The Netherlands and Serbia will meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27. The match is scheduled for 4 October 2026 at 14:45 EDT / 11:45 PDT at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven.
We will examine the bookmakers' odds and betting markets, assess the balance of power and identify the most sensible bets.
The teams played out an entertaining match in Belgrade on 27 September, with Netherlands edging Serbia 2:1 thanks to a brace from Mexx Meerdink. The return fixture at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven promises even more goals, as Serbia have nothing to lose after a poor start to the tournament.
Netherlands traditionally play on the front foot and keep the tempo high. Both teams have scored in each of their last six competitive matches, while Netherlands have averaged 2.3 goals per game. They are even more aggressive at home, but regularly leave space at the back.
Serbia take plenty of risks away from home: they have conceded in each of their last five away matches, but have also found a way to score in the current UEFA Nations League, netting against Netherlands (1:2) and Greece (1:2). The statistics support the trend: seven consecutive matches have finished with over 2.5 total goals.
The main risk to this bet is that the hosts could take a pragmatic approach and try to protect a narrow lead in the second half. However, the tournament situation and the visitors' attacking intent should push both teams forward from the opening minutes.
Given the recent 2:1 scoreline and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, I expect goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both teams to score — Yes at 1.96.
Donatas Rumšas (Lithuania)
Matches — 13 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 13;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 13.
Greece
Netherlands
Serbia
Netherlands
Netherlands
Germany
Germany
Serbia
Serbia
Netherlands
Serbia
Greece
Serbia
Netherlands
Netherlands
| # | Team |
|
|
|
|
Matches played
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
G
|
Points
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Greece
|
2:2 | -:- | -:- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
3:1
|
6 | |
2 |
Netherlands
|
-:- | 1:1 | -:- | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
3:2
|
4 | |
3 |
Germany
|
0:1 | -:- | 2:0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
1:2
|
1 | |
4 |
Serbia
|
1:2 | 1:2 | -:- | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
2:4
|
0 |
| Bookie | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
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| |||
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