Odds Overview
The Netherlands are slight favourites: 2.40 for the home win against 2.70 for the away win, while the draw is available at 3.85. Over 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.55, considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.40. In the main handicap market, the Netherlands Draw No Bet at 1.80 is preferred to Germany Draw No Bet at 2.00.
Why the Netherlands Are Favourites
Bookmakers give the home side a slight edge: a Netherlands win is quoted at 2.40, a Germany win at 2.70, while the draw is available at 3.85.
- In nine of their last ten matches, the Netherlands have not allowed opponents to score more than two goals. The team are reliable defensively and do not give even strong opponents much freedom.
- Both teams are undergoing a managerial change, but the Netherlands begin a new cycle at home, in front of their fans. Xavi will surely try to make a confident start, while Germany under Jürgen Klopp may use their first match to experiment with the line-up and build on-field connections.
- The Netherlands have not lost in normal time in 16 consecutive competitive matches.
Form and Line-up Netherlands
The Oranje finished the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the Round of 32, losing to Morocco on penalties. Ronald Koeman was dismissed as head coach after the tournament.
The national team are now entering a new phase under Xavi, whose appointment was officially announced on 12 August 2026. The head coach said he intends to build proactive football focused on possession.
The upcoming game will be the coach’s debut in charge of the national team. In the new staff’s first competitive match, the Netherlands will have to test their combinations on the pitch against one of the group’s main favourites.
- The Netherlands have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In their last 10 matches in all competitions, Netherlands opponents have never scored more than two goals.
- At least two goals have been scored in 9 of the Netherlands’ last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Netherlands line-up (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen, Jurrien Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Jan Paul van Hecke, Denzel Dumfries, Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders, Micky van de Ven, Crysencio Summerville, Brian Brobbey, Cody Gakpo.
Form and Line-up Germany
Germany also finished the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32, with Paraguay knocking out the Germany national football team on penalties. Julian Nagelsmann left his post after the tournament failure.
Jürgen Klopp is preparing Germany for their September UEFA Nations League matches, with the match in Amsterdam set to be his debut as head coach. The coaching staff have called up a group of 24 players, so the starting line-up combinations could change significantly.
- Germany have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Germany have not been outscored by their opponents.
- In 8 of Germany’s last 10 matches in all competitions, the total has exceeded 2.5 goals.
Probable Germany line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Nubel, Joshua Kimmich, Nico Schlotterbeck, Jonathan Tah, Nathaniel Brown, Felix Nmecha, Nadiem Amiri, Jamal Musiala, Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry, Kai Havertz.
Team Chances
The home win is available at 2.40; the fair odds are 2.51 and 39.8%. The draw is listed at 3.85, 4.03 and 24.8%, while the away win is 2.70, 2.83 and 35.4% respectively: the Netherlands have only a slight edge over Germany.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.8% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Germany win | 2.70 | 2.83 | 35.4 |
Total Goals Prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.55 against 2.40 for Under 2.5, highlighting a scenario with at least three goals. At the 3.5 line, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 is 1.62 and Over 3.5 is 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, the odds are 3.75 for the Netherlands (-1.5) and 4.50 for Germany (-1.5). At the 1.5 line, the Netherlands (+1.5) is shorter at 1.15 against 1.23 for Germany (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, 3.20 is offered on the Netherlands (-1) and 3.95 on Germany (-1); for the +1 handicap, they are 1.20 and 1.30 respectively. In the Draw No Bet market, the Netherlands are 1.80 and Germany 2.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 3.20 | -1 | 3.95 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.80 | 0 | 2.00 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.50 and is rated considerably higher than Both teams to score — No at 2.55, meaning a scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
1/4
|
53/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Netherlands — 1.5 goals, Germany — 1.5 goals.
Netherlands Team Total
Netherlands team total: Over 0.5 is 1.18 against 4.10 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.40 and Under 1 is 2.75. At the 1.5 total, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.80 and Over 1.5 is 1.95. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.40 is preferred, while Over 2 is 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Germany Team Total
Germany team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.22 against 3.85 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.47 against 2.60 for Under 1. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.73, with Over 1.5 at 2.05. For the 2-goal total, Under 2 is 1.30 and Over 2 is 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.73 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Alejandro Hernandez (Spain)
Matches — 12 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.6;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 12;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 12.
