Europa League form — their latest game in the competition ended in a convincing 4:2 away win over Dinamo Zagreb, who are certainly no weaker than Omonia Nicosia.
NEC Nijmegen's defence regularly make mistakes that lead to goals: their opponents have scored at least once in all of their last 10 matches across official competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen's opponents have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches across official competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across official competitions.
Probable NEC Nijmegen line-up (3-4-2-1): Gonzalo Crettaz, Deveron Fonville, Tobias Storm, Perr Schuurs, Darko Nejašmić, Noé Lebreton, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Dennis Geiger, Tjaronn Chery, Bryan Linssen, Clement Bischoff
Absentees: Bram Nuytinck, Philippe Sandler, Dušan Tadić (injuries)
Form and Line-up Omonia Nicosia
Last Saturday, Omonia Nicosia beat AEL Limassol 2:0 at home in the latest round of the Cypriot league. They bounced back from a 0:2 away defeat to AEK Larnaca on 26 October and returned to the top three. Their latest UEFA Europa League memory is less pleasant, though — a heavy 1:4 home defeat to Benfica.
- In 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches, both teams scored fewer than 3.5 goals each.
- Omonia Nicosia have scored fewer than two goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- Omonia Nicosia's opponents have scored fewer than three goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across official competitions.
Probable Omonia Nicosia line-up (4-3-3): Fabiano, Loïc Nego, Jean-Kévin Duverne, Lubomir Satka, Jure Balkovec, Ewandro Costa, Panayiotis Andreou, Mateo Marić, Jaden Montnor, Andronikos Kakoullis, Tanase Florin
Absentees: Fotis Kitsos (injury)
The teams' chances
A NEC Nijmegen win is offered at 1.80; the fair odds are 1.88, implying a 53.2% probability. The draw is quoted at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a 23.7% probability. An Omonia Nicosia win is available at 4.15; the fair odds are 4.33, implying a 23.1% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen win | 1.80 | 1.88 | 53.2% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.7% |
| Omonia Nicosia win | 4.15 | 4.33 | 23.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.35 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.60, so the market expects at least three goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
NEC Nijmegen (-1.5) is quoted at 2.80, while Omonia Nicosia (-1.5) is at 7.00. At the +1.5 line, NEC Nijmegen (+1.5) is offered at 1.05 and Omonia Nicosia (+1.5) at 1.40. At the -1 line, the odds are 2.30 for NEC Nijmegen (-1) and 6.10 for Omonia Nicosia (-1); at the +1 line, they are 1.08 for NEC Nijmegen (+1) and 1.62 for Omonia Nicosia (+1). For a handicap of 0, NEC Nijmegen Draw No Bet (0) at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Omonia Nicosia Draw No Bet (0) at 2.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | -1.5 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.57, while Both teams to score – No is at 2.35. The shorter odds on Yes indicate that both teams are expected to score, while No means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
11/50
|
21/20
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
11/50
|
21/20
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
11/50
|
21/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: NEC Nijmegen — 1.5 goals; Omonia Nicosia — 1 goal.
NEC Nijmegen team goals
For NEC Nijmegen, Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.70 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.09. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is offered at 4.05 and Over 1 goal at 1.18; at the 1.5-goal line, the respective odds are 2.12 and 1.68. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.60 and Over 2 goals at 2.25.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.05 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | 1.68 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Omonia Nicosia team goals
For Omonia Nicosia, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.92 and Over 1 goal at 1.82, suggesting the two options are rated similarly. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.40 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.92 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Giorgi Kacheishvili (Georgia)
Matches – 13 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.5;
Matches with a red card – 2 of 13;
Matches with a penalty – 2 of 13.
