Odds overview
Newcastle United to win is available at around 2.30, Everton to win at 2.95 and the draw at 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. Newcastle United Draw No Bet (0) is offered at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Everton Draw No Bet (0), which also gives the hosts a slight edge.
Why Newcastle United are favourites
Bookmakers favour Newcastle United: a home win is available at 2.30, the draw at 3.60 and an Everton win at 2.95.
- Recent form: over the last two rounds, Newcastle United have risen three places, while Everton have dropped six.
- Everton have struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last nine Premier League away matches.
Form and Line-up Newcastle United
This Thursday, Newcastle United visited Everton in the fourth round of the EFL Cup but lost 1:3 in Liverpool. That does not mean the Magpies will lose again. In the latest Premier League round, they beat Crystal Palace 2:0 away from home. William Osula scored the winner, but the striker is doubtful after being substituted in the cup match with a minor ankle injury. The Dane is one of five players in the squad currently requiring medical attention.
- Newcastle United have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in all of their last 10 competitive matches.
- The teams have had more than 5.5 shots on target combined in 9 of Newcastle United's last 10 competitive matches.
Probable Newcastle United line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Amar Dedić, Fabian Schär, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Nico González, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Joe Willock, Harvey Barnes, William Osula
Absentees: Ewen Jaouen, Tino Livramento (injured); William Osula, Lewis Miley, Matías Fernández-Pardo (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Everton
That Saturday, Everton lost 0:2 away to Arsenal, having also lost 0:2 at home to Chelsea a week earlier. Those two defeats without scoring ended David Moyes's side's eight-match unbeaten run in all competitions, which had stretched back to the start of the 2026/27 season. Everton fans are pinning their hopes on Thierno Barry: the French forward has scored 7 times in 11 matches, with 3 goals in the Premier League and 4 in the EFL Cup.
- Everton's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Everton have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Everton line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Merlin Röhl, Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, Vitaliy Mikolenko, Harrison Armstrong, James Garner, Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George, Thierno Barry
Absentees: Jarrad Branthwaite, Jack Grealish (doubtful)
The teams' chances
The average odds are 2.30 for a Newcastle United win, 3.60 for a draw and 2.95 for an Everton win. The fair odds and probabilities are 2.42 and 41.3% for a Newcastle United win, 3.79 and 26.4% for a draw, and 3.10 and 32.2% for an Everton win: a home win remains the most likely outcome, but only narrowly.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.79 | 26.4% |
| Everton win | 2.95 | 3.10 | 32.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.15 and Over 2.5 at 1.70, so the market expects at least three goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is much more favoured at 1.48, while Over 3.5 is offered at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
Newcastle United (-1.5) are available at 4.30 and Everton (-1.5) at 5.00. At the +1.5 handicap line, the odds are 1.12 for Newcastle United (+1.5) and 1.20 for Everton (+1.5). Newcastle United (-1) are quoted at 3.40, compared with 4.30 for Everton (-1); at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.16 and 1.27. On the zero handicap, Newcastle United (0) at 1.70 have shorter odds than Everton (0) at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | +1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.40 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | +1 | 1.27 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.57, while Both teams to score — No is 2.35. The market favours both teams scoring by a clear margin; the No option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
3/10
|
61/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: 1.5 goals for Newcastle United and 1.5 goals for Everton.
Newcastle United team goals
For Newcastle United, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.17; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.00 and 1.35. At 1.5 goals, Under is 1.78 and Over is 1.98, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.30 compared with 3.15 for Over 2.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.15 |
Everton team goals
For Everton, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.25; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.45 and 1.53 respectively. At 1.5 goals, Under is 1.60 compared with 2.30 for Over, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.22 and Over 2 is 3.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches — 17 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.2;
Matches with a red card — 5 of 17;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 17.
