Odds Overview
Lithuania are clear favourites: Lithuania to win is available at 1.30, while the draw is at 4.90 and Liechtenstein to win at 12.50. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.12. At the handicap line, Lithuania (-1.5) is at 1.98 against Liechtenstein (+1.5) at 1.83 — there is a slight edge for the home side with a positive handicap.
Why Lithuania Are the Match Favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Lithuania to win is available at 1.30, the draw at 4.90 and Liechtenstein to win at 12.50.
• As many as ten players who had not been called up for a long time have returned to Lithuania's squad, giving Edgaras Jankauskas's coaching staff plenty of scope to rotate and freshen up the side.
• In Group 2 of UEFA Nations League Division D, Lithuania begin the tournament as favourites against Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan.
Form and Line-up Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein face an intense run of four matches in twelve days. With many players occupied by work and studies, the coaching staff have squad limitations, so sensible resource management at the start of the run will be a key task for the hosts.
- Liechtenstein failed to score in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 8 of Liechtenstein's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Liechtenstein line-up (3-5-2): Benjamin Büchel, Jens Hofer, Maximilian Göppel, Niklas Beck, Bruno Poitner, Livio Meier, Liam Kranz, Alessio Hasler, Marcel Büchel, Fabio Luque-Notaro, Kenny Kindle
Gabriel Foser and Andreas Malin are unavailable for the match against Lithuania in accordance with the national team's joining plan.
Form and Line-up Lithuania
In their previous match on 9 June 2026, Lithuania lost 0:1 to Estonia in the Baltic Cup. The team will look to make amends for June's setback at the start of the official tournament.
- Lithuania scored no more than two goals in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Lithuania's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 8 of Lithuania's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Lithuania line-up (4-3-3): Ignas Plūkas, Vilius Armalas, Žygimantas Baltrūnas, Justas Lasickas, Ričardas Šveikauskas, Gvidas Gineitis, Arnas Karvačkis, Vaidas Magdušauskas, Motiejus Burba, Eligijus Jankauskas, Tomas Kalinauskas
Team Chances
The no-margin assessment gives Lithuania a 73.0% chance of winning: average odds are 1.30 and fair odds are 1.37. The draw is assessed at 19.4%, with odds of 4.90 and 5.16 respectively, while Liechtenstein to win is assessed at 7.6%, with 12.50 and 13.17.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein to win | 12.50 | 13.17 | 7.6% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.16 | 19.4% |
| Lithuania to win | 1.30 | 1.37 | 73.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.12. For a total of 2, Over 2 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2 goals at 2.40, while at the 3.5 line the market clearly leans towards Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 against 3.40 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap Prediction
Lithuania (-1.5) is offered at 1.98, while Liechtenstein (+1.5) is at 1.83. At the 1 line, Lithuania (-1) at 1.45 is significantly shorter than Liechtenstein (+1) at 2.60. With a zero handicap, Lithuania Draw No Bet is at 1.04 against 7.60 for Liechtenstein Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.98 | |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.45 | |
| 2.60 | 1 | |
| 7.60 | 0 | 1.04 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.38 looks substantially more likely than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.80: the market expects at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.80 |
| No | 1.38 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/1
|
7/50
|
3/100
|
| William Hill |
23/10
|
9/50
|
1/20
|
| 888sport |
12/5
|
9/50
|
1/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Liechtenstein — 0.5 goals, Lithuania — 2 goals.
Liechtenstein Team Total Goals
Liechtenstein's team total: Under 0.5 goals at 1.45 is shorter than Over 0.5 goals at 2.65, indicating an expectation that the hosts will not score.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 0.5 | 2.65 |
Lithuania Team Total Goals
Lithuania's team total: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 goals at 1.06 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 6.70. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.62 is favoured over Under 1.5 goals at 2.25; at the 2 line the odds are close — Under 2 goals at 1.72 against Over 2 goals at 2.05. At 2.5, the market leans towards Under 2.5 goals at 1.45, while Over 2.5 goals is at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.72 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ante Čulina (Croatia)
Matches — 6 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 6;
Matches with penalties — 1 of 6.














